Montgomery County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
3 precincts · 12,821 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -C101C101 | 847 | 3,422 | 81 | 4,350 | 19.5% | 78.7% | R+59.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -A101A101 | 1,296 | 2,921 | 41 | 4,258 | 30.4% | 68.6% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -B101B101 | 1,186 | 2,959 | 68 | 4,213 | 28.2% | 70.2% | R+42.1 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +17.8% |
| 1896 | +4.5% |
| 1900 | +1.8% |
| 1904 | +7.9% |
| 1908 | +8.4% |
| 1912 | +30.7% |
| 1916 | +17.4% |
| 1920 | +17.2% |
| 1924 | +9.0% |
| 1928 | −17.1% |
| 1932 | +29.9% |
| 1936 | +22.1% |
| 1940 | +24.4% |
| 1944 | +22.3% |
| 1948 | +41.6% |
| 1952 | +14.5% |
| 1956 | +8.9% |
| 1960 | +3.5% |
| 1964 | +32.7% |
| 1968 | −15.6% |
| 1972 | −26.4% |
| 1976 | +21.2% |
| 1980 | +8.1% |
| 1984 | −21.5% |
| 1988 | −5.4% |
| 1992 | +14.4% |
| 1996 | +10.2% |
| 2000 | −8.2% |
| 2004 | −11.2% |
| 2008 | −16.6% |
| 2012 | −26.3% |
| 2016 | −41.0% |
| 2020 | −41.8% |
| 2024 | −46.6% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 31.5%2,834 | 68.5%6,152 | 8,986 |
| 2020 | R | 31.1%3,983 | 65.1%8,345 | 12,816 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Montgomery County, KY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 50-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
21,062 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+6 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,728 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,787 in average income, against $64,871 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+31.7 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Montgomery County, KY itself (R+46.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clark County, KY81R+35.3
- Fayette County, KY79D+18.1
- Bath County, KY66R+51.3
- Powell County, KY47R+54.4
- Rowan County, KY41R+27.8
- Menifee County, KY36R+57.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bath County, KY88
- Clark County, KY80
- Fayette County, KY79
- Rowan County, KY50
- Powell County, KY49
- Menifee County, KY43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +67 |
| 2012 | +8 |
| 2013 | +199 |
| 2014 | +9 |
| 2015 | +155 |
| 2016 | +49 |
| 2017 | +210 |
| 2018 | +157 |
| 2019 | +1 |
| 2021 | +168 |
| 2022 | +214 |
| 2023 | +210 |
| 2024 | +275 |
| 2025 | +6 |
Montgomery County, anchored by the small city of Mount Sterling, swung to R+46.6 in 2024, reflecting the deep partisan realignment that has reshaped rural Appalachian-adjacent counties over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.6 points in 1948 and a Republican high of 46.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.6 points.
A population of 28,395, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,396 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morgan County and Carroll County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Montgomery County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21173/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.