- Lead
- 1,371
- Total
- 17,685
- vs nation
- D+9.2
- Turnout
- 93.2%
Leelanau County, MI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 93.2% of 19,126 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 879
- Total
- 16,900
- vs nation
- D+0.7
- Turnout
- 95.0%
- Lead
- 465
- Total
- 14,892
- vs nation
- R+5.2
- Turnout
- 84.8%
- Lead
- 907
- Total
- 14,219
- vs nation
- R+10.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 417
- Total
- 14,464
- vs nation
- R+4.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,685
- Total
- 13,917
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,205
- Total
- 12,009
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,136
- Total
- 10,237
- vs nation
- R+19.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+7.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,7342024 5-year
- Population density
- 65 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 347 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $99,4222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+7.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Emmet County, MI · twin score 92.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 93.2%17,834 participants ÷ 19,126 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 81.1%–85.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17,834 | 19,126 ± 119 | 93.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 15,578 | 18,810 ± 121 | 82.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 17,013 | 17,915 ± 153 | 95.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 14,362 | 17,738 ± 151 | 81.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 15,047 | 17,739 ± 203 | 84.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 14,219 | 17,245 | 82.5% | Derived | — | |
| 14,464 | 16,989 | 85.1% | Derived | — | |
| 13,917 | 16,733 extrapolated | 83.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 26 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 17,685 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Elmwood Township, Precinct 1Elmwood Township, Precinct 1 | 1,218 | 1,019 | 25 | 2,262 | 53.8% | 45.0% | D+8.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Suttons Bay Township, Precinct 1Suttons Bay Township, Precinct 1 | 1,174 | 868 | 41 | 2,083 | 56.4% | 41.7% | D+14.7 |
| Precinct -Bingham Township, Precinct 1Bingham Township, Precinct 1 | 938 | 1,061 | 24 | 2,023 | 46.4% | 52.4% | R+6.1 |
| Precinct -Leelanau Township, Precinct 1Leelanau Township, Precinct 1 | 1,121 | 660 | 20 | 1,801 | 62.2% | 36.6% | D+25.6 |
| Precinct -Leland Township, Precinct 1Leland Township, Precinct 1 | 897 | 764 | 20 | 1,681 | 53.4% | 45.4% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct -Elmwood Township, Precinct 2Elmwood Township, Precinct 2 | 707 | 638 | 19 | 1,364 | 51.8% | 46.8% | D+5.1 |
| Precinct -Kasson Township, Precinct 1Kasson Township, Precinct 1 | 518 | 646 | 25 | 1,189 | 43.6% | 54.3% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -Solon Township, Precinct 1Solon Township, Precinct 1 | 521 | 640 | 14 | 1,175 | 44.3% | 54.5% | R+10.1 |
| Precinct -Empire Township, Precinct 1Empire Township, Precinct 1 | 679 | 391 | 9 | 1,079 | 62.9% | 36.2% | D+26.7 |
| Precinct -Centerville Township, Precinct 1Centerville Township, Precinct 1 | 469 | 486 | 14 | 969 | 48.4% | 50.2% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct -Cleveland Township, Precinct 1Cleveland Township, Precinct 1 | 473 | 381 | 13 | 867 | 54.6% | 43.9% | D+10.6 |
| Precinct -Glen Arbor Township, Precinct 1Glen Arbor Township, Precinct 1 | 467 | 304 | 10 | 781 | 59.8% | 38.9% | D+20.9 |
| Precinct -City of Traverse City, Precinct 4City of Traverse City, Precinct 4 | 224 | 177 | 10 | 411 | 54.5% | 43.1% | D+11.4 |
| Bingham Township 00001089-08440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Centerville Township 00001089-14340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cleveland Township 00001089-16400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elmwood Charter Township 00001089-25700-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elmwood Charter Township 00002089-25700-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Empire Township 00001089-26000-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Glen Arbor Township 00001089-32380-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kasson Township 00001089-42320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leelanau Township 00001089-46700-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leland Township 00001089-46820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Solon Township 00001089-74500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Suttons Bay Township 00001089-77620-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Traverse City 00004089-80340-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Leelanau County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
53.2%
2,369 votes · D+6.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 53.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
82.3%
2,156 votes · R+66.8
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 75.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
9,406votes
53.2% of the vote · D+7.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 8,795 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,035votes
45.4% of the vote · D+7.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,916 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+9.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+7.8 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +0.7 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+44.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.0 · U.S. D+7.5
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +43.6 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Leelanau County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 52.5%9,038 | 47.5%8,165 | 17,203 |
| 2020 | R | 47.4%7,844 | 52.6%8,710 | 16,554 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 20,127 |
| 2018 | 20,150 |
| 2020 | 21,380 |
| 2022 | 21,661 |
| 2024 | 22,144 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+291 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,888 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $130,938 in average income, against $117,174 for residents who stayed — 12% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.4 on average — 6.3 points more Republican-leaning than Leelanau County, MI itself (D+7.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Grand Traverse County, MI245R+1.7
- Benzie County, MI33R+8.7
- Wayne County, MI28D+29.0
- Oakland County, MI27D+10.6
- Kent County, MI24D+5.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Grand Traverse County, MI252
- Kent County, MI44
- Benzie County, MI27
- Cook County, IL22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −273 |
| 2012 | −12 |
| 2013 | +157 |
| 2014 | +189 |
| 2015 | +96 |
| 2016 | −98 |
| 2017 | +202 |
| 2018 | +125 |
| 2019 | +87 |
| 2021 | +488 |
| 2022 | +370 |
| 2023 | +223 |
| 2024 | +43 |
| 2025 | +291 |
Leelanau's blend of resort tourism, cherry farming, and an educated in-migrant population produces Democratic margins unusual for rural Michigan, where most similar counties trend sharply the other way.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 7.8 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 66.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.8 points.
A population of 22,734, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,422 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Emmet County and Grand Traverse County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Leelanau County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.