- Lead
- 4,273
- Total
- 13,617
- vs nation
- R+29.9
- Turnout
- 79.5%
Hubbard County, MN
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.5% of 17,205 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,740
- Total
- 12,965
- vs nation
- R+33.3
- Turnout
- 77.9%
- Lead
- 3,838
- Total
- 11,505
- vs nation
- R+35.4
- Turnout
- 72.6%
- Lead
- 1,946
- Total
- 11,520
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,686
- Total
- 11,638
- vs nation
- R+21.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,703
- Total
- 11,340
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,675
- Total
- 9,613
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 209
- Total
- 8,711
- vs nation
- R+6.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,8312024 5-year
- Population density
- 24 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 926 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,9952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cass County, MN · twin score 90.2
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 79.5%13,671 participants ÷ 17,205 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 65.0%–67.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13,671 | 17,205 ± 74 | 79.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 10,688 | 16,854 ± 91 | 63.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 13,013 | 16,703 ± 97 | 77.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 10,256 | 16,324 ± 81 | 62.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 11,663 | 16,065 ± 76 | 72.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 11,520 | 15,868 | 72.6% | Derived | — | |
| 11,638 | 14,591 | 79.8% | Derived | — | |
| 11,340 | 13,314 extrapolated | 85.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Hubbard County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Hubbard County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 7 candidates
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 71 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
71 precincts · 13,617 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PARK RAPIDS P-2PARK RAPIDS P-2 | 512 | 752 | 36 | 1,300 | 39.4% | 57.8% | R+18.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -HELGA TWPHELGA TWP | 312 | 715 | 22 | 1,049 | 29.7% | 68.2% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -HENRIETTA TWPHENRIETTA TWP | 290 | 696 | 19 | 1,005 | 28.9% | 69.3% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -NEVIS TWPNEVIS TWP | 297 | 526 | 18 | 841 | 35.3% | 62.5% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -TODD TWP P-1TODD TWP P-1 | 225 | 583 | 12 | 820 | 27.4% | 71.1% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -LAKE EMMA TWPLAKE EMMA TWP | 327 | 447 | 13 | 787 | 41.6% | 56.8% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct -PARK RAPIDS P-1PARK RAPIDS P-1 | 292 | 470 | 13 | 775 | 37.7% | 60.6% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -FARDEN TWPFARDEN TWP | 254 | 408 | 8 | 670 | 37.9% | 60.9% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -LAKEPORT TWP P-1LAKEPORT TWP P-1 | 237 | 293 | 14 | 544 | 43.6% | 53.9% | R+10.3 |
| Precinct -HUBBARD TWPHUBBARD TWP | 155 | 342 | 16 | 513 | 30.2% | 66.7% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -STRAIGHT RIVER TWPSTRAIGHT RIVER TWP | 131 | 354 | 11 | 496 | 26.4% | 71.4% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -ARAGO TWPARAGO TWP | 119 | 349 | 6 | 474 | 25.1% | 73.6% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -MANTRAP TWPMANTRAP TWP | 160 | 240 | 8 | 408 | 39.2% | 58.8% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -GUTHRIE TWPGUTHRIE TWP | 101 | 297 | 5 | 403 | 25.1% | 73.7% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -HART LAKE TWPHART LAKE TWP | 112 | 228 | 5 | 345 | 32.5% | 66.1% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -ROCKWOOD TWPROCKWOOD TWP | 106 | 193 | 5 | 304 | 34.9% | 63.5% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -WHITE OAK TWPWHITE OAK TWP | 117 | 178 | 2 | 297 | 39.4% | 59.9% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -LAKE GEORGE TWPLAKE GEORGE TWP | 83 | 202 | 7 | 292 | 28.4% | 69.2% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -CROW WING LAKE TWPCROW WING LAKE TWP | 95 | 183 | 3 | 281 | 33.8% | 65.1% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -NEVISNEVIS | 76 | 147 | 4 | 227 | 33.5% | 64.8% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -AKELEY TWP P-1AKELEY TWP P-1 | 79 | 137 | 3 | 219 | 36.1% | 62.6% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -AKELEYAKELEY | 70 | 140 | 4 | 214 | 32.7% | 65.4% | R+32.7 |
| Precinct -HENDRICKSON TWPHENDRICKSON TWP | 49 | 138 | 4 | 191 | 25.7% | 72.3% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -FERN TWPFERN TWP | 37 | 138 | 6 | 181 | 20.4% | 76.2% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -AKELEY TWP P-2AKELEY TWP P-2 | 37 | 121 | 2 | 160 | 23.1% | 75.6% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -CLOVER TWPCLOVER TWP | 35 | 87 | 5 | 127 | 27.6% | 68.5% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -LAKE HATTIE TWPLAKE HATTIE TWP | 33 | 90 | 1 | 124 | 26.6% | 72.6% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -STEAMBOAT RIVER TWP P-1STEAMBOAT RIVER TWP P-1 | 38 | 47 | 1 | 86 | 44.2% | 54.7% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct -BADOURA TWPBADOURA TWP | 31 | 49 | 2 | 82 | 37.8% | 59.8% | R+22.0 |
| Precinct -SCHOOLCRAFT TWPSCHOOLCRAFT TWP | 24 | 51 | 4 | 79 | 30.4% | 64.6% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -LA PORTELA PORTE | 22 | 40 | 3 | 65 | 33.8% | 61.5% | R+27.7 |
| Precinct -LAKE ALICE TWPLAKE ALICE TWP | 19 | 45 | 1 | 65 | 29.2% | 69.2% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -CLAY TWPCLAY TWP | 18 | 38 | 4 | 60 | 30.0% | 63.3% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -TODD TWP P-2TODD TWP P-2 | 22 | 35 | 2 | 59 | 37.3% | 59.3% | R+22.0 |
| Precinct -LAKEPORT TWP P-2LAKEPORT TWP P-2 | 12 | 28 | 3 | 43 | 27.9% | 65.1% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -THORPE TWPTHORPE TWP | 7 | 22 | 0 | 29 | 24.1% | 75.9% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -STEAMBOAT RIVER TWP P-2STEAMBOAT RIVER TWP P-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 100.0% | 0.0% | D+100.0 |
