HarrisDemocratic23.5%4,462TrumpRepublican74.9%14,209KennedyIndependent0.9%166
R+51.4- Lead
- 9,747
- Total
- 18,964
- vs nation
- R+49.9
- Turnout
- 56.3%
Akashiccounty
Noble County, IN
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.3% of 34,247 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic24.3%4,660TrumpRepublican74.0%14,195JorgensenLibertarian1.7%335
R+49.7- Lead
- 9,535
- Total
- 19,190
- vs nation
- R+54.1
- Turnout
- 57.4%
ClintonDemocratic22.8%3,904TrumpRepublican71.3%12,198JohnsonLibertarian4.6%788
R+48.5- Lead
- 8,294
- Total
- 17,104
- vs nation
- R+50.6
- Turnout
- 51.2%
ObamaDemocratic32.1%5,229RomneyRepublican65.6%10,680JohnsonLibertarian2.1%335
R+33.5- Lead
- 5,451
- Total
- 16,273
- vs nation
- R+37.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic41.6%7,064McCainRepublican57.0%9,673OtherAll other candidates1.4%237
R+15.4- Lead
- 2,609
- Total
- 16,974
- vs nation
- R+22.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic30.0%4,703BushRepublican69.3%10,859OtherAll other candidates0.7%117
R+39.3- Lead
- 6,156
- Total
- 15,679
- vs nation
- R+36.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.9%4,822BushRepublican64.0%9,103OtherAll other candidates2.0%291
R+30.1- Lead
- 4,281
- Total
- 14,216
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic37.7%5,101DoleRepublican50.2%6,782PerotReform11.3%1,521
R+12.4- Lead
- 1,681
- Total
- 13,519
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 47,4952024 5-year
- Population density
- 116 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 411 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,7232024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.9 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Marshall County, IN · twin score 95.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 56.3%19,297 participants ÷ 34,247 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 33.0%–45.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19,297 | 34,247 ± 364 | 56.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 11,759 | 34,486 ± 370 | 34.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 19,650 | 34,233 ± 291 | 57.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 18,294 | 34,067 ± 277 | 53.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 17,416 | 33,987 ± 280 | 51.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 16,273 | 33,030 | 49.3% | Derived | — | |
| 16,974 | 32,792 | 51.8% | Derived | — | |
| 15,679 | 32,554 extrapolated | 48.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Noble County only. The complete district District 3 result is shown below for comparison.
Noble County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Kelly Thompson0—
District District 3 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 58 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
58 precincts · 18,992 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -SWAN 27SWAN 27 | 304 | 987 | 23 | 1,314 | 23.1% | 75.1% | R+52.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -GREEN 10GREEN 10 | 228 | 843 | 18 | 1,089 | 20.9% | 77.4% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 18WAYNE 18 | 304 | 700 | 17 | 1,021 | 29.8% | 68.6% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 16WAYNE 16 | 235 | 761 | 20 | 1,016 | 23.1% | 74.9% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -SPARTA 2SPARTA 2 | 211 | 766 | 13 | 990 | 21.3% | 77.4% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -ORANGE 13ORANGE 13 | 225 | 679 | 12 | 916 | 24.6% | 74.1% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -ALLEN 25ALLEN 25 | 201 | 695 | 15 | 911 | 22.1% | 76.3% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -ALBION 28ALBION 28 | 199 | 658 | 22 | 879 | 22.6% | 74.9% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON 11JEFFERSON 11 | 158 | 682 | 9 | 849 | 18.6% | 80.3% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 9NOBLE 9 | 178 | 648 | 14 | 840 | 21.2% | 77.1% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -YORK 8YORK 8 | 162 | 639 | 9 | 810 | 20.0% | 78.9% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -ALLEN 24ALLEN 24 | 141 | 593 | 6 | 740 | 19.1% | 80.1% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -ALLEN 26ALLEN 26 | 164 | 498 | 11 | 673 | 24.4% | 74.0% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 29NOBLE 29 | 159 | 497 | 11 | 667 | 23.8% | 74.5% | R+50.7 |
| Precinct -ORANGE 12ORANGE 12 | 131 | 454 | 12 | 597 | 21.9% | 76.0% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -ALLEN 23ALLEN 23 | 179 | 396 | 4 | 579 | 30.9% | 68.4% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -ELKHART 7ELKHART 7 | 91 | 467 | 10 | 568 | 16.0% | 82.2% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 15WAYNE 15 | 111 | 429 | 10 | 550 | 20.2% | 78.0% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -PERRY 3PERRY 3 | 99 | 423 | 5 | 527 | 18.8% | 80.3% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 1WASHINGTON 1 | 109 | 410 | 7 | 526 | 20.7% | 77.9% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -PERRY 6PERRY 6 | 167 | 324 | 14 | 505 | 33.1% | 64.2% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 21WAYNE 21 | 163 | 329 | 13 | 505 | 32.3% | 65.1% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 17WAYNE 17 | 156 | 295 | 11 | 462 | 33.8% | 63.9% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 19WAYNE 19 | 120 | 318 | 13 | 451 | 26.6% | 70.5% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -ORANGE 14ORANGE 14 | 47 | 204 | 7 | 258 | 18.2% | 79.1% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -PERRY 4PERRY 4 | 70 | 160 | 4 | 234 | 29.9% | 68.4% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 20WAYNE 20 | 62 | 167 | 5 | 234 | 26.5% | 71.4% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct -PERRY 5PERRY 5 | 51 | 111 | 5 | 167 | 30.5% | 66.5% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 22WAYNE 22 | 37 | 76 | 1 | 114 | 32.5% | 66.7% | R+34.2 |
