combined metro areaLexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+15.7
2008R+10.3
2012R+14.6
2016R+15.1
2020R+8.5
2024R+12.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 63.0% of 575,527 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
154,973
200,259
7,136
362,368
575,527
63.0%
2020
165,587
196,970
7,779
370,336
565,473
65.5%
2016
128,478
177,681
19,965
326,124
544,428
59.9%
2012
124,133
167,778
6,179
298,090
520,976
57.2%
2008
132,457
163,259
4,241
299,957
507,615
59.1%
2004
121,045
166,542
2,504
290,091
494,254†
58.7%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
14 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KYKentuckyUnited States
English15.3%14.5%9.5%
American12.4%11.5%5.3%
German11.0%12.7%12.5%
Irish10.7%11.0%9.4%
Scottish2.3%2.0%1.3%
Italian2.0%2.0%4.8%
Scotch-Irish1.4%0.8%—
French1.3%1.1%1.6%
African American†7.6%6.6%9.9%
African0.2%0.5%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%—0.2%
Mexican4.1%2.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%0.5%1.8%
Guatemalan0.3%0.3%0.5%
Cuban0.3%0.7%0.7%
Honduran0.3%—0.3%
Chinese0.5%—1.3%
Asian Indian0.4%0.3%1.4%
Nepalese0.3%——
Filipino0.2%—0.9%
Korean0.2%—0.4%
Japanese0.2%—0.2%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY
Kentucky
United States
Median age
37.4
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
11.6%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.0%
17.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY
Kentucky
United States
Median household income
$68,460
$63,726
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.6%
16.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
37.4%
27.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY
Kentucky
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
9.5%
6.8%
22.3%
Spanish
4.8%
3.4%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY
Kentucky
United States
Catholic
4.6%
7.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
28.6%
31.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
54.3%
50.7%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
7.1%
5.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+13.2%
1896
−3.0%
1900
+2.5%
1904
+9.8%
1908
+7.3%
1912
+21.2%
1916
+12.0%
1920
+11.2%
1924
+4.5%
1928
−18.0%
1932
+21.6%
1936
+15.8%
1940
+18.1%
1944
+15.3%
1948
+20.4%
1952
+4.8%
1956
−6.0%
1960
−9.8%
1964
+26.5%
1968
−9.5%
1972
−33.1%
1976
+2.7%
1980
−0.1%
1984
−28.0%
1988
−17.6%
1992
−2.5%
1996
+0.4%
2000
−12.9%
2004
−15.7%
2008
−10.3%
2012
−14.6%
2016
−15.1%
2020
−8.5%
2024
−12.5%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
42.8%Harris154,973
55.3%Trump200,259
2.0%
R+12.5
R+4.0
R+11.0
362,368
R
44.7%Biden165,587
53.2%Trump196,970
2.1%
R+8.5
D+6.6
R+12.9
370,336
R
39.4%Clinton128,478
54.5%Trump177,681
6.1%
R+15.1
R+0.4
R+17.2
326,124
R
41.6%Obama124,133
56.3%Romney167,778
2.1%
R+14.6
R+4.4
R+18.5
298,090
R
44.2%Obama132,457
54.4%McCain163,259
1.4%
R+10.3
D+5.4
R+17.5
299,957
R
41.7%Kerry121,045
57.4%Bush166,542
0.9%
R+15.7
R+2.8
R+13.2
290,091
R
42.1%Gore102,130
55.0%Bush133,421
2.9%
R+12.9
R+13.4
R+13.4
242,521
D
46.0%Clinton95,657
45.5%Dole94,726
8.5%
D+0.4
D+3.0
R+8.1
207,989
R
40.5%Clinton87,256
43.0%Bush92,703
16.5%
R+2.5
D+15.1
R+8.1
215,548
R
40.7%Dukakis75,716
58.3%Bush108,417
0.9%
R+17.6
D+10.4
R+9.9
185,828
R
