Wapello County, Iowa: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+31%. Democratic peak: D+43 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 35,3622024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,7662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Boone County, IA · similarity 0.98
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −3.4% |
| 1896 | −3.3% |
| 1900 | −9.4% |
| 1904 | −30.1% |
| 1908 | −9.1% |
| 1912 | +4.1% |
| 1916 | −4.4% |
| 1920 | −39.6% |
| 1924 | −39.4% |
| 1928 | −33.0% |
| 1932 | +13.2% |
| 1936 | +15.8% |
| 1940 | +13.5% |
| 1944 | +13.0% |
| 1948 | +15.6% |
| 1952 | −5.1% |
| 1956 | +2.6% |
| 1960 | +0.4% |
| 1964 | +43.2% |
| 1968 | +8.3% |
| 1972 | −5.2% |
| 1976 | +20.1% |
| 1980 | +8.2% |
| 1984 | +19.4% |
| 1988 | +30.8% |
| 1992 | +23.7% |
| 1996 | +24.4% |
| 2000 | +13.5% |
| 2004 | +10.3% |
| 2008 | +13.5% |
| 2012 | +11.9% |
| 2016 | −20.4% |
| 2020 | −23.6% |
| 2024 | −31.4% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,896 | 9,479 | 14,583 | ||
| R | 5,821 | 9,516 | 15,633 | ||
| R | 5,594 | 8,715 | 15,277 | ||
| D | 8,663 | 6,789 | 15,770 | ||
| D | 8,820 | 6,663 | 15,931 | ||
| D | 9,125 | 7,403 | 16,707 | ||
| D | 8,355 | 6,313 | 15,139 | ||
| D | 8,437 | 4,828 | 14,770 | ||
| D | 8,670 | 4,852 | 16,083 | ||
| D | 10,177 | 5,350 | 15,673 | ||
| D | 10,545 | 7,098 | 17,800 | ||
| D | 8,923 | 7,475 | 17,668 | ||
| D | 10,249 | 6,786 | 17,268 | ||
| R | 8,348 | 9,301 | 18,171 | ||
| D | 9,375 | 7,825 | 18,647 | ||
| D | 13,971 | 5,524 | 19,546 | ||
| D | 11,116 | 11,036 | 22,167 | ||
| D | 10,960 | 10,401 | 21,381 | ||
| R | 10,449 | 11,571 | 22,150 | ||
| D | 10,841 | 7,875 | 18,976 | ||
| D | 10,732 | 8,244 | 19,089 | ||
| D | 11,880 | 9,039 | 21,006 | ||
| D | 10,578 | 7,647 | 18,512 | ||
| D | 9,504 | 7,256 | 17,076 | ||
| R | 5,793 | 11,586 | 17,528 | ||
| R | 3,039 | 9,870 | 17,329 | ||
| R | 4,131 | 9,884 | 14,537 | ||
| R | 3,994 | 4,398 | 9,229 | ||
| D | 3,102 | 2,755 | 8,470 | ||
| R | 3,724 | 4,541 | 8,959 | ||
| R | 2,473 | 4,912 | 8,105 | ||
| R | 3,902 | 4,742 | 8,912 | ||
| R | 4,041 | 4,319 | 8,510 | ||
| R | 3,380 | 3,643 | 7,804 | ||
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Demographics
Wapello County, anchored by Ottumwa along the Des Moines River, was a union-labor stronghold that backed Democrats into the 2000s; by 2024 it recorded an R+31 presidential margin, tracing one of Iowa's steepest partisan realignments.
The Democratic margin here once reached forty-three points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-one points.
A population of 35,362, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,766 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Boone County and Lee County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wapello County, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/19179/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