| 01 WASHINGTON18_1811300010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 02 SPARTA18_1811300020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 03 PERRY18_1811300030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 04 PERRY_LIGIONIER18_1811300040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 05 PERRY_LIGIONIER18_1811300050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 06 PERRY_LIGIONIER18_1811300060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 07 ELKHART18_1811300070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 08 YORK18_1811300080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 09 NOBLE18_1811300090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10 GREEN18_1811300100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 11 JEFFERSON18_1811300110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 12 ORANGE_ROME CITY 1218_1811300120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 13 ORANGE_ROME CITY 1318_1811300130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 14 ORANGE_WOLCOTTVILLE18_1811300140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 15 WAYNE18_1811300150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 16 WAYNE18_1811300160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 17 WAYNE_KENDALLVILLE18_1811300170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 18 WAYNE_KENDALLVILLE18_1811300180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 19 WAYNE_KENDALLVILLE18_1811300190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 20 WAYNE_KENDALLVILLE18_1811300200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 21 WAYNE_KENDALLVILLE18_1811300210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 22 WAYNE_KENDALLVILLE18_1811300220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 23 KENDALLVILLE_ALLEN18_1811300230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 24 KENDALLVILLE_ALLEN18_1811300240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 25 ALLEN_AVILLA18_1811300250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 26 ALLEN_AVILLA18_1811300260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 27 SWAN18_1811300270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 28 ALBION18_1811300280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 29 NOBLE18_1811300290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Noble County, IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
57.0%
7,621 votes · D+14.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 54.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74.9%
14,209 votes · R+51.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 74.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
7,621votes
57.0% of the vote · D+14.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 7,064 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,209votes
74.9% of the vote · R+51.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,195 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+9.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+15.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +7.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+54.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +50.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RSue GlickState Senate · 13
RDavid AbbottState House · 18
RBen SmaltzState House · 52
Seats representing Noble County, IN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 23.2%4,078 | 76.8%13,482 | 17,560 |
| 2020 | R | 23.3%4,382 | 76.7%14,461 | 18,843 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 31,126 |
| 2018 | 28,740 |
| 2020 | 29,498 |
| 2022 | 30,183 |
| 2024 | 31,769 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−217 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,699 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,014 in average income, against $70,464 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+37.9 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Noble County, IN itself (R+51.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Allen County, IN254R+12.5
- DeKalb County, IN168R+47.1
- LaGrange County, IN149R+56.8
- Elkhart County, IN106R+32.4
- Whitley County, IN100R+49.9
- Kosciusko County, IN91R+52.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Allen County, IN216
- DeKalb County, IN149
- LaGrange County, IN111
- Kosciusko County, IN85
- Elkhart County, IN83
- Whitley County, IN81
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −258 |
| 2012 | −235 |
| 2013 | −80 |
| 2014 | −58 |
| 2015 | −42 |
| 2016 | −317 |
| 2017 | −187 |
| 2018 | +4 |
| 2019 | +12 |
| 2021 | −225 |
| 2022 | −239 |
| 2023 | +35 |
| 2024 | +108 |
| 2025 | −217 |
Noble County's R+51.4 margin in 2024 reflects a pattern common to Indiana's northern tier, where small-city anchors like Ligonier and Albion sit within a predominantly white, working-class agricultural landscape that has swung sharply in one direction over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 51.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.4 points.
A population of 47,495, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,723 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Marshall County and DeKalb County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Marshall County
Indiana
95.0twin score
elasticity2000–2004 trajectory% Black≠ French ancestry
DeKalb County
Indiana
93.5twin score
elasticity2004–2020 trajectory
Fulton County
Indiana
93.3twin score
elasticity2004–2016 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ French ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Noble County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18113/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Noble County
Indiana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Noble County, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Noble County, Indiana voted Republican by 51.4 points (R+51.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,964 votes cast, 4,462 went Democratic and 14,209 went Republican.
When did Noble County, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Noble County, Indiana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Noble County, Indiana?
Noble County, Indiana has a population of 47,495 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Noble County, Indiana?
Median household income in Noble County, Indiana is $71,723 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Noble County, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Noble County, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.