- Lead
- 4,633
- Total
- 8,795
- vs nation
- R+51.2
- Turnout
- 52.9%
Sullivan County, IN
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 52.9% of 16,818 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,538
- Total
- 8,994
- vs nation
- R+54.9
- Turnout
- 55.1%
- Lead
- 4,025
- Total
- 8,613
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Turnout
- 53.1%
- Lead
- 1,711
- Total
- 8,290
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 59
- Total
- 8,782
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,658
- Total
- 8,394
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 486
- Total
- 8,262
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 869
- Total
- 8,642
- vs nation
- D+1.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 20,7802024 5-year
- Population density
- 46 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 447 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $56,2042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Blackford County, IN · twin score 96.1
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 52.9%8,898 participants ÷ 16,818 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -9.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 37.7%–46.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8,898 | 16,818 ± 153 | 52.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 6,609 | 16,584 ± 176 | 39.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 9,137 | 16,593 ± 231 | 55.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 9,165 | 16,585 ± 177 | 55.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 8,837 | 16,638 ± 169 | 53.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 8,290 | 16,763 | 49.5% | Derived | — | |
| 8,782 | 16,624 | 52.8% | Derived | — | |
| 8,394 | 16,485 extrapolated | 50.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Sullivan County only. The complete district District 8 result is shown below for comparison.
Sullivan County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 8 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 40 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 8,795 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -HAMILTON 06HAMILTON 06 | 195 | 588 | 12 | 795 | 24.5% | 74.0% | R+49.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -HAMILTON 05HAMILTON 05 | 162 | 547 | 8 | 717 | 22.6% | 76.3% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -TURMANTURMAN | 117 | 568 | 11 | 696 | 16.8% | 81.6% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -CURRY 03CURRY 03 | 138 | 476 | 8 | 622 | 22.2% | 76.5% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -HAMILTON 02HAMILTON 02 | 185 | 411 | 11 | 607 | 30.5% | 67.7% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -HADDON 02HADDON 02 | 133 | 435 | 8 | 576 | 23.1% | 75.5% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -CASS 02CASS 02 | 96 | 432 | 9 | 537 | 17.9% | 80.4% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -JACKSON 01JACKSON 01 | 92 | 391 | 14 | 497 | 18.5% | 78.7% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -CURRY 01CURRY 01 | 124 | 328 | 7 | 459 | 27.0% | 71.5% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -HAMILTON 03HAMILTON 03 | 117 | 312 | 8 | 437 | 26.8% | 71.4% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -CURRY 02CURRY 02 | 92 | 307 | 3 | 402 | 22.9% | 76.4% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -FAIRBANKSFAIRBANKS | 74 | 312 | 12 | 398 | 18.6% | 78.4% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -CASS 01CASS 01 | 63 | 294 | 8 | 365 | 17.3% | 80.5% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -JACKSON 02JACKSON 02 | 69 | 254 | 9 | 332 | 20.8% | 76.5% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -HAMILTON 01HAMILTON 01 | 89 | 230 | 5 | 324 | 27.5% | 71.0% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -HAMILTON 04HAMILTON 04 | 81 | 166 | 6 | 253 | 32.0% | 65.6% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -GILL 01GILL 01 | 53 | 187 | 6 | 246 | 21.5% | 76.0% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -HADDON 01HADDON 01 | 42 | 155 | 1 | 198 | 21.2% | 78.3% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSONJEFFERSON | 40 | 135 | 2 | 177 | 22.6% | 76.3% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -GILL 02GILL 02 | 44 | 111 | 2 | 157 | 28.0% | 70.7% | R+42.7 |
| CASS 118_1815300010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CASS 218_1815300020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CURRY 118_1815300030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CURRY 218_1815300040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CURRY 318_1815300050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRBANKS18_1815300060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GILL 118_1815300070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GILL 218_1815300080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HADDON 118_1815300090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HADDON 218_1815300100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 118_1815300110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 218_1815300120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 318_1815300130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 418_1815300140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 518_1815300150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 618_1815300160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON 118_1815300170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON 218_1815300180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON18_1815300190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TURMAN18_1815300200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Sullivan County, IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
67.3%
10,203 votes · D+36.4
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 65.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
75.5%
6,639 votes · R+52.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 74.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
10,203votes
67.3% of the vote · D+36.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 8,667 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
6,691votes
74.4% of the vote · R+50.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 6,639 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1900
+33.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.5 · U.S. R+7.5
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +32.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+54.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.5 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +51.2 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Sullivan County, IN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 24.2%1,969 | 75.8%6,164 | 8,133 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,905 |
| 2018 | 13,714 |
| 2020 | 13,897 |
| 2022 | 14,311 |
| 2024 | 14,588 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+191 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −364 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,399 in average income, against $65,426 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.9 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Sullivan County, IN itself (R+52.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Vigo County, IN123R+18.1
- Greene County, IN83R+53.7
- Knox County, IN32R+50.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Vigo County, IN131
- Greene County, IN62
- Knox County, IN37
- Marion County, IN20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −159 |
| 2012 | −29 |
| 2013 | −79 |
| 2014 | −149 |
| 2015 | −80 |
| 2016 | −127 |
| 2017 | +19 |
| 2018 | +2 |
| 2019 | −24 |
| 2021 | +10 |
| 2022 | −75 |
| 2023 | +106 |
| 2024 | +30 |
| 2025 | +191 |
Sullivan County's 2024 presidential margin of R+52.7 reflects a broader realignment of southwestern Indiana's historically Democratic coal-country precincts, where union-era voting patterns have steadily given way to Republican dominance over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 52.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.7 points.
A population of 20,780, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,204 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Blackford County and Henry County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Sullivan County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18153/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.