Mercer County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 11,851 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -G102G102 | 472 | 1,047 | 37 | 1,556 | 30.3% | 67.3% | R+37.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -E101E101 | 395 | 1,137 | 19 | 1,551 | 25.5% | 73.3% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 226 | 845 | 15 | 1,086 | 20.8% | 77.8% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 219 | 780 | 19 | 1,018 | 21.5% | 76.6% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -D102D102 | 167 | 687 | 11 | 865 | 19.3% | 79.4% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -D101D101 | 171 | 636 | 16 | 823 | 20.8% | 77.3% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -E102E102 | 201 | 567 | 15 | 783 | 25.7% | 72.4% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -F102F102 | 219 | 505 | 5 | 729 | 30.0% | 69.3% | R+39.2 |
| Precinct -F101F101 | 217 | 415 | 13 | 645 | 33.6% | 64.3% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -A103A103 | 111 | 485 | 6 | 602 | 18.4% | 80.6% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -D103D103 | 173 | 419 | 8 | 600 | 28.8% | 69.8% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -C104C104 | 107 | 470 | 7 | 584 | 18.3% | 80.5% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 48 | 319 | 7 | 374 | 12.8% | 85.3% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -C105C105 | 44 | 215 | 3 | 262 | 16.8% | 82.1% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -A102A102 | 40 | 181 | 4 | 225 | 17.8% | 80.4% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -A104A104 | 28 | 118 | 2 | 148 | 18.9% | 79.7% | R+60.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +12.7% |
| 1896 | −0.5% |
| 1900 | +0.2% |
| 1904 | +6.4% |
| 1908 | +5.3% |
| 1912 | +27.4% |
| 1916 | +15.4% |
| 1920 | +13.0% |
| 1924 | −0.3% |
| 1928 | −23.6% |
| 1932 | +31.5% |
| 1936 | +25.6% |
| 1940 | +32.2% |
| 1944 | +20.3% |
| 1948 | +24.8% |
| 1952 | +3.7% |
| 1956 | −6.7% |
| 1960 | −13.6% |
| 1964 | +34.5% |
| 1968 | −8.5% |
| 1972 | −34.5% |
| 1976 | +16.0% |
| 1980 | +3.6% |
| 1984 | −28.9% |
| 1988 | −15.7% |
| 1992 | −2.6% |
| 1996 | −1.2% |
| 2000 | −26.3% |
| 2004 | −35.1% |
| 2008 | −36.0% |
| 2012 | −38.8% |
| 2016 | −50.5% |
| 2020 | −46.6% |
| 2024 | −50.5% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 27.8%2,308 | 72.2%5,980 | 8,288 |
| 2020 | R | 27.7%3,247 | 68.0%7,956 | 11,704 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 38 points more Democratic.
19,046 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+306 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,974 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,878 in average income, against $64,264 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+23.1 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Mercer County, KY itself (R+50.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Boyle County, KY124R+29.0
- Fayette County, KY85D+18.1
- Anderson County, KY42R+49.1
- Jessamine County, KY41R+35.8
- Woodford County, KY31R+14.3
- Franklin County, KY25R+4.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Boyle County, KY103
- Fayette County, KY67
- Lincoln County, KY46
- Anderson County, KY42
- Jessamine County, KY28
- Madison County, KY22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −81 |
| 2012 | −38 |
| 2013 | −24 |
| 2014 | +48 |
| 2015 | +57 |
| 2016 | +29 |
| 2017 | +138 |
| 2018 | +173 |
| 2019 | +276 |
| 2021 | +325 |
| 2022 | +143 |
| 2023 | +265 |
| 2024 | +357 |
| 2025 | +306 |
Mercer County sits in Kentucky's Inner Bluegrass region and has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 50 points, reflecting a rural demographic shift that accelerated through the 2010s and has yet to show signs of reversal.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.5 points.
A population of 23,028, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,824 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Anderson County and Garrard County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Mercer County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21167/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.