Breckinridge County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
15 precincts · 10,048 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -F101F101 | 312 | 1,166 | 12 | 1,490 | 20.9% | 78.3% | R+57.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -A101A101 | 285 | 689 | 14 | 988 | 28.8% | 69.7% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 161 | 717 | 12 | 890 | 18.1% | 80.6% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 137 | 612 | 13 | 762 | 18.0% | 80.3% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -E102E102 | 118 | 618 | 6 | 742 | 15.9% | 83.3% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -D101D101 | 141 | 450 | 12 | 603 | 23.4% | 74.6% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -B101B101 | 147 | 434 | 6 | 587 | 25.0% | 73.9% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 91 | 479 | 8 | 578 | 15.7% | 82.9% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -A102A102 | 146 | 402 | 8 | 556 | 26.3% | 72.3% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 98 | 441 | 11 | 550 | 17.8% | 80.2% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -D102D102 | 155 | 385 | 8 | 548 | 28.3% | 70.3% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -F103F103 | 80 | 425 | 12 | 517 | 15.5% | 82.2% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -E101E101 | 51 | 423 | 2 | 476 | 10.7% | 88.9% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -E103E103 | 64 | 355 | 2 | 421 | 15.2% | 84.3% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -D103D103 | 52 | 286 | 2 | 340 | 15.3% | 84.1% | R+68.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +10.1% |
| 1896 | −1.6% |
| 1900 | −6.3% |
| 1904 | −6.3% |
| 1908 | −10.7% |
| 1912 | +17.9% |
| 1916 | −7.9% |
| 1920 | −8.2% |
| 1924 | −8.4% |
| 1928 | −23.1% |
| 1932 | +8.1% |
| 1936 | +5.4% |
| 1940 | +0.6% |
| 1944 | −6.5% |
| 1948 | +4.2% |
| 1952 | −4.2% |
| 1956 | −13.7% |
| 1960 | −11.8% |
| 1964 | +26.5% |
| 1968 | −12.9% |
| 1972 | −29.7% |
| 1976 | +10.6% |
| 1980 | −6.8% |
| 1984 | −24.7% |
| 1988 | −16.2% |
| 1992 | +2.5% |
| 1996 | −2.9% |
| 2000 | −29.1% |
| 2004 | −31.6% |
| 2008 | −25.5% |
| 2012 | −27.6% |
| 2016 | −51.6% |
| 2020 | −52.5% |
| 2024 | −58.2% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 25.3%1,723 | 74.7%5,076 | 6,799 |
| 2020 | R | 27.1%2,764 | 68.0%6,937 | 10,198 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 31 points more Democratic.
15,969 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+241 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,664 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,558 in average income, against $60,338 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+27.2 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Breckinridge County, KY itself (R+58.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Meade County, KY90R+52.0
- Jefferson County, KY87D+16.5
- Hardin County, KY76R+29.3
- Grayson County, KY41R+61.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jefferson County, KY72
- Meade County, KY64
- Hardin County, KY48
- Grayson County, KY35
- Daviess County, KY33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +237 |
| 2012 | −173 |
| 2013 | −19 |
| 2014 | −165 |
| 2015 | +112 |
| 2016 | −29 |
| 2017 | +124 |
| 2018 | +182 |
| 2019 | +143 |
| 2021 | +267 |
| 2022 | +376 |
| 2023 | +218 |
| 2024 | +150 |
| 2025 | +241 |
Breckinridge County's 2024 presidential margin of R+58.2 reflects a broader realignment across western Kentucky's rural counties, where Democratic registration has historically been high but voting patterns shifted sharply over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 58.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.2 points.
A population of 20,881, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,843 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pendleton County and Grayson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Breckinridge County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.