- Lead
- 2,897
- Total
- 6,391
- vs nation
- R+43.9
- Turnout
- 80.1%
Montmorency County, MI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 80.1% of 8,036 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,543
- Total
- 5,859
- vs nation
- R+47.9
- Turnout
- 74.7%
- Lead
- 2,211
- Total
- 5,032
- vs nation
- R+46.0
- Turnout
- 64.7%
- Lead
- 879
- Total
- 5,051
- vs nation
- R+21.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 438
- Total
- 5,360
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,104
- Total
- 5,563
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 611
- Total
- 5,009
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 360
- Total
- 4,592
- vs nation
- R+0.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,5162024 5-year
- Population density
- 17 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 547 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,7562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Oscoda County, MI · twin score 94.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 80.1%6,433 participants ÷ 8,036 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +8.9 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off vs state
- -6.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 71.2%–73.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,433 | 8,036 ± 78 | 80.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 5,171 | 7,851 ± 60 | 65.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,906 | 7,904 ± 59 | 74.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 4,734 | 7,841 ± 50 | 60.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,088 | 7,869 ± 59 | 64.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,051 | 8,101 | 62.4% | Derived | — | |
| 5,360 | 8,527 | 62.9% | Derived | — | |
| 5,563 | 8,953 extrapolated | 62.1% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 18 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 6,391 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Albert Township, Precinct 1Albert Township, Precinct 1 | 523 | 1,173 | 20 | 1,716 | 30.5% | 68.4% | R+37.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Hillman Township, Precinct 1Hillman Township, Precinct 1 | 316 | 896 | 17 | 1,229 | 25.7% | 72.9% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -Briley Township, Precinct 1Briley Township, Precinct 1 | 299 | 884 | 19 | 1,202 | 24.9% | 73.5% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -Montmorency Township, Precinct 1Montmorency Township, Precinct 1 | 115 | 330 | 6 | 451 | 25.5% | 73.2% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -Avery Township, Precinct 1Avery Township, Precinct 1 | 105 | 321 | 15 | 441 | 23.8% | 72.8% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -Montmorency Township, Precinct 2Montmorency Township, Precinct 2 | 119 | 284 | 6 | 409 | 29.1% | 69.4% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -Vienna Township, Precinct 1Vienna Township, Precinct 1 | 102 | 291 | 2 | 395 | 25.8% | 73.7% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -Rust Township, Precinct 1Rust Township, Precinct 1 | 71 | 264 | 2 | 337 | 21.1% | 78.3% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -Loud Township, Precinct 1Loud Township, Precinct 1 | 52 | 156 | 3 | 211 | 24.6% | 73.9% | R+49.3 |
| Albert Township 00001119-00940-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Avery Township 00001119-04580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Briley Township 00001119-10660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hillman Township 00001119-38400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Loud Township 00001119-49480-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Montmorency Township 00001119-55240-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Montmorency Township 00002119-55240-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rust Township 00001119-70380-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vienna Township 00001119-82420-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Montmorency County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
61.2%
1,369 votes · D+22.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 57.7%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
80.5%
654 votes · R+62.6
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 75.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
2,403votes
44.8% of the vote · R+8.2
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 2,196 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,599votes
72.0% of the vote · R+45.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,171 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+1.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+19.7 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +0.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+47.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.4 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +46.0 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Montmorency County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 26.7%1,616 | 73.3%4,444 | 6,060 |
| 2020 | R | 24.8%1,404 | 75.2%4,258 | 5,662 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,975 |
| 2018 | 7,970 |
| 2020 | 8,598 |
| 2022 | 9,042 |
| 2024 | 9,299 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+168 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,602 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,554 in average income, against $52,433 for residents who stayed — 17% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.3 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Montmorency County, MI itself (R+45.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Alpena County, MI33R+28.6
- Otsego County, MI30R+35.3
- Oakland County, MI26D+10.6
- Macomb County, MI21R+13.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Alpena County, MI37
- Oscoda County, MI23
- Otsego County, MI23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −60 |
| 2012 | −29 |
| 2013 | −25 |
| 2014 | +54 |
| 2015 | +36 |
| 2016 | −2 |
| 2017 | +122 |
| 2018 | +136 |
| 2019 | +153 |
| 2021 | +270 |
| 2022 | +346 |
| 2023 | +237 |
| 2024 | +196 |
| 2025 | +168 |
Montmorency County, a sparsely populated stretch of northern Lower Peninsula forest, recorded an R+45.3 presidential margin in 2024—among the widest in a state otherwise defined by competitive statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 62.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.3 points.
A population of 9,516, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,756 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oscoda County and Crawford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Montmorency County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26119/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.