HarrisDemocratic27.5%3,572TrumpRepublican70.9%9,206KennedyIndependent1.0%128
R+43.4- Lead
- 5,634
- Total
- 12,978
- vs nation
- R+41.9
- Turnout
- 66.8%
Akashiccounty
Posey County, IN
Contests in this Place (89 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 66.8% of 19,638 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic28.8%3,811TrumpRepublican69.6%9,206JorgensenLibertarian1.6%214
R+40.8- Lead
- 5,395
- Total
- 13,236
- vs nation
- R+45.2
- Turnout
- 67.8%
ClintonDemocratic28.0%3,515TrumpRepublican66.7%8,393JohnsonLibertarian4.3%542
R+38.8- Lead
- 4,878
- Total
- 12,575
- vs nation
- R+40.9
- Turnout
- 69.8%
ObamaDemocratic37.1%4,533RomneyRepublican60.8%7,430JohnsonLibertarian2.1%258
R+23.7- Lead
- 2,897
- Total
- 12,226
- vs nation
- R+27.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic45.6%5,828McCainRepublican53.3%6,804OtherAll other candidates1.1%139
R+7.6- Lead
- 976
- Total
- 12,771
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.1%4,085BushRepublican65.4%7,833OtherAll other candidates0.6%68
R+31.3- Lead
- 3,748
- Total
- 11,986
- vs nation
- R+28.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.9%4,430BushRepublican58.5%6,498OtherAll other candidates1.6%182
R+18.6- Lead
- 2,068
- Total
- 11,110
- vs nation
- R+19.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic45.3%4,965DoleRepublican42.3%4,638PerotReform11.9%1,304
D+3.0- Lead
- 327
- Total
- 10,954
- vs nation
- R+5.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,1162024 5-year
- Population density
- 61 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 409 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,1292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Steuben County, IN · twin score 93.2
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 66.8%13,123 participants ÷ 19,638 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 44.4%–56.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13,123 | 19,638 ± 180 | 66.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 8,895 | 19,617 ± 135 | 45.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 13,407 | 19,780 ± 115 | 67.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 14,014 | 19,807 ± 110 | 70.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 13,731 | 19,665 ± 123 | 69.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 12,226 | 19,620 | 62.3% | Derived | — | |
| 12,771 | 19,838 | 64.4% | Derived | — | |
| 11,986 | 20,056 extrapolated | 59.8% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Posey County only. The complete district District 8 result is shown below for comparison.
Posey County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Christopher Rector0—
Mario Foradori0—
Mary Allen0—
Tabitha Zeigler0—
District District 8 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 67 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
67 precincts · 12,978 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ROBINSON 03ROBINSON 03 | 231 | 730 | 11 | 972 | 23.8% | 75.1% | R+51.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MARRS CENTERMARRS CENTER | 250 | 639 | 11 | 900 | 27.8% | 71.0% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -MARRS WESTMARRS WEST | 245 | 638 | 16 | 899 | 27.3% | 71.0% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -ROBINSON 02ROBINSON 02 | 217 | 494 | 17 | 728 | 29.8% | 67.9% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -CENTER NORTHCENTER NORTH | 123 | 504 | 11 | 638 | 19.3% | 79.0% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -MARRS NORTHMARRS NORTH | 174 | 457 | 5 | 636 | 27.4% | 71.9% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -MARRS SOUTHMARRS SOUTH | 180 | 436 | 8 | 624 | 28.8% | 69.9% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -BLACK 01BLACK 01 | 125 | 430 | 3 | 558 | 22.4% | 77.1% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -BLACK 12BLACK 12 | 123 | 346 | 4 | 473 | 26.0% | 73.2% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -ROBINSON 01ROBINSON 01 | 85 | 343 | 7 | 435 | 19.5% | 78.9% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -ROBB 01ROBB 01 | 97 | 325 | 7 | 429 | 22.6% | 75.8% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -BLACK 08BLACK 08 | 146 | 261 | 9 | 416 | 35.1% | 62.7% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct -BLACK 07BLACK 07 | 121 | 265 | 9 | 395 | 30.6% | 67.1% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -BLACK 06BLACK 06 | 125 | 225 | 5 | 355 | 35.2% | 63.4% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -BLACK 11BLACK 11 | 106 | 229 | 8 | 343 | 30.9% | 66.8% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -HARMONY 02HARMONY 02 | 100 | 217 | 9 | 326 | 30.7% | 66.6% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -BLACK 03BLACK 03 | 85 | 220 | 8 | 313 | 27.2% | 70.3% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -ROBB 02ROBB 02 | 67 | 227 | 5 | 299 | 22.4% | 75.9% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -LYNN EASTLYNN EAST | 70 | 227 | 1 | 298 | 23.5% | 76.2% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -SMITH WESTSMITH WEST | 87 | 199 | 3 | 289 | 30.1% | 68.9% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -BLACK 10BLACK 10 | 101 | 167 | 8 | 276 | 36.6% | 60.5% | R+23.9 |
| Precinct -CENTER SOUTHCENTER SOUTH | 49 | 177 | 4 | 230 | 21.3% | 77.0% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -SMITH EASTSMITH EAST | 73 | 148 | 8 | 229 | 31.9% | 64.6% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -BLACK 02BLACK 02 | 42 | 153 | 5 | 200 | 21.0% | 76.5% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -ROBB 03ROBB 03 | 45 | 151 | 0 | 196 | 23.0% | 77.0% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -HARMONY 03HARMONY 03 | 72 | 116 | 3 | 191 | 37.7% | 60.7% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -HARMONY 01HARMONY 01 | 89 | 98 | 1 | 188 | 47.3% | 52.1% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct -BLACK 04BLACK 04 | 56 | 126 | 3 | 185 | 30.3% | 68.1% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -BLACK 13BLACK 13 | 59 | 119 | 4 | 182 | 32.4% | 65.4% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -BLACK 05BLACK 05 | 66 | 102 | 2 | 170 | 38.8% | 60.0% | R+21.2 |
| Precinct -LYNN WESTLYNN WEST | 44 | 122 | 2 | 168 | 26.2% | 72.6% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -POINTPOINT | 33 | 127 | 1 | 161 | 20.5% | 78.9% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -BLACK 09BLACK 09 | 55 | 100 | 0 | 155 | 35.5% | 64.5% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -BETHELBETHEL | 31 | 88 | 2 | 121 | 25.6% | 72.7% | R+47.1 |
