Muhlenberg County, Kentucky: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+54%. Republican peak: R+54 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 30,5912024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,9272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33 in 1992MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Perry County, TN · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Muhlenberg CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Muhlenberg County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −7.9% |
| 1896 | −12.9% |
| 1900 | −14.4% |
| 1904 | −11.5% |
| 1908 | −5.4% |
| 1912 | +18.9% |
| 1916 | −9.6% |
| 1920 | −15.7% |
| 1924 | −7.9% |
| 1928 | −12.9% |
| 1932 | +24.2% |
| 1936 | +20.9% |
| 1940 | −1.8% |
| 1944 | −11.6% |
| 1948 | +11.8% |
| 1952 | +2.8% |
| 1956 | −5.6% |
| 1960 | −14.8% |
| 1964 | +32.0% |
| 1968 | −1.7% |
| 1972 | −26.2% |
| 1976 | +24.2% |
| 1980 | +14.7% |
| 1984 | +0.5% |
| 1988 | +12.5% |
| 1992 | +33.2% |
| 1996 | +26.3% |
| 2000 | +6.5% |
| 2004 | −0.8% |
| 2008 | −1.8% |
| 2012 | −23.5% |
| 2016 | −46.9% |
| 2020 | −48.8% |
| 2024 | −54.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,048 | 10,491 | 13,692 | ||
| R | 3,545 | 10,497 | 14,235 | ||
| R | 3,272 | 9,393 | 13,060 | ||
| R | 4,771 | 7,762 | 12,739 | ||
| R | 6,221 | 6,447 | 12,889 | ||
| R | 6,636 | 6,749 | 13,479 | ||
| D | 6,295 | 5,518 | 11,956 | ||
| D | 6,564 | 3,569 | 11,386 | ||
| D | 7,901 | 3,551 | 13,114 | ||
| D | 6,912 | 5,369 | 12,322 | ||
| D | 6,157 | 6,094 | 12,277 | ||
| D | 6,616 | 4,893 | 11,706 | ||
| D | 7,058 | 4,292 | 11,449 | ||
| R | 3,246 | 5,596 | 8,978 | ||
| R | 3,688 | 3,853 | 9,750 | ||
| D | 6,421 | 3,300 | 9,741 | ||
| R | 4,427 | 5,968 | 10,395 | ||
| R | 4,752 | 5,323 | 10,113 | ||
| D | 5,037 | 4,761 | 9,812 | ||
| D | 4,426 | 3,478 | 8,031 | ||
| R | 3,657 | 4,618 | 8,304 | ||
| R | 5,140 | 5,332 | 10,500 | ||
| D | 6,385 | 4,168 | 10,628 | ||
| D | 7,162 | 4,349 | 11,630 | ||
| R | 5,130 | 6,651 | 11,830 | ||
| R | 4,379 | 5,210 | 10,471 | ||
| R | 4,824 | 6,667 | 11,753 | ||
| R | 2,900 | 3,533 | 6,601 | ||
| O | 2,093 | 1,038 | 5,596 | ||
| R | 2,740 | 3,063 | 5,962 | ||
| R | 1,954 | 2,476 | 4,555 | ||
| R | 1,857 | 2,493 | 4,409 | ||
| R | 1,700 | 2,217 | 4,016 | ||
| R | 1,421 | 1,688 | 3,389 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.2%
American
12.1%
Irish
6.5%
German
5.7%
Scottish
1.7%
Italian
1.1%
French
0.6%
African American
1.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$51,927
Muhlenberg County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Muhlenberg County$51,927
Kentucky$63,726
United States$80,734
Muhlenberg County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.4%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1826.7%
Working age (18–64)15.6%
Seniors (65+)20.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
98.0%
speak English only
Spanish1.3%
Other Indo-European0.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 26.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Muhlenberg County's political identity shifted sharply as its coal industry declined over recent decades. In 2024 it delivered an R+54.4 presidential margin, reflecting a broader realignment across western Kentucky's former mining belt.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at thirty-three points in 1992 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2004 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by one point. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-four points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $51,927 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 18% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Perry County and Dickenson County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Muhlenberg County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21177/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Muhlenberg County, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Muhlenberg County, Kentucky voted Republican by 54.4 points (R+54), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,692 votes cast, 3,048 went Democratic and 10,491 went Republican.
What is Muhlenberg County, Kentucky's political typology?
Akashic places Muhlenberg County, Kentucky in the "Appalachian Realigners" typology — Lower-income counties of Greater Appalachia — a long, deep arc from Democratic to Republican. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 21 times, and other 1 times.
When did Muhlenberg County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Muhlenberg County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Muhlenberg County, Kentucky?
Muhlenberg County, Kentucky has a population of 30,591 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Muhlenberg County, Kentucky?
Median household income in Muhlenberg County, Kentucky is $51,927 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Muhlenberg County, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Muhlenberg County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The county's typology — "Appalachian Realigners" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.