Metcalfe County, Kentucky: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+65%. Republican peak: R+65 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 10,4252024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,4732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Craig County, VA · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Metcalfe CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Metcalfe County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −15.9% |
| 1896 | −11.5% |
| 1900 | −5.0% |
| 1904 | −4.8% |
| 1908 | −14.8% |
| 1912 | +20.1% |
| 1916 | −2.8% |
| 1920 | −11.3% |
| 1924 | −6.9% |
| 1928 | −33.8% |
| 1932 | +6.9% |
| 1936 | −0.8% |
| 1940 | −9.4% |
| 1944 | −15.3% |
| 1948 | +1.3% |
| 1952 | −8.1% |
| 1956 | −9.0% |
| 1960 | −16.0% |
| 1964 | +21.2% |
| 1968 | −18.5% |
| 1972 | −18.2% |
| 1976 | +16.0% |
| 1980 | −10.4% |
| 1984 | −19.6% |
| 1988 | −12.1% |
| 1992 | +0.5% |
| 1996 | −8.9% |
| 2000 | −30.1% |
| 2004 | −28.2% |
| 2008 | −33.0% |
| 2012 | −29.9% |
| 2016 | −54.4% |
| 2020 | −59.5% |
| 2024 | −64.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 884 | 4,197 | 5,127 | ||
| R | 975 | 3,959 | 5,012 | ||
| R | 976 | 3,491 | 4,620 | ||
| R | 1,425 | 2,676 | 4,184 | ||
| R | 1,350 | 2,734 | 4,199 | ||
| R | 1,472 | 2,645 | 4,157 | ||
| R | 1,318 | 2,476 | 3,849 | ||
| R | 1,349 | 1,651 | 3,377 | ||
| D | 1,703 | 1,683 | 3,813 | ||
| R | 1,705 | 2,179 | 3,915 | ||
| R | 1,575 | 2,349 | 3,944 | ||
| R | 1,628 | 2,013 | 3,707 | ||
| D | 1,877 | 1,356 | 3,266 | ||
| R | 1,308 | 1,896 | 3,238 | ||
| R | 1,001 | 1,566 | 3,046 | ||
| D | 1,967 | 1,277 | 3,252 | ||
| R | 1,553 | 2,146 | 3,699 | ||
| R | 2,014 | 2,412 | 4,438 | ||
| R | 1,848 | 2,176 | 4,037 | ||
| D | 1,683 | 1,640 | 3,346 | ||
| R | 1,694 | 2,306 | 4,012 | ||
| R | 1,826 | 2,206 | 4,044 | ||
| R | 1,748 | 1,777 | 3,530 | ||
| D | 1,985 | 1,729 | 3,730 | ||
| R | 1,144 | 2,314 | 3,458 | ||
| R | 1,262 | 1,450 | 2,728 | ||
| R | 1,442 | 1,809 | 3,259 | ||
| R | 1,046 | 1,107 | 2,172 | ||
| D | 887 | 482 | 2,018 | ||
| R | 968 | 1,311 | 2,312 | ||
| R | 1,011 | 1,115 | 2,157 | ||
| R | 1,050 | 1,162 | 2,227 | ||
| R | 908 | 1,153 | 2,127 | ||
| R | 495 | 756 | 1,644 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.6%
American
10.6%
Irish
10.5%
German
5.7%
Italian
2.7%
Scottish
1.8%
Polish
1.3%
African American
2.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$51,473
Metcalfe County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Metcalfe County$51,473
Kentucky$63,726
United States$80,734
Metcalfe County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
27.5%
Nearly half of children live in poverty.
Children under 1847.7%
Working age (18–64)22.1%
Seniors (65+)13.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.8%
speak English only
Spanish1.6%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 34.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Metcalfe County, a rural south-central Kentucky community of roughly 10,000, recorded an R+64.6 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most politically uniform counties by vote share.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at twenty-one points in 1964 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 1996 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by nine points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-five points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $51,473 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 28% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Craig County and Hart County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Metcalfe County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21169/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More appalachian realigners counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Metcalfe County, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Metcalfe County, Kentucky voted Republican by 64.6 points (R+65), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,127 votes cast, 884 went Democratic and 4,197 went Republican.
What is Metcalfe County, Kentucky's political typology?
Akashic places Metcalfe County, Kentucky in the "Appalachian Realigners" typology — Lower-income counties of Greater Appalachia — a long, deep arc from Democratic to Republican. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 6 times, Republican 28 times, and other 0 times.
When did Metcalfe County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Metcalfe County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Metcalfe County, Kentucky?
Metcalfe County, Kentucky has a population of 10,425 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Metcalfe County, Kentucky?
Median household income in Metcalfe County, Kentucky is $51,473 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Metcalfe County, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Metcalfe County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The county's typology — "Appalachian Realigners" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.