Ottumwa-Kirksville · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.3%
41,066 votes · D+26.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 58.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
69.6%
39,896 votes · R+40.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 66.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
43,096votes
52.3% of the vote · D+5.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 42,056 votes
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
46,515votes
61.5% of the vote · R+23.6
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 46,258 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+11.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+3.5 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +9.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+39.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.7 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +38.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Ottumwa-Kirksville · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Ottumwa-Kirksville, by party and cycle.
Party
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Democratic
Clinton6Edwards3Obama17,126 votes · 10 of 10 countiescaucus + primary
Sanders6Clinton46,831 votes · 10 of 10 countiescaucus + primary
Biden7Buttigieg2Sanders17,120 votes · 10 of 10 countiescaucus + primary
○no contest record
Republicannot ingested
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2014D+7.9
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+40.7
Ottumwa-Kirksville registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 49-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Ottumwa-Kirksville
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2008 (partial)
47,516
19,488
12,292
15,714
22
2010 (partial)
47,503
18,246
13,676
15,535
46
2012 (partial)
47,490
17,582
13,769
16,056
83
2014 (partial)
45,230
16,639
13,066
15,392
133
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−829 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −9,607 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Ottumwa-Kirksville in Ottumwa-Kirksville: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−690
2012
−540
2013
−287
2014
−856
2015
−875
2016
−851
2017
−692
2018
−672
2019
−831
2021
−222
2022
−1,081
2023
−424
2024
−757
2025
−829
This mid-Missouri and southeast-Iowa media market ties together small industrial cities like Ottumwa and Kirksville across a rural landscape where ag-economy pressures and population decline have steadily shifted the electorate toward wide Republican margins over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.7 points.
A population of 127,152, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,772 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Zanesville and St. Joseph.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/631/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri voted Republican by 40.7 points (R+40.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 57,292 votes cast, 16,602 went Democratic and 39,896 went Republican.
When did Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri?
Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri has a population of 127,152 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri?
Median household income in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri is $63,772 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.
