- Lead
- 6,111
- Total
- 21,507
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Turnout
- 57.7%
Coles County, IL
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.7% of 37,642 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,970
- Total
- 22,668
- vs nation
- R+30.8
- Turnout
- 55.1%
- Lead
- 5,694
- Total
- 21,918
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- 51.6%
- Lead
- 2,369
- Total
- 21,437
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 738
- Total
- 23,076
- vs nation
- R+4.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,449
- Total
- 22,780
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,591
- Total
- 20,093
- vs nation
- R+8.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 912
- Total
- 19,298
- vs nation
- R+3.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 46,7772024 5-year
- Population density
- 92 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 508 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $56,4782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38.6 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Delaware County, IN · twin score 86.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 57.7%21,733 participants ÷ 37,642 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -11.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 46.6%–47.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21,733 | 37,642 ± 430 | 57.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 16,806 | 38,236 ± 299 | 44.0% | Audited | C/A |
| 22,778 | 41,366 ± 287 | 55.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 17,543 | 41,635 ± 323 | 42.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 21,918 | 42,504 ± 274 | 51.6% | Audited | C/A | |
| 21,437 | 43,409 | 49.4% | Derived | — | |
| 23,076 | 42,548 | 54.2% | Derived | — | |
| 22,780 | 41,687 extrapolated | 54.6% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Coles County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Coles County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 88 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
88 precincts · 21,733 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 05CHARLESTON 05 | 316 | 519 | 34 | 869 | 36.4% | 59.7% | R+23.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -LAFAYETTE 2LAFAYETTE 2 | 205 | 636 | 20 | 861 | 23.8% | 73.9% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -LAFAYETTE 1LAFAYETTE 1 | 271 | 516 | 22 | 809 | 33.5% | 63.8% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 08CHARLESTON 08 | 256 | 476 | 26 | 758 | 33.8% | 62.8% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT GROVEPLEASANT GROVE | 128 | 580 | 15 | 723 | 17.7% | 80.2% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -EAST OAKLANDEAST OAKLAND | 160 | 532 | 12 | 704 | 22.7% | 75.6% | R+52.8 |
| Precinct -ASHMOREASHMORE | 132 | 529 | 16 | 677 | 19.5% | 78.1% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 02CHARLESTON 02 | 302 | 315 | 30 | 647 | 46.7% | 48.7% | R+2.0 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 19CHARLESTON 19 | 214 | 413 | 19 | 646 | 33.1% | 63.9% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 18CHARLESTON 18 | 316 | 305 | 19 | 640 | 49.4% | 47.7% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct -PARADISEPARADISE | 135 | 450 | 11 | 596 | 22.7% | 75.5% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 22MATTOON 22 | 144 | 421 | 16 | 581 | 24.8% | 72.5% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 11CHARLESTON 11 | 267 | 283 | 22 | 572 | 46.7% | 49.5% | R+2.8 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 16MATTOON 16 | 174 | 366 | 16 | 556 | 31.3% | 65.8% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -HUMBOLDTHUMBOLDT | 140 | 403 | 9 | 552 | 25.4% | 73.0% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 03CHARLESTON 03 | 204 | 306 | 14 | 524 | 38.9% | 58.4% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct -LAFAYETTE 4LAFAYETTE 4 | 171 | 330 | 16 | 517 | 33.1% | 63.8% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 10MATTOON 10 | 193 | 310 | 12 | 515 | 37.5% | 60.2% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 12CHARLESTON 12 | 230 | 268 | 16 | 514 | 44.7% | 52.1% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct -HUTTONHUTTON | 114 | 387 | 6 | 507 | 22.5% | 76.3% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 21MATTOON 21 | 149 | 332 | 18 | 499 | 29.9% | 66.5% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 13MATTOON 13 | 152 | 324 | 15 | 491 | 31.0% | 66.0% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 10CHARLESTON 10 | 260 | 198 | 19 | 477 | 54.5% | 41.5% | D+13.0 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 08MATTOON 08 | 143 | 321 | 9 | 473 | 30.2% | 67.9% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 19MATTOON 19 | 126 | 337 | 10 | 473 | 26.6% | 71.2% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 17MATTOON 17 | 127 | 315 | 11 | 453 | 28.0% | 69.5% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 03MATTOON 03 | 165 | 265 | 14 | 444 | 37.2% | 59.7% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 06CHARLESTON 06 | 184 | 234 | 16 | 434 | 42.4% | 53.9% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 04MATTOON 04 | 161 | 262 | 9 | 432 | 37.3% | 60.6% | R+23.4 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 12MATTOON 12 | 143 | 270 | 13 | 426 | 33.6% | 63.4% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 04CHARLESTON 04 | 187 | 214 | 18 | 419 | 44.6% | 51.1% | R+6.4 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 06MATTOON 06 | 161 | 246 | 12 | 419 | 38.4% | 58.7% | R+20.3 |
| Precinct -LAFAYETTE 3LAFAYETTE 3 | 132 | 271 | 14 | 417 | 31.7% | 65.0% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 05MATTOON 05 | 110 | 285 | 16 | 411 | 26.8% | 69.3% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -NORTH OKAWNORTH OKAW | 80 | 314 | 8 | 402 | 19.9% | 78.1% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 01CHARLESTON 01 | 229 | 154 | 18 | 401 | 57.1% | 38.4% | D+18.7 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 13CHARLESTON 13 | 115 | 177 | 13 | 305 | 37.7% | 58.0% | R+20.3 |
| Precinct -MATTOON 18MATTOON 18 | 93 | 195 | 12 | 300 | 31.0% | 65.0% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 17CHARLESTON 17 | 212 | 66 | 9 | 287 | 73.9% | 23.0% | D+50.9 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 15CHARLESTON 15 | 166 | 98 | 6 | 270 | 61.5% | 36.3% | D+25.2 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 16CHARLESTON 16 | 175 | 61 | 11 | 247 | 70.9% | 24.7% | D+46.2 |
| Precinct -MORGANMORGAN | 40 | 142 | 0 | 182 | 22.0% | 78.0% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -SEVEN HICKORYSEVEN HICKORY | 32 | 121 | 3 | 156 | 20.5% | 77.6% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -CHARLESTON 14CHARLESTON 14 | 81 | 59 | 7 | 147 | 55.1% | 40.1% | D+15.0 |
