- Lead
- 9,960
- Total
- 19,230
- vs nation
- R+50.3
- Turnout
- 68.0%
Clinton County, IL
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.0% of 28,565 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 9,811
- Total
- 19,214
- vs nation
- R+55.5
- Turnout
- 65.8%
- Lead
- 8,467
- Total
- 17,419
- vs nation
- R+50.7
- Turnout
- 59.0%
- Lead
- 4,928
- Total
- 16,481
- vs nation
- R+33.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,700
- Total
- 17,314
- vs nation
- R+17.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,422
- Total
- 17,131
- vs nation
- R+17.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,152
- Total
- 15,427
- vs nation
- R+14.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 39
- Total
- 13,844
- vs nation
- R+8.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,9542024 5-year
- Population density
- 78 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 474 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $86,5882024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+49.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Morton County, ND · twin score 84.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 68.0%19,425 participants ÷ 28,565 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -8.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 54.8%–56.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19,425 | 28,565 ± 211 | 68.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 15,098 | 28,698 ± 244 | 52.6% | Audited | C/A |
| 19,259 | 29,280 ± 180 | 65.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 14,291 | 29,302 ± 216 | 48.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 17,419 | 29,533 ± 205 | 59.0% | Audited | C/A | |
| 16,481 | 29,092 | 56.7% | Derived | — | |
| 17,314 | 27,597 | 62.7% | Derived | — | |
| 17,131 | 26,102 extrapolated | 65.6% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Clinton County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Clinton County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 73 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
73 precincts · 19,425 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BREESE 3BREESE 3 | 279 | 771 | 22 | 1,072 | 26.0% | 71.9% | R+45.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -SUGAR CREEK 2SUGAR CREEK 2 | 263 | 651 | 29 | 943 | 27.9% | 69.0% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -ST ROSEST ROSE | 105 | 736 | 21 | 862 | 12.2% | 85.4% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -SUGAR CREEK 1SUGAR CREEK 1 | 186 | 646 | 26 | 858 | 21.7% | 75.3% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -BREESE 4BREESE 4 | 229 | 594 | 29 | 852 | 26.9% | 69.7% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -LOOKINGGLASS 6LOOKINGGLASS 6 | 243 | 577 | 31 | 851 | 28.6% | 67.8% | R+39.2 |
| Precinct -SUGAR CREEK 5SUGAR CREEK 5 | 150 | 619 | 27 | 796 | 18.8% | 77.8% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -LOOKINGGLASS 4LOOKINGGLASS 4 | 148 | 618 | 27 | 793 | 18.7% | 77.9% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -GERMANTOWN 1GERMANTOWN 1 | 157 | 603 | 30 | 790 | 19.9% | 76.3% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -SANTA FESANTA FE | 110 | 634 | 21 | 765 | 14.4% | 82.9% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -WADE 2WADE 2 | 146 | 600 | 16 | 762 | 19.2% | 78.7% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -LOOKINGGLASS 1LOOKINGGLASS 1 | 202 | 491 | 29 | 722 | 28.0% | 68.0% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -SUGAR CREEK 4SUGAR CREEK 4 | 205 | 451 | 24 | 680 | 30.1% | 66.3% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -BREESE 1BREESE 1 | 152 | 452 | 17 | 621 | 24.5% | 72.8% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -SUGAR CREEK 3SUGAR CREEK 3 | 146 | 434 | 10 | 590 | 24.7% | 73.6% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -CARLYLE 2CARLYLE 2 | 164 | 404 | 21 | 589 | 27.8% | 68.6% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -BREESE 2BREESE 2 | 131 | 441 | 16 | 588 | 22.3% | 75.0% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -CARLYLE 1CARLYLE 1 | 162 | 390 | 19 | 571 | 28.4% | 68.3% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -IRISHTOWNIRISHTOWN | 112 | 431 | 12 | 555 | 20.2% | 77.7% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -GERMANTOWN 2GERMANTOWN 2 | 81 | 382 | 6 | 469 | 17.3% | 81.4% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -LOOKINGGLASS 5LOOKINGGLASS 5 | 78 | 370 | 14 | 462 | 16.9% | 80.1% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -BROOKSIDE 2BROOKSIDE 2 | 126 | 318 | 14 | 458 | 27.5% | 69.4% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -LAKELAKE | 89 | 349 | 19 | 457 | 19.5% | 76.4% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -CARLYLE 3CARLYLE 3 | 142 | 299 | 14 | 455 | 31.2% | 65.7% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -BROOKSIDE 1BROOKSIDE 1 | 83 | 304 | 12 | 399 | 20.8% | 76.2% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -CARLYLE 4CARLYLE 4 | 107 | 265 | 9 | 381 | 28.1% | 69.6% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -BROOKSIDE 3BROOKSIDE 3 | 105 | 219 | 14 | 338 | 31.1% | 64.8% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -MERIDIANMERIDIAN | 45 | 262 | 12 | 319 | 14.1% | 82.1% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -LOOKINGGLASS 2LOOKINGGLASS 2 | 89 | 191 | 9 | 289 | 30.8% | 66.1% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -CLEMENTCLEMENT | 55 | 226 | 5 | 286 | 19.2% | 79.0% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -WHEATFIELDWHEATFIELD | 45 | 221 | 4 | 270 | 16.7% | 81.9% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -EAST FORKEAST FORK | 49 | 168 | 7 | 224 | 21.9% | 75.0% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -LOOKINGGLASS 3LOOKINGGLASS 3 | 32 | 165 | 2 | 199 | 16.1% | 82.9% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -WADE 1WADE 1 | 31 | 125 | 3 | 159 | 19.5% | 78.6% | R+59.1 |