35.6%Mondale66,405
63.6%Reagan118,547
0.8%
R+28.0
R+27.9
R+9.7
186,521
R
47.1%Carter80,995
47.1%Reagan81,092
5.8%
R+0.1
R+2.8
D+9.7
171,992
D
50.2%Carter74,592
47.6%Ford70,585
2.2%
D+2.7
D+35.8
D+0.6
148,443
R
32.5%McGovern45,144
65.5%Nixon91,097
2.0%
R+33.1
R+23.5
R+9.9
139,035
R
35.5%Humphrey43,893
45.0%Nixon55,664
19.6%
R+9.5
R+36.0
R+8.8
123,797
D
63.1%Johnson72,258
36.5%Goldwater41,856
0.4%
D+26.5
D+36.3
D+4.0
114,556
R
45.1%Kennedy52,519
54.9%Nixon63,922
0.0%
R+9.8
R+3.8
R+10.0
116,441
R
46.6%Stevenson50,836
52.6%Eisenhower57,380
0.7%
R+6.0
R+10.8
D+9.4
109,015
D
52.2%Stevenson54,163
47.5%Eisenhower49,229
0.3%
D+4.8
R+15.7
D+15.5
103,673
D
58.9%Truman51,614
38.5%Dewey33,710
2.7%
D+20.4
D+5.1
D+15.9
87,668
D
57.4%Roosevelt52,304
42.1%Dewey38,348
0.5%
D+15.3
R+2.8
D+7.8
91,133
D
58.9%Roosevelt60,195
40.8%Willkie41,672
0.3%
D+18.1
D+2.3
D+8.2
102,173
D
57.7%Roosevelt57,710
41.9%Landon41,889
0.5%
D+15.8
R+5.8
R+8.4
100,050
D
60.5%Roosevelt64,042
38.9%Hoover41,155
0.6%
D+21.6
D+39.7
D+3.8
105,848
R
40.9%Smith40,531
59.0%Hoover58,399
0.1%
R+18.0
R+22.5
R+0.6
99,055
D
51.5%Davis47,375
47.0%Coolidge43,232
1.6%
D+4.5
R+6.7
D+29.7
92,051
D
55.3%Cox58,665
44.1%Harding46,789
0.6%
D+11.2
R+0.8
D+37.4
106,108
D
55.6%Wilson32,347
43.6%Hughes25,370
0.8%
D+12.0
R+9.2
D+8.9
58,167
D
53.3%Wilson28,211
32.1%Taft17,002
14.5%
D+21.2
D+13.9
D+1.6
52,891
D
52.9%Bryan29,889
45.6%Taft25,762
1.5%
D+7.3
R+2.5
D+16.9
56,518
D
54.0%Parker28,276
44.2%Roosevelt23,161
1.8%
D+9.8
D+7.3
D+29.4
52,357
D
50.7%Bryan28,579
48.2%McKinley27,187
1.1%
D+2.5
D+5.4
D+10.0
56,401
R
47.4%Bryan25,747
50.4%McKinley27,353
2.2%
R+3.0
R+16.2
D+3.1
54,304
D
54.3%Cleveland22,949
41.1%Harrison17,364
4.6%
D+13.2
—
D+11.6
42,252
Congressional elections · 2 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2022
R
46.9%121,870
53.0%137,736
259,673
2020
R
45.6%169,107
50.9%188,871
370,731
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+3.2
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+12.5
Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 16-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
Domestic migration in Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY in Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+2,667
2012
+2,011
2013
+1,230
2014
+1,856
2015
+3,932
2016
+3,280
2017
+3,380
2018
+1,565
2019
+818
2021
−413
2022
+2,563
2023
+2,373
2024
+2,383
2025
+2,386
Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.5 points.
A population of 772,198, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,460 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN and Asheville-Waynesville-Brevard, NC.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/336/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY, Kentucky voted Republican by 12.5 points (R+12.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 362,368 votes cast, 154,973 went Democratic and 200,259 went Republican.
When did Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY, Kentucky?
Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY, Kentucky has a population of 772,198 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY, Kentucky?
Median household income in Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY, Kentucky is $68,460 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.
