Shelby County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
34 precincts · 24,620 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -F102F102 | 378 | 758 | 16 | 1,152 | 32.8% | 65.8% | R+33.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -A105A105 | 401 | 719 | 16 | 1,136 | 35.3% | 63.3% | R+28.0 |
| Precinct -E101E101 | 452 | 606 | 28 | 1,086 | 41.6% | 55.8% | R+14.2 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 274 | 773 | 15 | 1,062 | 25.8% | 72.8% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -B104B104 | 377 | 636 | 26 | 1,039 | 36.3% | 61.2% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -F101F101 | 286 | 716 | 11 | 1,013 | 28.2% | 70.7% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -C105C105 | 386 | 546 | 23 | 955 | 40.4% | 57.2% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct -F105F105 | 221 | 669 | 13 | 903 | 24.5% | 74.1% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -B101B101 | 194 | 660 | 18 | 872 | 22.2% | 75.7% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 187 | 647 | 13 | 847 | 22.1% | 76.4% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 271 | 560 | 16 | 847 | 32.0% | 66.1% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -E103E103 | 298 | 518 | 17 | 833 | 35.8% | 62.2% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -D105D105 | 255 | 531 | 18 | 804 | 31.7% | 66.0% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -C104C104 | 203 | 588 | 12 | 803 | 25.3% | 73.2% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -D102D102 | 179 | 594 | 11 | 784 | 22.8% | 75.8% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -D103D103 | 296 | 448 | 9 | 753 | 39.3% | 59.5% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -B105B105 | 252 | 478 | 11 | 741 | 34.0% | 64.5% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -E102E102 | 197 | 525 | 13 | 735 | 26.8% | 71.4% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -G103G103 | 269 | 430 | 14 | 713 | 37.7% | 60.3% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -A102A102 | 292 | 396 | 12 | 700 | 41.7% | 56.6% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct -D101D101 | 148 | 533 | 14 | 695 | 21.3% | 76.7% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -G101G101 | 289 | 337 | 12 | 638 | 45.3% | 52.8% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct -C103C103 | 211 | 373 | 18 | 602 | 35.0% | 62.0% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -A104A104 | 154 | 415 | 10 | 579 | 26.6% | 71.7% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -G104G104 | 243 | 289 | 9 | 541 | 44.9% | 53.4% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct -F103F103 | 171 | 358 | 7 | 536 | 31.9% | 66.8% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 143 | 382 | 8 | 533 | 26.8% | 71.7% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -D104D104 | 130 | 367 | 12 | 509 | 25.5% | 72.1% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -A103A103 | 151 | 348 | 9 | 508 | 29.7% | 68.5% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -F104F104 | 120 | 280 | 11 | 411 | 29.2% | 68.1% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -G102G102 | 162 | 229 | 13 | 404 | 40.1% | 56.7% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -E104E104 | 106 | 288 | 3 | 397 | 26.7% | 72.5% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 81 | 246 | 3 | 330 | 24.5% | 74.5% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -E105E105 | 45 | 113 | 1 | 159 | 28.3% | 71.1% | R+42.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +27.4% |
| 1896 | +10.5% |
| 1900 | +17.2% |
| 1904 | +23.3% |
| 1908 | +19.9% |
| 1912 | +32.0% |
| 1916 | +22.0% |
| 1920 | +23.0% |
| 1924 | +15.8% |
| 1928 | −9.8% |
| 1932 | +41.9% |
| 1936 | +39.4% |
| 1940 | +44.2% |
| 1944 | +37.5% |
| 1948 | +39.4% |
| 1952 | +24.4% |
| 1956 | +18.4% |
| 1960 | +13.1% |
| 1964 | +56.0% |
| 1968 | +4.8% |
| 1972 | −30.0% |
| 1976 | +13.5% |
| 1980 | +12.4% |
| 1984 | −23.6% |
| 1988 | −13.1% |
| 1992 | −1.5% |
| 1996 | −6.3% |
| 2000 | −28.5% |
| 2004 | −34.5% |
| 2008 | −24.7% |
| 2012 | −27.6% |
| 2016 | −33.6% |
| 2020 | −29.6% |
| 2024 | −34.7% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 34.8%6,194 | 65.2%11,606 | 17,806 |
| 2020 | R | 35.3%8,332 | 59.8%14,111 | 23,591 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 19 points more Democratic.
38,679 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+405 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,442 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $78,776 in average income, against $94,521 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+2.9 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Shelby County, KY itself (R+34.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jefferson County, KY564D+16.5
- Henry County, KY74R+52.5
- Spencer County, KY73R+56.7
- Franklin County, KY66R+4.9
- Oldham County, KY63R+22.6
- Fayette County, KY44D+18.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jefferson County, KY391
- Henry County, KY86
- Franklin County, KY85
- Spencer County, KY64
- Oldham County, KY45
- Bullitt County, KY42
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +290 |
| 2012 | +417 |
| 2013 | +355 |
| 2014 | +279 |
| 2015 | +330 |
| 2016 | +441 |
| 2017 | +397 |
| 2018 | +645 |
| 2019 | +776 |
| 2021 | +226 |
| 2022 | +173 |
| 2023 | +497 |
| 2024 | +211 |
| 2025 | +405 |
Shelby County, once a Democratic stronghold in the Kentucky Bluegrass region, has shifted sharply rightward over the past two decades. Its mix of small-town residents and Louisville exurbanites produced an R+34.7 margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 34.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.7 points.
A population of 49,096, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,604 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Boone County and Williamson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Shelby County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21211/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.