- Lead
- 3,761
- Total
- 6,608
- vs nation
- R+55.4
- Turnout
- 62.0%
Newton County, IN
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.0% of 10,771 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,433
- Total
- 6,591
- vs nation
- R+56.5
- Turnout
- 62.8%
- Lead
- 2,673
- Total
- 5,860
- vs nation
- R+47.7
- Turnout
- 55.8%
- Lead
- 1,079
- Total
- 5,672
- vs nation
- R+22.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 676
- Total
- 6,045
- vs nation
- R+18.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,725
- Total
- 5,848
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,149
- Total
- 5,510
- vs nation
- R+21.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 178
- Total
- 4,810
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,9222024 5-year
- Population density
- 35 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 402 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,4812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+5.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fremont County, IA · twin score 87.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 62.0%6,683 participants ÷ 10,771 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 37.6%–46.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,683 | 10,771 ± 229 | 62.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 4,102 | 10,673 ± 187 | 38.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,699 | 10,662 ± 171 | 62.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 5,116 | 10,582 ± 124 | 48.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,926 | 10,612 ± 123 | 55.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,672 | 10,775 | 52.6% | Derived | — | |
| 6,045 | 10,637 | 56.8% | Derived | — | |
| 5,848 | 10,499 extrapolated | 55.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Newton County only. The complete district District 4 result is shown below for comparison.
Newton County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 8 candidates
District District 4 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 37 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
37 precincts · 6,601 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -LAKE 01LAKE 01 | 124 | 640 | 7 | 771 | 16.1% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -LINCOLN 02LINCOLN 02 | 108 | 465 | 7 | 580 | 18.6% | 80.2% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -LINCOLN 01LINCOLN 01 | 128 | 440 | 10 | 578 | 22.1% | 76.1% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct -LINCOLN 04LINCOLN 04 | 149 | 416 | 5 | 570 | 26.1% | 73.0% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -LAKE 02LAKE 02 | 101 | 384 | 6 | 491 | 20.6% | 78.2% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -LINCOLN 03LINCOLN 03 | 87 | 377 | 5 | 469 | 18.6% | 80.4% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON 02JEFFERSON 02 | 131 | 270 | 11 | 412 | 31.8% | 65.5% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -BEAVER 02BEAVER 02 | 75 | 316 | 4 | 395 | 19.0% | 80.0% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON 01JEFFERSON 01 | 68 | 261 | 3 | 332 | 20.5% | 78.6% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -BEAVER 01BEAVER 01 | 67 | 238 | 6 | 311 | 21.5% | 76.5% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -IROQUOIS 02IROQUOIS 02 | 59 | 237 | 10 | 306 | 19.3% | 77.5% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -GRANT 01GRANT 01 | 50 | 219 | 7 | 276 | 18.1% | 79.3% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -IROQUOIS 01IROQUOIS 01 | 43 | 167 | 4 | 214 | 20.1% | 78.0% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -JACKSONJACKSON | 44 | 166 | 4 | 214 | 20.6% | 77.6% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON 03JEFFERSON 03 | 45 | 133 | 2 | 180 | 25.0% | 73.9% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTONWASHINGTON | 29 | 142 | 4 | 175 | 16.6% | 81.1% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -GRANT 02GRANT 02 | 33 | 119 | 1 | 153 | 21.6% | 77.8% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -MCCLELLANMCCLELLAN | 18 | 84 | 1 | 103 | 17.5% | 81.6% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -COLFAXCOLFAX | 11 | 57 | 3 | 71 | 15.5% | 80.3% | R+64.8 |
| BEAVER 0118_1811100010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEAVER 0218_1811100020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLFAX18_1811100030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRANT 0118_1811100040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRANT 0218_1811100050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| IROQUOIS 0118_1811100060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| IROQUOIS 0218_1811100070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON18_1811100080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON 0118_1811100090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON 0218_1811100100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON 0318_1811100110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAKE 0118_1811100120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAKE 0218_1811100130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LINCOLN 0118_1811100140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LINCOLN 0218_1811100150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LINCOLN 0318_1811100160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MCCLELLAN18_1811100170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON18_1811100180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Newton County, IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
52.0%
2,654 votes · D+5.4
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 47.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
77.6%
5,131 votes · R+56.9
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 75.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
2,654votes
52.0% of the vote · D+5.4
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,625 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,131votes
77.6% of the vote · R+56.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,942 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
−1.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+26.4 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · −3.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+56.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +55.4 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Newton County, IN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 23.7%1,522 | 76.3%4,909 | 6,431 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 11,444 |
| 2018 | 10,157 |
| 2020 | 10,162 |
| 2022 | 10,135 |
| 2024 | 10,207 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+109 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +182 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,483 in average income, against $72,776 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.8 on average — 42 points more Democratic-leaning than Newton County, IN itself (R+56.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lake County, IN109D+5.6
- Jasper County, IN77R+54.3
- Benton County, IN25R+47.1
- Tippecanoe County, IN23R+0.1
- Porter County, IN22R+10.5
- Cook County, IL21D+41.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jasper County, IN111
- Lake County, IN62
- Tippecanoe County, IN29
- Porter County, IN22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −118 |
| 2012 | −55 |
| 2013 | −3 |
| 2014 | +49 |
| 2015 | −80 |
| 2016 | −5 |
| 2017 | +30 |
| 2018 | −48 |
| 2019 | −14 |
| 2021 | +57 |
| 2022 | +67 |
| 2023 | +160 |
| 2024 | +33 |
| 2025 | +109 |
Newton County sits in the flat, agricultural northwest corner of Indiana, where a small and largely rural population has delivered some of the state's most lopsided federal margins over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 5.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.9 points.
A population of 13,922, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,481 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fremont County and Starke County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Newton County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18111/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.