Muhlenberg County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
25 precincts · 13,692 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -D103D103 | 182 | 797 | 11 | 990 | 18.4% | 80.5% | R+62.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -C101C101 | 199 | 772 | 15 | 986 | 20.2% | 78.3% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -D101D101 | 217 | 748 | 12 | 977 | 22.2% | 76.6% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -B104B104 | 196 | 719 | 8 | 923 | 21.2% | 77.9% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -E103E103 | 158 | 725 | 5 | 888 | 17.8% | 81.6% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -C106C106 | 179 | 593 | 9 | 781 | 22.9% | 75.9% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -C104C104 | 175 | 569 | 6 | 750 | 23.3% | 75.9% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -E105E105 | 105 | 518 | 9 | 632 | 16.6% | 82.0% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 105 | 483 | 6 | 594 | 17.7% | 81.3% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -E104E104 | 137 | 413 | 8 | 558 | 24.6% | 74.0% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 82 | 460 | 7 | 549 | 14.9% | 83.8% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -A106A106 | 154 | 378 | 12 | 544 | 28.3% | 69.5% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -D104D104 | 89 | 373 | 5 | 467 | 19.1% | 79.9% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -D102D102 | 89 | 358 | 1 | 448 | 19.9% | 79.9% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -A107A107 | 110 | 319 | 6 | 435 | 25.3% | 73.3% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -B105B105 | 101 | 293 | 8 | 402 | 25.1% | 72.9% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -B101B101 | 106 | 291 | 3 | 400 | 26.5% | 72.8% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -C103C103 | 100 | 288 | 7 | 395 | 25.3% | 72.9% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -A102A102 | 147 | 215 | 4 | 366 | 40.2% | 58.7% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -A104A104 | 100 | 249 | 3 | 352 | 28.4% | 70.7% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -E101E101 | 88 | 226 | 2 | 316 | 27.8% | 71.5% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -A103A103 | 55 | 212 | 2 | 269 | 20.4% | 78.8% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -E107E107 | 29 | 224 | 3 | 256 | 11.3% | 87.5% | R+76.2 |
| Precinct -E102E102 | 90 | 155 | 0 | 245 | 36.7% | 63.3% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 55 | 113 | 1 | 169 | 32.5% | 66.9% | R+34.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.9% |
| 1896 | −12.9% |
| 1900 | −14.4% |
| 1904 | −11.5% |
| 1908 | −5.4% |
| 1912 | +18.9% |
| 1916 | −9.6% |
| 1920 | −15.7% |
| 1924 | −7.9% |
| 1928 | −12.9% |
| 1932 | +24.2% |
| 1936 | +20.9% |
| 1940 | −1.8% |
| 1944 | −11.6% |
| 1948 | +11.8% |
| 1952 | +2.8% |
| 1956 | −5.6% |
| 1960 | −14.8% |
| 1964 | +32.0% |
| 1968 | −1.7% |
| 1972 | −26.2% |
| 1976 | +24.2% |
| 1980 | +14.7% |
| 1984 | +0.5% |
| 1988 | +12.5% |
| 1992 | +33.2% |
| 1996 | +26.3% |
| 2000 | +6.5% |
| 2004 | −0.8% |
| 2008 | −1.8% |
| 2012 | −23.5% |
| 2016 | −46.9% |
| 2020 | −48.8% |
| 2024 | −54.4% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 30.8%3,137 | 69.2%7,062 | 10,200 |
| 2020 | R | 29.5%4,174 | 65.1%9,221 | 14,158 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Muhlenberg County, KY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 66-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
22,371 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+141 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −393 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,464 in average income, against $58,916 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+50.2 on average — 4.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Muhlenberg County, KY itself (R+54.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hopkins County, KY43R+50.9
- McLean County, KY34R+55.9
- Daviess County, KY33R+31.9
- Ohio County, KY27R+60.2
- Logan County, KY24R+55.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Daviess County, KY46
- Hopkins County, KY44
- Logan County, KY31
- Ohio County, KY28
- Warren County, KY28
- McLean County, KY23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −83 |
| 2012 | −121 |
| 2013 | −11 |
| 2014 | +2 |
| 2015 | +4 |
| 2016 | −87 |
| 2017 | −159 |
| 2018 | −75 |
| 2019 | −133 |
| 2021 | −418 |
| 2022 | +495 |
| 2023 | −33 |
| 2024 | +85 |
| 2025 | +141 |
Muhlenberg County's political identity shifted sharply as its coal industry declined over recent decades. In 2024 it delivered an R+54.4 presidential margin, reflecting a broader realignment across western Kentucky's former mining belt.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.2 points in 1992 and a Republican high of 54.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.4 points.
A population of 30,591, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,927 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McLean County and Lyon County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Muhlenberg County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21177/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.