Caldwell County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
13 precincts · 6,188 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -C101C101 | 121 | 507 | 4 | 632 | 19.1% | 80.2% | R+61.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -B101B101 | 100 | 510 | 9 | 619 | 16.2% | 82.4% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct -D103D103 | 124 | 475 | 3 | 602 | 20.6% | 78.9% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -C103C103 | 147 | 442 | 11 | 600 | 24.5% | 73.7% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -A103A103 | 136 | 446 | 9 | 591 | 23.0% | 75.5% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -D104D104 | 100 | 357 | 5 | 462 | 21.6% | 77.3% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 84 | 360 | 7 | 451 | 18.6% | 79.8% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 62 | 380 | 4 | 446 | 13.9% | 85.2% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct -D101D101 | 78 | 364 | 1 | 443 | 17.6% | 82.2% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -A102A102 | 45 | 326 | 3 | 374 | 12.0% | 87.2% | R+75.1 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 148 | 201 | 4 | 353 | 41.9% | 56.9% | R+15.0 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 50 | 276 | 5 | 331 | 15.1% | 83.4% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -D102D102 | 61 | 216 | 7 | 284 | 21.5% | 76.1% | R+54.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −6.8% |
| 1896 | −0.5% |
| 1900 | −4.6% |
| 1904 | −6.7% |
| 1908 | +0.8% |
| 1912 | −1.1% |
| 1916 | −2.0% |
| 1920 | −3.7% |
| 1924 | −6.5% |
| 1928 | −25.4% |
| 1932 | +18.9% |
| 1936 | +11.9% |
| 1940 | +11.9% |
| 1944 | +4.3% |
| 1948 | +14.7% |
| 1952 | −8.0% |
| 1956 | −5.2% |
| 1960 | −23.4% |
| 1964 | +23.8% |
| 1968 | −13.8% |
| 1972 | −36.1% |
| 1976 | +24.7% |
| 1980 | +5.6% |
| 1984 | −13.0% |
| 1988 | −7.0% |
| 1992 | +18.3% |
| 1996 | +7.1% |
| 2000 | −17.1% |
| 2004 | −28.7% |
| 2008 | −26.7% |
| 2012 | −35.0% |
| 2016 | −54.3% |
| 2020 | −54.0% |
| 2024 | −58.2% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 23.6%1,104 | 76.4%3,580 | 4,684 |
| 2020 | R | 26.1%1,675 | 69.3%4,452 | 6,425 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 57 points more Democratic.
10,032 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+55 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +35 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,964 in average income, against $60,443 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+52.0 on average — 6.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Caldwell County, KY itself (R+58.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hopkins County, KY35R+50.9
- Lyon County, KY30R+53.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lyon County, KY38
- Hopkins County, KY35
- Crittenden County, KY30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +46 |
| 2012 | −16 |
| 2013 | −93 |
| 2014 | −27 |
| 2015 | −35 |
| 2016 | −109 |
| 2017 | +47 |
| 2018 | +51 |
| 2019 | +58 |
| 2021 | +62 |
| 2022 | −6 |
| 2023 | −26 |
| 2024 | +28 |
| 2025 | +55 |
Caldwell County has shifted decisively toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, posting a 58-point margin in 2024. Its economy centers on agriculture and small-town commerce in the western Kentucky coalfield fringe.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.7 points in 1976 and a Republican high of 58.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.2 points.
A population of 12,618, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,583 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Edmonson County and Trigg County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Caldwell County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.