† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
10 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupOttumwa-KirksvilleUnited States
German19.4%12.5%
English12.6%9.5%
Irish9.6%9.4%
American7.7%5.3%
Dutch1.5%—
Italian1.5%4.8%
Scottish1.4%1.3%
Swedish1.4%—
Mexican3.6%11.3%
Salvadoran0.7%0.7%
Guatemalan0.7%0.5%
Puerto Rican0.2%1.8%
Cuban0.2%0.7%
African American†1.1%9.9%
African0.9%0.5%
Ethiopian0.3%—
Filipino0.4%0.9%
Vietnamese0.4%0.6%
Mongolian0.2%—
Asian Indian0.2%1.4%
Nepalese0.2%—
Chuukese0.6%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Ottumwa-Kirksville
United States
Median age
39
39.1
Age 18–24
11.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Ottumwa-Kirksville
United States
Median household income
$63,772
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.9%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
24.9%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Ottumwa-Kirksville
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
12.4%
22.3%
Spanish
4.2%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
3.5%
0.5%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.3%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
Ottumwa-Kirksville
United States
Catholic
5.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
25.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
58.6%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
7.9%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−4.0%
1896
+1.3%
1900
−4.4%
1904
−16.5%
1908
−5.9%
1912
+8.7%
1916
−1.6%
1920
−26.1%
1924
−20.0%
1928
−23.6%
1932
+18.6%
1936
+5.7%
1940
−2.5%
1944
−4.2%
1948
+5.6%
1952
−17.2%
1956
−9.4%
1960
−12.9%
1964
+26.8%
1968
−8.8%
1972
−22.8%
1976
+5.6%
1980
−9.9%
1984
−8.4%
1988
+3.5%
1992
+9.7%
1996
+8.0%
2000
−8.9%
2004
−6.6%
2008
−1.6%
2012
−8.2%
2016
−32.3%
2020
−34.4%
2024
−40.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
29.0%Harris16,602
69.6%Trump39,896
1.4%
R+40.7
R+6.3
R+39.2
57,292
R
31.9%Biden19,000
66.3%Trump39,463
1.7%
R+34.4
R+2.1
R+38.9
59,478
R
30.8%Clinton17,772
63.1%Trump36,391
6.0%
R+32.3
R+24.1
R+34.4
57,635
R
44.6%Obama25,746
52.8%Romney30,482
2.6%
R+8.2
R+6.6
R+12.1
57,707
R
48.0%Obama29,071
49.6%McCain30,065
2.4%
R+1.6
D+5.0
R+8.9
60,619
R
46.2%Kerry28,380
52.8%Bush32,466
1.0%
R+6.6
D+2.2
R+4.2
61,478
R
43.1%Gore24,700
52.0%Bush29,779
4.9%
R+8.9
R+16.9
R+9.4
57,316
D
46.7%Clinton25,948
38.7%Dole21,480
14.6%
D+8.0
R+1.7
R+0.5
55,516
D
43.6%Clinton26,438
33.9%Bush20,561
22.4%
D+9.7
D+6.2
D+4.1
60,582
D
51.4%Dukakis28,910
47.9%Bush26,919
0.7%
D+3.5
D+12.0
D+11.3
56,218
R
45.6%Mondale28,252
54.0%Reagan33,472
0.4%
R+8.4
D+1.4
D+9.8
61,982
R
42.4%Carter26,594
52.3%Reagan32,774
5.3%
R+9.9
R+15.5
R+0.1
62,694
D
52.2%Carter32,115
46.5%Ford28,640
1.3%
D+5.6
D+28.4
D+3.6
61,539
R
38.0%McGovern23,333
60.7%Nixon37,319
1.3%
R+22.8
R+13.9
D+0.4
61,474
R
41.9%Humphrey26,296
50.7%Nixon31,841
7.4%
R+8.8
R+35.6
R+8.1
62,769
D
63.3%Johnson41,066
36.5%Goldwater23,699
0.1%
D+26.8
D+39.6
D+4.2
64,856
R
43.6%Kennedy32,136
56.4%Nixon41,620
0.0%
R+12.9
R+3.5
R+13.0
73,781
R
45.3%Stevenson33,463
54.7%Eisenhower40,384
0.1%
R+9.4
D+7.8
D+6.0
73,886
R
41.2%Stevenson32,658
58.4%Eisenhower46,258
0.4%
R+17.2
R+22.8
R+6.4
79,232
D
52.4%Truman37,351
46.7%Dewey33,325
0.9%
D+5.6
D+9.8
D+1.2
71,296
R
47.7%Roosevelt35,143
51.9%Dewey38,239
0.4%
R+4.2
R+1.7
R+11.7
73,706
R
48.5%Roosevelt41,889
51.1%Willkie44,054
0.4%
R+2.5
R+8.2
R+12.5
86,286
D
52.3%Roosevelt43,096
46.6%Landon38,391
1.1%
D+5.7
R+12.9
R+18.6
82,405
D
58.6%Roosevelt42,056
39.9%Hoover28,672
1.5%
D+18.6
D+42.3
D+0.9
71,785
R
37.9%Smith28,664
61.5%Hoover46,515
0.5%
R+23.6
R+3.6
R+6.1
75,592
R
33.2%Davis25,412
53.2%Coolidge40,680
13.5%
R+20.0
D+6.1
D+5.2
76,443
R
35.7%Cox26,483
61.8%Harding45,821
2.5%
R+26.1
R+24.5
D+0.1
74,139
R
47.2%Wilson21,768
48.8%Hughes22,514
4.0%
R+1.6
R+10.3
R+4.8
46,110
D
42.4%Wilson18,657
33.7%Taft14,819
23.9%
D+8.7
D+14.6
R+10.8
43,981
R
44.9%Bryan20,664
50.8%Taft23,387
4.3%
R+5.9
D+10.5
D+3.6
46,044
R
39.1%Parker17,600
55.6%Roosevelt25,006
5.3%
R+16.5
R+12.0
D+3.2
44,989
R
46.4%Bryan22,565
50.9%McKinley24,729
2.7%
R+4.4
R+5.8
D+3.1
48,630
D
50.1%Bryan24,536
48.8%McKinley23,894
1.0%
D+1.3
D+5.3
D+7.4
48,941
R
42.9%Cleveland18,376
46.9%Harrison20,092
10.2%
R+4.0
—
R+5.7
42,817
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2014D+7.9
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+40.7
Ottumwa-Kirksville registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 49-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Ottumwa-Kirksville
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2008 (partial)
47,516
19,488
12,292
15,714
22
2010 (partial)
47,503
18,246
13,676
15,535
46
2012 (partial)
47,490
17,582
13,769
16,056
83
2014 (partial)
45,230
16,639
13,066
15,392
133
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−829 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −9,607 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Ottumwa-Kirksville in Ottumwa-Kirksville: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−690
2012
−540
2013
−287
2014
−856
2015
−875
2016
−851
2017
−692
2018
−672
2019
−831
2021
−222
2022
−1,081
2023
−424
2024
−757
2025
−829
This mid-Missouri and southeast-Iowa media market ties together small industrial cities like Ottumwa and Kirksville across a rural landscape where ag-economy pressures and population decline have steadily shifted the electorate toward wide Republican margins over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.7 points.
A population of 127,152, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,772 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Zanesville and St. Joseph.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/631/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
How did Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri voted Republican by 40.7 points (R+40.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 57,292 votes cast, 16,602 went Democratic and 39,896 went Republican.
When did Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri?
Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri has a population of 127,152 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri?
Median household income in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri is $63,772 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.