| BREESE 1 Voting District17_1702706001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BREESE 2 Voting District17_1702706002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BREESE 3 Voting District17_1702706003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BREESE 4 Voting District17_1702706004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROOKSIDE 1 Voting District17_1702715001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROOKSIDE 2 Voting District17_1702715002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROOKSIDE 3 Voting District17_1702715003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROOKSIDE 4 Voting District17_1702715004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROOKSIDE 5 Voting District17_1702715005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARLYLE 1 Voting District17_1702708001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARLYLE 2 Voting District17_1702708002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARLYLE 3 Voting District17_1702708003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARLYLE 4 Voting District17_1702708004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLEMENT Voting District17_1702709001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST FORK Voting District17_1702704001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMANTOWN 1 Voting District17_1702712001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMANTOWN 2 Voting District17_1702712002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| IRISHTOWN 1 Voting District17_1702703001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| IRISHTOWN 2 Voting District17_1702703002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAKE 1 Voting District17_1702714001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAKE 2 Voting District17_1702714002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOOKINGGLASS 1 Voting District17_1702711001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOOKINGGLASS 2 Voting District17_1702711002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOOKINGGLASS 3 Voting District17_1702711003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOOKINGGLASS 4 Voting District17_1702711004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOOKINGGLASS 5 Voting District17_1702711005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOOKINGGLASS 6 Voting District17_1702711006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MERIDIAN Voting District17_1702710001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SANTA FE Voting District17_1702713001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST ROSE 1 Voting District17_1702701001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST ROSE 2 Voting District17_1702701002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK 1 Voting District17_1702705001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK 2 Voting District17_1702705002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK 3 Voting District17_1702705003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK 4 Voting District17_1702705004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK 5 Voting District17_1702705005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WADE 1 Voting District17_1702707001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WADE 2 Voting District17_1702707002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHEATFIELD Voting District17_1702702001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Clinton County, IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
73.9%
7,736 votes · D+49.6
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · 68.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74.9%
14,407 votes · R+51.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 74.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
7,736votes
73.9% of the vote · D+49.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 7,657 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,407votes
74.9% of the vote · R+51.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,304 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+55.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+38.0 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +31.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+55.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +50.7 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Clinton County, IL. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 21.2%4,029 | 78.8%14,935 | 18,964 |
| 2020 | R | 24.1%4,508 | 75.9%14,173 | 18,681 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 25,511 |
| 2018 | 26,404 |
| 2020 | 26,671 |
| 2022 | 28,214 |
| 2024 | 26,944 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+37 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −937 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,882 in average income, against $89,622 for residents who stayed — 41% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+21.3 on average — 30 points more Democratic-leaning than Clinton County, IL itself (R+51.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Clair County, IL145D+7.8
- Marion County, IL134R+49.5
- Madison County, IL101R+13.2
- Bond County, IL22R+44.7
- Washington County, IL21R+57.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Clair County, IL146
- Marion County, IL126
- Madison County, IL118
- Washington County, IL43
- St. Louis County, MO32
- Bond County, IL29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +81 |
| 2012 | −209 |
| 2013 | −251 |
| 2014 | −149 |
| 2015 | −47 |
| 2016 | −169 |
| 2017 | −17 |
| 2018 | +21 |
| 2019 | −180 |
| 2021 | −50 |
| 2022 | +83 |
| 2023 | −205 |
| 2024 | +118 |
| 2025 | +37 |
Clinton County, anchored by small agricultural communities southeast of St. Louis, has shifted decisively rightward over the past two decades, posting a 51.8-point Republican margin in 2024 despite sitting within a state that votes reliably Democratic at the statewide level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 51.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.8 points.
A population of 36,954, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,588 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morton County and Stark County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clinton County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.