- Lead
- 4,391
- Total
- 13,060
- vs nation
- R+32.1
- Turnout
- 69.1%
Menominee County, MI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.1% of 19,040 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,801
- Total
- 12,607
- vs nation
- R+34.6
- Turnout
- 68.0%
- Lead
- 3,163
- Total
- 10,824
- vs nation
- R+31.3
- Turnout
- 57.7%
- Lead
- 322
- Total
- 10,967
- vs nation
- R+6.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,126
- Total
- 11,072
- vs nation
- D+2.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 616
- Total
- 11,419
- vs nation
- R+2.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 932
- Total
- 10,434
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 842
- Total
- 10,184
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,2472024 5-year
- Population density
- 22 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,044 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $56,4352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.7 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Marinette County, WI · twin score 91.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 69.1%13,160 participants ÷ 19,040 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 52.2%–56.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13,160 | 19,040 ± 170 | 69.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 9,755 | 19,080 ± 187 | 51.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 12,677 | 18,634 ± 118 | 68.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 9,264 | 18,778 ± 99 | 49.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 10,914 | 18,900 ± 86 | 57.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 10,967 | 18,944 | 57.9% | Derived | — | |
| 11,072 | 18,945 | 58.4% | Derived | — | |
| 11,419 | 18,946 extrapolated | 60.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 39 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
39 precincts · 13,060 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Menominee Township, Precinct 1Menominee Township, Precinct 1 | 736 | 1,417 | 30 | 2,183 | 33.7% | 64.9% | R+31.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Menominee, Precinct 3City of Menominee, Precinct 3 | 444 | 649 | 11 | 1,104 | 40.2% | 58.8% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -City of Menominee, Precinct 4City of Menominee, Precinct 4 | 431 | 641 | 10 | 1,082 | 39.8% | 59.2% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -City of Menominee, Precinct 2City of Menominee, Precinct 2 | 483 | 545 | 12 | 1,040 | 46.4% | 52.4% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -Harris Township, Precinct 1Harris Township, Precinct 1 | 313 | 687 | 7 | 1,007 | 31.1% | 68.2% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -Spalding Township, Precinct 1Spalding Township, Precinct 1 | 208 | 630 | 11 | 849 | 24.5% | 74.2% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -City of Menominee, Precinct 1City of Menominee, Precinct 1 | 362 | 427 | 21 | 810 | 44.7% | 52.7% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -Nadeau Township, Precinct 1Nadeau Township, Precinct 1 | 168 | 494 | 7 | 669 | 25.1% | 73.8% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -Ingallston Township, Precinct 1Ingallston Township, Precinct 1 | 195 | 444 | 8 | 647 | 30.1% | 68.6% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -Mellen Township, Precinct 1Mellen Township, Precinct 1 | 149 | 462 | 7 | 618 | 24.1% | 74.8% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -Meyer Township, Precinct 1Meyer Township, Precinct 1 | 153 | 425 | 10 | 588 | 26.0% | 72.3% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -City of Stephenson, Precinct 1City of Stephenson, Precinct 1 | 120 | 319 | 7 | 446 | 26.9% | 71.5% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -Daggett Township, Precinct 1Daggett Township, Precinct 1 | 101 | 278 | 6 | 385 | 26.2% | 72.2% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -Stephenson Township, Precinct 1Stephenson Township, Precinct 1 | 96 | 285 | 1 | 382 | 25.1% | 74.6% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -Lake Township, Precinct 1Lake Township, Precinct 1 | 88 | 240 | 1 | 329 | 26.7% | 72.9% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -Gourley Township, Precinct 1Gourley Township, Precinct 1 | 45 | 249 | 3 | 297 | 15.2% | 83.8% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -Holmes Township, Precinct 1Holmes Township, Precinct 1 | 54 | 190 | 2 | 246 | 22.0% | 77.2% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -Cedarville Township, Precinct 1Cedarville Township, Precinct 1 | 60 | 137 | 2 | 199 | 30.2% | 68.8% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -Faithorn Township, Precinct 1Faithorn Township, Precinct 1 | 50 | 128 | 1 | 179 | 27.9% | 71.5% | R+43.6 |
| Cedarville Township 00001109-14240-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Daggett Township 00001109-19580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Faithorn Township 00001109-27300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gourley Township 00001109-33160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harris Township 00001109-36760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Holmes Township 00001109-38760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ingallston Township 00001109-40600-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Township 00001109-44360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mellen Township 00001109-52860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Menominee City 00001109-53020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Menominee City 00002109-53020-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Menominee City 00003109-53020-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Menominee City 00004109-53020-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Menominee Township 00001109-53040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Menominee Township 00002109-53040-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Meyer Township 00001109-53460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nadeau Township 00001109-56440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spalding Township 00001109-75350-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stephenson City 00001109-76380-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stephenson Township 00001109-76400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Menominee County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.6%
7,119 votes · D+33.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 61.1%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
73.0%
3,246 votes · R+50.7
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 72.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
7,119votes
66.6% of the vote · D+33.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 6,447 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,647votes
66.2% of the vote · R+33.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,117 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+16.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+0.7 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +10.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+34.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +32.1 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Menominee County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.8%3,906 | 68.2%8,370 | 12,276 |
| 2020 | R | 34.4%4,137 | 65.6%7,886 | 12,023 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 19,163 |
| 2018 | 18,832 |
| 2020 | 20,373 |
| 2022 | 20,595 |
| 2024 | 21,375 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−11 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −374 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,824 in average income, against $63,508 for residents who stayed — 9% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.3 on average — about the same lean as Menominee County, MI (R+33.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Marinette County, WI140R+37.9
- Delta County, MI72R+30.4
- Dickinson County, MI29R+36.3
- Brown County, WI20R+7.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Marinette County, WI173
- Delta County, MI60
- Brown County, WI41
- Dickinson County, MI27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −37 |
| 2012 | −65 |
| 2013 | +66 |
| 2014 | −134 |
| 2015 | −5 |
| 2016 | −177 |
| 2017 | −129 |
| 2018 | +44 |
| 2019 | −75 |
| 2021 | −5 |
| 2022 | +96 |
| 2023 | −47 |
| 2024 | +105 |
| 2025 | −11 |
Menominee sits along Michigan's Wisconsin border, where a timber-and-manufacturing heritage and a sparse, aging population have pushed presidential margins steadily rightward over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.7 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.6 points.
A population of 23,247, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,435 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Marinette County and Delta County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Menominee County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26109/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.