| ASHMORE 1 Voting District17_17029AS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 1 Voting District17_17029CH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 10 Voting District17_17029CH10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 11 Voting District17_17029CH11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 12 Voting District17_17029CH12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 13 Voting District17_17029CH13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 14 Voting District17_17029CH14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 15 Voting District17_17029CH15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 16 Voting District17_17029CH16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 17 Voting District17_17029CH17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 18 Voting District17_17029CH18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 19 Voting District17_17029CH19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 2 Voting District17_17029CH02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 3 Voting District17_17029CH03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 4 Voting District17_17029CH04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 6 Voting District17_17029CH06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHARLESTON 8 Voting District17_17029CH08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST OAKLAND 1 Voting District17_17029EO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HUMBOLDT 1 Voting District17_17029HB01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HUTTON 1 Voting District17_17029HT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAFAYETTE 1 Voting District17_17029LY01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAFAYETTE 2 Voting District17_17029LY02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAFAYETTE 3 Voting District17_17029LY03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAFAYETTE 4 Voting District17_17029LY04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 2-1 Voting District17_17029MT21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 2-2 Voting District17_17029MT22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 2-3 Voting District17_17029MT23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 3-1 Voting District17_17029MT31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 3-3 Voting District17_17029MT33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 4-2 Voting District17_17029MT42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 4-3 Voting District17_17029MT43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 5-1 Voting District17_17029MT51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 5-2 Voting District17_17029MT52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 6-2 Voting District17_17029MT62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 6-3 Voting District17_17029MT63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 7-1 Voting District17_17029MT71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 7-2 Voting District17_17029MT72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 8-1 Voting District17_17029MT81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MATTOON 8-2 Voting District17_17029MT82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MORGAN 1 Voting District17_17029MG01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH OKAW 1 Voting District17_17029NO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARADISE 1 Voting District17_17029PD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT GROVE 1 Voting District17_17029PG01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SEVEN HICKORY 1 Voting District17_17029SH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Coles County, IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
59.7%
11,081 votes · D+20.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 57.2%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
69.1%
11,479 votes · R+38.6
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 65.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
11,931votes
57.2% of the vote · D+15.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 11,716 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
14,044votes
65.9% of the vote · R+32.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,037 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+7.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+18.9 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +6.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+30.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +28.1 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Coles County, IL. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 9.7%1,651 | 90.3%15,432 | 17,083 |
| 2020 | R | 36.8%8,247 | 63.2%14,133 | 22,380 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 30,780 |
| 2018 | 30,551 |
| 2020 | 31,260 |
| 2022 | 30,103 |
| 2024 | 30,501 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−14 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −4,221 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,360 in average income, against $79,906 for residents who stayed — 43% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.0 on average — 4.6 points more Republican-leaning than Coles County, IL itself (R+28.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Douglas County, IL77R+46.1
- Moultrie County, IL68R+49.0
- Champaign County, IL66D+23.8
- Cumberland County, IL64R+61.8
- Cook County, IL61D+41.6
- Shelby County, IL58R+60.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Douglas County, IL78
- Champaign County, IL74
- Cumberland County, IL70
- Moultrie County, IL63
- Cook County, IL56
- Effingham County, IL53
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −263 |
| 2012 | −358 |
| 2013 | −298 |
| 2014 | −630 |
| 2015 | −432 |
| 2016 | −464 |
| 2017 | −528 |
| 2018 | −538 |
| 2019 | −210 |
| 2021 | +721 |
| 2022 | −904 |
| 2023 | −104 |
| 2024 | −199 |
| 2025 | −14 |
Home to Eastern Illinois University in Charleston, Coles County has shifted steadily toward Republican margins over the past two decades despite the moderating presence of a college-town electorate, posting R+28.4 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 38.6 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.4 points.
A population of 46,777, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,478 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Delaware County and Vigo County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Coles County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.