Metcalfe County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 5,127 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -A103A103 | 90 | 666 | 4 | 760 | 11.8% | 87.6% | R+75.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -A102A102 | 150 | 537 | 7 | 694 | 21.6% | 77.4% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 140 | 515 | 13 | 668 | 21.0% | 77.1% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -D101D101 | 78 | 431 | 4 | 513 | 15.2% | 84.0% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 77 | 401 | 3 | 481 | 16.0% | 83.4% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -B104B104 | 81 | 322 | 4 | 407 | 19.9% | 79.1% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 53 | 272 | 2 | 327 | 16.2% | 83.2% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -B101B101 | 60 | 258 | 0 | 318 | 18.9% | 81.1% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -A104A104 | 49 | 238 | 3 | 290 | 16.9% | 82.1% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 59 | 226 | 2 | 287 | 20.6% | 78.7% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -D102D102 | 36 | 240 | 4 | 280 | 12.9% | 85.7% | R+72.9 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 11 | 91 | 0 | 102 | 10.8% | 89.2% | R+78.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −15.9% |
| 1896 | −11.5% |
| 1900 | −5.0% |
| 1904 | −4.8% |
| 1908 | −14.8% |
| 1912 | +20.1% |
| 1916 | −2.8% |
| 1920 | −11.3% |
| 1924 | −6.9% |
| 1928 | −33.8% |
| 1932 | +6.9% |
| 1936 | −0.8% |
| 1940 | −9.4% |
| 1944 | −15.3% |
| 1948 | +1.3% |
| 1952 | −8.1% |
| 1956 | −9.0% |
| 1960 | −16.0% |
| 1964 | +21.2% |
| 1968 | −18.5% |
| 1972 | −18.2% |
| 1976 | +16.0% |
| 1980 | −10.4% |
| 1984 | −19.6% |
| 1988 | −12.1% |
| 1992 | +0.5% |
| 1996 | −8.9% |
| 2000 | −30.1% |
| 2004 | −28.2% |
| 2008 | −33.0% |
| 2012 | −29.9% |
| 2016 | −54.4% |
| 2020 | −59.5% |
| 2024 | −64.6% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 23.8%952 | 76.2%3,047 | 3,999 |
| 2020 | R | 22.7%1,129 | 71.2%3,538 | 4,969 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 44 points more Democratic.
8,090 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+80 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +348 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,808 in average income, against $47,458 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+57.8 on average — 6.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Metcalfe County, KY itself (R+64.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Barren County, KY86R+52.8
- Monroe County, KY22R+77.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Barren County, KY91
- Warren County, KY20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −82 |
| 2012 | −110 |
| 2013 | −18 |
| 2014 | +22 |
| 2015 | −76 |
| 2016 | +102 |
| 2017 | +95 |
| 2018 | −27 |
| 2019 | +17 |
| 2021 | +145 |
| 2022 | +69 |
| 2023 | +95 |
| 2024 | +36 |
| 2025 | +80 |
Metcalfe County, a rural south-central Kentucky community of roughly 10,000, recorded an R+64.6 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most politically uniform counties by vote share.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 64.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.6 points.
A population of 10,425, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,473 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hart County and Hancock County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Metcalfe County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21169/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.