| Akeley Twp. Voting District27_270570010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Akeley Voting District27_270570005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arago Twp. Voting District27_270570015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Badoura Twp. Voting District27_270570020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clay Twp. Voting District27_270570022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clover Twp. Voting District27_270570025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crow Wing Lake Twp. Voting District27_270570030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farden Twp. Voting District27_270570035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fern Twp. Voting District27_270570040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Guthrie Twp. Voting District27_270570045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hart Lake Twp. Voting District27_270570050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Helga Twp. Voting District27_270570055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hendrickson Twp. Voting District27_270570060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Henrietta Twp. Voting District27_270570065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hubbard Twp. Voting District27_270570070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| La Porte Voting District27_270570100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Alice Twp. Voting District27_270570075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Emma Twp. Voting District27_270570080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake George Twp. Voting District27_270570085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Hattie Twp. Voting District27_270570090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeport Twp. Voting District27_270570095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mantrap Twp. Voting District27_270570105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nevis Twp. Voting District27_270570115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nevis Voting District27_270570110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Park Rapids P-127_270570120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Park Rapids P-227_270570122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rockwood Twp. Voting District27_270570125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Schoolcraft Twp. Voting District27_270570130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Steamboat River Twp. Voting District27_270570135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Straight River Twp. Voting District27_270570140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thorpe Twp. Voting District27_270570145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Todd Twp. P-127_270570150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Todd Twp. P-227_270570152 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| White Oak Twp. Voting District27_270570155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Hubbard County, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
59.5%
2,230 votes · D+23.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 56.9%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
80.0%
1,392 votes · R+66.6
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 73.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
4,872votes
41.9% of the vote · R+14.5
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 4,741 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,809votes
64.7% of the vote · R+31.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,202 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+5.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+23.5 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +3.6 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+47.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+66.6 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +38.0 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Hubbard County, MN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 2 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.0%4,403 | 67.0%8,931 | 13,334 |
| 2020 | R | 33.0%3,977 | 67.0%8,064 | 12,041 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,502 |
| 2018 | 13,287 |
| 2020 | 14,721 |
| 2022 | 14,941 |
| 2024 | 15,963 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+294 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,034 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $70,152 in average income, against $74,333 for residents who stayed — 6% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.1 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Hubbard County, MN itself (R+31.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Beltrami County, MN110R+5.6
- Cass County, MN56R+33.4
- Hennepin County, MN50D+42.4
- Becker County, MN45R+33.1
- Wadena County, MN35R+51.3
- Cass County, ND22R+8.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Beltrami County, MN91
- Cass County, MN45
- Becker County, MN38
- Wadena County, MN35
- Cass County, ND32
- Hennepin County, MN26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +26 |
| 2012 | −81 |
| 2013 | +208 |
| 2014 | −85 |
| 2015 | +9 |
| 2016 | +32 |
| 2017 | +270 |
| 2018 | +312 |
| 2019 | +182 |
| 2021 | +402 |
| 2022 | +220 |
| 2023 | +171 |
| 2024 | +74 |
| 2025 | +294 |
Hubbard County sits in Minnesota's lake-country belt, where a mix of retirees, resort workers, and rural residents has pushed presidential margins steadily rightward over the past decade, reaching R+31.4 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 66.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.4 points.
A population of 21,831, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,995 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cass County and Polk County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hubbard County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27057/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.