† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
29 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLouisvilleUnited States
German15.8%12.5%
English13.5%9.5%
Irish11.9%9.4%
American8.2%5.3%
Italian2.4%4.8%
Scottish2.0%1.3%
French1.4%1.6%
Polish0.8%2.2%
African American†9.6%9.9%
African0.9%0.5%
Mexican2.7%11.3%
Cuban1.6%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.7%1.8%
Guatemalan0.3%0.5%
Honduran0.2%0.3%
Asian Indian0.5%1.4%
Filipino0.2%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Louisville
United States
Median age
39.5
39.1
Age 18–24
8.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Louisville
United States
Median household income
$72,083
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
29.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Louisville
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
8.3%
22.3%
Spanish
4.6%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Louisville
United States
Catholic
10.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
53.9%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.4%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Louisville, Kentucky
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+15.7%
1896
−3.6%
1900
+3.8%
1904
+5.3%
1908
+5.7%
1912
+34.0%
1916
+7.9%
1920
−0.2%
1924
−0.5%
1928
−15.8%
1932
+14.9%
1936
+20.1%
1940
+15.0%
1944
+10.1%
1948
+7.6%
1952
−5.7%
1956
−13.1%
1960
−2.6%
1964
+28.8%
1968
−4.0%
1972
−23.4%
1976
+2.9%
1980
−3.0%
1984
−20.3%
1988
−10.6%
1992
+5.9%
1996
+4.0%
2000
−10.5%
2004
−14.8%
2008
−4.9%
2012
−7.7%
2016
−15.1%
2020
−11.7%
2024
−16.4%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
41.0%Harris346,650
57.3%Trump485,350
1.7%
R+16.4
R+4.7
R+14.9
846,502
R
43.2%Biden379,672
54.9%Trump482,166
1.8%
R+11.7
D+3.5
R+16.1
877,876
R
39.9%Clinton315,464
55.0%Trump435,253
5.2%
R+15.1
R+7.4
R+17.2
791,545
R
45.2%Obama336,035
53.0%Romney393,506
1.8%
R+7.7
R+2.8
R+11.6
742,878
R
46.9%Obama358,208
51.9%McCain395,781
1.2%
R+4.9
D+9.9
R+12.2
763,219
R
42.2%Kerry304,496
57.0%Bush411,149
0.8%
R+14.8
R+4.2
R+12.3
721,171
R
43.7%Gore274,651
54.2%Bush340,944
2.1%
R+10.5
R+14.5
R+11.1
628,835
D
47.3%Clinton272,987
43.3%Dole250,170
9.4%
D+4.0
R+1.9
R+4.6
577,563
D
45.6%Clinton281,775
39.7%Bush245,500
14.7%
D+5.9
D+16.5
D+0.3
618,000
R
44.5%Dukakis238,756
55.1%Bush295,918
0.4%
R+10.6
D+9.7
R+2.9
537,065
R
39.6%Mondale224,294
59.9%Reagan339,289
0.5%
R+20.3
R+17.3
R+2.1
566,521
R
46.4%Carter244,935
49.4%Reagan260,745
4.1%
R+3.0
R+5.9
D+6.7
527,316
D
50.5%Carter249,577
47.6%Ford235,116
1.9%
D+2.9
D+26.4
D+0.9
494,140
R
37.4%McGovern167,608
60.8%Nixon272,694
1.8%
R+23.4
R+19.5
R+0.3
448,277
R
39.7%Humphrey173,082
43.6%Nixon190,406
16.7%
R+4.0
R+32.7
R+3.3
436,327
D
64.2%Johnson282,222
35.4%Goldwater155,736
0.4%
D+28.8
D+31.4
D+6.2
439,781
R
48.6%Kennedy224,844
51.3%Nixon236,966
0.1%
R+2.6
D+10.5
R+2.8
462,253
R
43.2%Stevenson178,523
56.3%Eisenhower232,538
0.5%
R+13.1
R+7.4
D+2.3
412,998
R
46.9%Stevenson180,200
52.6%Eisenhower202,172
0.6%
R+5.7
R+13.3
D+5.0
384,545
D
52.9%Truman168,286
45.3%Dewey144,219
1.8%
D+7.6
R+2.6
D+3.1
318,126
D
54.8%Roosevelt177,021
44.7%Dewey144,324
0.5%
D+10.1
R+4.9
D+2.6
323,045
D
57.3%Roosevelt201,119
42.3%Willkie148,479
0.3%
D+15.0
R+5.1
D+5.1
350,777
D
59.2%Roosevelt193,343
39.1%Landon127,589
1.7%
D+20.1
D+5.2
R+4.1
326,359
D
57.0%Roosevelt190,836
42.0%Hoover140,857
1.0%
D+14.9
D+30.7
R+2.9
335,070
R
42.0%Smith142,921
57.8%Hoover196,613
0.3%
R+15.8
R+15.3
D+1.7
340,435
R
48.1%Davis136,186
48.6%Coolidge137,545
3.2%
R+0.5
R+0.3
D+24.7
282,910
R
49.4%Cox154,882
49.6%Harding155,411
1.0%
R+0.2
R+8.1
D+26.0
313,493
D
53.0%Wilson86,750
45.1%Hughes73,852
1.9%
D+7.9
R+26.2
D+4.7
163,643
D
50.0%Wilson75,001
15.9%Taft23,904
34.1%
D+34.0
D+28.3
D+14.5
150,133
D
51.6%Bryan83,979
45.9%Taft74,705
2.4%
D+5.7
D+0.4
D+15.3
162,604
D
51.0%Parker75,727
45.7%Roosevelt67,901
3.2%
D+5.3
D+1.5
D+24.9
148,443
D
51.3%Bryan80,141
47.5%McKinley74,250
1.2%
D+3.8
D+7.3
D+11.3
156,264
R
47.2%Bryan72,167
50.8%McKinley77,638
2.1%
R+3.6
R+19.3
D+2.5
152,964
D
54.6%Cleveland67,950
38.9%Harrison48,422
6.4%
D+15.7
—
D+14.0
124,391
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Louisville
Year
Total registered
2016 (partial)
321,880
2018 (partial)
297,910
2020 (partial)
311,435
2022 (partial)
317,530
2024
1,418,351
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−685 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +10,000 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Louisville in Louisville: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+1,723
2012
−232
2013
+4,542
2014
−1,618
2015
−4,019
2016
−72
2017
+3,062
2018
+1,729
2019
+851
2021
+594
2022
+1,346
2023
+1,202
2024
+1,577
2025
−685
Louisville's Jefferson County delivers Democratic margins that routinely offset Republican gains in surrounding rural counties, making the market's inner precincts a reliable bellwether for statewide competitive races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 23.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.4 points.
A population of 1,817,455, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,083 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Roanoke-Lynchburg and Champaign & Springfield-Decatur.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Louisville, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/529/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Louisville, Kentucky voted Republican by 16.4 points (R+16.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 846,502 votes cast, 346,650 went Democratic and 485,350 went Republican.
When did Louisville, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Louisville, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Louisville, Kentucky?
Louisville, Kentucky has a population of 1,817,455 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Louisville, Kentucky?
Median household income in Louisville, Kentucky is $72,083 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Louisville, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Louisville, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.