| BETHEL18_1812900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 0118_1812900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 0218_1812900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 0318_1812900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 0418_1812900050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 0518_1812900060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 0618_1812900070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 0718_1812900080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 0818_1812900090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 0918_1812900100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 1018_1812900110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 1118_1812900120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 1218_1812900130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLACK 1318_1812900140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER NORTH18_1812900150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER SOUTH18_1812900160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARMONY 0118_1812900170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARMONY 0218_1812900180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARMONY 0318_1812900190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LYNN EAST18_1812900200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LYNN WEST18_1812900210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARRS CENTER18_1812900220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARRS NORTH18_1812900230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARRS SOUTH18_1812900240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POINT18_1812900250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBB 0118_1812900260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBB 0218_1812900270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBB 0318_1812900280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 0118_1812900290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 0218_1812900300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 0318_1812900310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SMITH EAST18_1812900320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SMITH WEST18_1812900330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Posey County, IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
65.3%
5,641 votes · D+32.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 63.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
70.9%
9,206 votes · R+43.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 69.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
6,164votes
63.1% of the vote · D+26.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 5,828 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,206votes
70.9% of the vote · R+43.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,206 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+27.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+7.4 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +25.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+45.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.8 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +41.9 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJim TomesState Senate · 49
RWendy McNamaraState House · 76
Seats representing Posey County, IN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.4%3,187 | 74.6%9,351 | 12,538 |
| 2020 | R | 25.6%3,262 | 74.4%9,482 | 12,744 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 19,042 |
| 2018 | 18,025 |
| 2020 | 18,182 |
| 2022 | 18,502 |
| 2024 | 18,309 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−38 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −734 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,827 in average income, against $87,890 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.2 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than Posey County, IN itself (R+43.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Vanderburgh County, IN302R+12.6
- Gibson County, IN38R+51.4
- Warrick County, IN34R+30.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Vanderburgh County, IN364
- Warrick County, IN39
- Gibson County, IN35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −211 |
| 2012 | −169 |
| 2013 | −100 |
| 2014 | −14 |
| 2015 | −5 |
| 2016 | −9 |
| 2017 | −81 |
| 2018 | −28 |
| 2019 | −111 |
| 2021 | +3 |
| 2022 | −12 |
| 2023 | −15 |
| 2024 | +56 |
| 2025 | −38 |
Posey County sits at Indiana's southwestern corner, where river-town manufacturing heritage and rural demographics combine to produce some of the state's most lopsided presidential margins, hitting R+43.4 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 43.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.4 points.
A population of 25,116, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,129 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Steuben County and Spencer County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Steuben County
Indiana
93.2twin score
elasticity% White2004 margin≠ Polish ancestry
Spencer County
Indiana
91.2twin score
elasticity% WhiteGerman ancestry≠ English ancestry
Knox County
Indiana
88.5twin score
elasticity% White12-yr trend≠ German ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Posey County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18129/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Posey County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Posey County, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Posey County, Indiana voted Republican by 43.4 points (R+43.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,978 votes cast, 3,572 went Democratic and 9,206 went Republican.
When did Posey County, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Posey County, Indiana voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Posey County, Indiana?
Posey County, Indiana has a population of 25,116 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Posey County, Indiana?
Median household income in Posey County, Indiana is $78,129 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Posey County, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Posey County, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.