Union County, Florida
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 2,565 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -UNI-004BUNI-004B | 217 | 1,116 | 11 | 1,344 | 16.1% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -UNI-4A & 4CUNI-4A & 4C | 136 | 505 | 2 | 643 | 21.2% | 78.5% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -UNI-005BUNI-005B | 23 | 301 | 6 | 330 | 7.0% | 91.2% | R+84.2 |
| Precinct -UNI-003CUNI-003C | 24 | 221 | 3 | 248 | 9.7% | 89.1% | R+79.4 |
| Precinct -UNI-1A & 1BUNI-1A & 1B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -UNI-2A & 2BUNI-2A & 2B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -UNI-3A & 3BUNI-3A & 3B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -UNI-5A & 5CUNI-5A & 5C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1924–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1924 | +87.9% |
| 1928 | +47.3% |
| 1932 | +87.5% |
| 1936 | +84.9% |
| 1940 | +83.0% |
| 1944 | +79.7% |
| 1948 | +61.7% |
| 1952 | +56.6% |
| 1956 | +62.9% |
| 1960 | +50.3% |
| 1964 | +2.1% |
| 1968 | +6.7% |
| 1972 | −67.7% |
| 1976 | +45.9% |
| 1980 | +4.7% |
| 1984 | −40.6% |
| 1988 | −40.6% |
| 1992 | −8.3% |
| 1996 | −7.2% |
| 2000 | −24.2% |
| 2004 | −45.9% |
| 2008 | −49.9% |
| 2012 | −49.0% |
| 2016 | −62.4% |
| 2020 | −65.3% |
| 2024 | −68.3% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 24 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 7,242 | 3,404 | 3,062 | 756 | 20 |
| 2018 | 7,435 | 3,187 | 3,473 | 739 | 36 |
| 2019 | 7,418 | 3,025 | 3,598 | 749 | 46 |
| 2020 | 7,830 | 2,532 | 4,469 | 755 | 74 |
| 2021 | 7,616 | 2,376 | 4,415 | 744 | 81 |
| 2023 | 7,717 | 2,050 | 4,751 | 794 | 122 |
| 2024 | 7,658 | 1,719 | 5,074 | 717 | 148 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+594 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,511 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,628 in average income, against $59,485 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+21.3 on average — 47 points more Democratic-leaning than Union County, FL itself (R+68.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Alachua County, FL74D+21.0
- Bradford County, FL72R+57.2
- Columbia County, FL39R+50.2
- Duval County, FL30R+1.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Alachua County, FL62
- Bradford County, FL52
- Columbia County, FL41
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −229 |
| 2012 | −62 |
| 2013 | −78 |
| 2014 | +121 |
| 2015 | +106 |
| 2016 | +61 |
| 2017 | +292 |
| 2018 | −40 |
| 2019 | −16 |
| 2021 | +598 |
| 2022 | −274 |
| 2023 | +581 |
| 2024 | −143 |
| 2025 | +594 |
Union County's 2024 presidential margin of R+68.3 ranks among the most lopsided in the state, driven by a rural, majority-white population of roughly 13,000 that includes a substantial share of inmates at the Union Correctional Institution.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.9 points in 1924 and a Republican high of 68.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.3 points.
A population of 15,701, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,146 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Bradford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Union County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12125/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.