HarrisDemocratic32.3%5,635TrumpRepublican65.9%11,503KennedyIndependent0.9%158
R+33.6- Lead
- 5,868
- Total
- 17,466
- vs nation
- R+32.1
- Turnout
- 80.3%
Akashiccounty
Le Sueur County, MN
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 80.3% of 21,851 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic33.7%5,672TrumpRepublican64.1%10,775JorgensenLibertarian1.0%169
R+30.3- Lead
- 5,103
- Total
- 16,818
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- 79.4%
ClintonDemocratic30.9%4,623TrumpRepublican61.3%9,182JohnsonLibertarian3.4%514
R+30.5- Lead
- 4,559
- Total
- 14,971
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Turnout
- 74.0%
ObamaDemocratic45.6%6,753RomneyRepublican52.1%7,715GRAYLibertarian0.9%139
R+6.5- Lead
- 962
- Total
- 14,795
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.6%6,994McCainRepublican50.9%7,636OtherAll other candidates2.5%379
R+4.3- Lead
- 642
- Total
- 15,009
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic44.8%6,466BushRepublican53.7%7,746OtherAll other candidates1.5%212
R+8.9- Lead
- 1,280
- Total
- 14,424
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.5%5,361BushRepublican49.8%6,138NaderGreen4.9%603
R+6.3- Lead
- 777
- Total
- 12,331
- vs nation
- R+6.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic48.7%5,457DoleRepublican34.8%3,902PerotReform15.2%1,699
D+13.9- Lead
- 1,555
- Total
- 11,209
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,1132024 5-year
- Population density
- 65 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 449 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $94,9682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+36.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Waseca County, MN · twin score 84.2
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 80.3%17,557 participants ÷ 21,851 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 62.4%–65.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17,557 | 21,851 ± 196 | 80.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 13,269 | 21,601 ± 202 | 61.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 16,900 | 21,283 ± 155 | 79.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 13,011 | 20,844 ± 134 | 62.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 15,121 | 20,437 ± 135 | 74.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 14,795 | 20,284 | 72.9% | Derived | — | |
| 15,009 | 20,357 | 73.7% | Derived | — | |
| 14,424 | 20,430 extrapolated | 70.6% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Le Sueur County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Le Sueur County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Amy Klobuchar and Ben Schierer0—
Bill E Gates J.R. and Leah Harris0—
Kobey J Layne and Paul Ference0—
Mohammad Wazwaz and Murad Alshlool0—
Ole "Viking" Savior and Ashley "Skol" Johnson0—
Po Vang and Mark Frascone0—
Show all 7 candidates
Thomas Evenstad and Jason Haarsager0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 52 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
52 precincts · 17,469 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -LE SUEURLE SUEUR | 854 | 1,236 | 38 | 2,128 | 40.1% | 58.1% | R+18.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -NEW PRAGUENEW PRAGUE | 738 | 1,337 | 34 | 2,109 | 35.0% | 63.4% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -MONTGOMERYMONTGOMERY | 585 | 1,273 | 35 | 1,893 | 30.9% | 67.2% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -LANESBURGH TWPLANESBURGH TWP | 320 | 964 | 30 | 1,314 | 24.4% | 73.4% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -LE CENTERLE CENTER | 344 | 731 | 18 | 1,093 | 31.5% | 66.9% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -WATERVILLEWATERVILLE | 336 | 658 | 15 | 1,009 | 33.3% | 65.2% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -KASOTA TWP P-2KASOTA TWP P-2 | 312 | 449 | 12 | 773 | 40.4% | 58.1% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -ELYSIAN TWPELYSIAN TWP | 256 | 473 | 14 | 743 | 34.5% | 63.7% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON TWPWASHINGTON TWP | 226 | 379 | 11 | 616 | 36.7% | 61.5% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -ELYSIANELYSIAN | 176 | 341 | 10 | 527 | 33.4% | 64.7% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -CLEVELAND TWPCLEVELAND TWP | 150 | 365 | 8 | 523 | 28.7% | 69.8% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -LEXINGTON TWPLEXINGTON TWP | 89 | 402 | 13 | 504 | 17.7% | 79.8% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -WATERVILLE TWPWATERVILLE TWP | 141 | 348 | 8 | 497 | 28.4% | 70.0% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -MONTGOMERY TWPMONTGOMERY TWP | 88 | 357 | 7 | 452 | 19.5% | 79.0% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -SHARON TWPSHARON TWP | 141 | 303 | 6 | 450 | 31.3% | 67.3% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -CLEVELANDCLEVELAND | 144 | 281 | 8 | 433 | 33.3% | 64.9% | R+31.6 |
| Precinct -KASOTAKASOTA | 145 | 226 | 10 | 381 | 38.1% | 59.3% | R+21.3 |
| Precinct -TYRONE TWPTYRONE TWP | 128 | 229 | 15 | 372 | 34.4% | 61.6% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -DERRYNANE TWPDERRYNANE TWP | 94 | 263 | 4 | 361 | 26.0% | 72.9% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -CORDOVA TWPCORDOVA TWP | 78 | 265 | 7 | 350 | 22.3% | 75.7% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -KASOTA TWP P-1KASOTA TWP P-1 | 129 | 163 | 10 | 302 | 42.7% | 54.0% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct -KILKENNY TWPKILKENNY TWP | 56 | 204 | 7 | 267 | 21.0% | 76.4% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -OTTAWA TWPOTTAWA TWP | 54 | 133 | 6 | 193 | 28.0% | 68.9% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -HEIDELBERGHEIDELBERG | 34 | 57 | 3 | 94 | 36.2% | 60.6% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -KILKENNYKILKENNY | 18 | 66 | 1 | 85 | 21.2% | 77.6% | R+56.5 |
| Cleveland Twp. Voting District27_270790010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cleveland Voting District27_270790005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cordova Twp. Voting District27_270790015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Derrynane Twp. Voting District27_270790020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elysian Twp. P-127_270790030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elysian Twp. P-227_270790032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elysian Voting District27_270790025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Heidelberg Voting District27_270790035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kasota Twp. Voting District27_270790045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kasota Voting District27_270790040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kilkenny Twp. Voting District27_270790055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kilkenny Voting District27_270790050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lanesburgh Twp. Voting District27_270790062 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Le Center Voting District27_270790065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Le Sueur W-127_27079075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Le Sueur W-227_270790080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lexington Twp. Voting District27_270790085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato Voting District27_270790087 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Montgomery Twp. Voting District27_270790100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Montgomery Voting District27_270790090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Prague Voting District27_270790105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ottawa Twp. Voting District27_270790110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sharon Twp. Voting District27_270790115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tyrone Twp. Voting District27_270790120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Washington Twp. Voting District27_270790125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waterville Twp. Voting District27_270790140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waterville Voting District27_270790130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Le Sueur County, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
72.6%
5,878 votes · D+46.4
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 65.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
66.2%
4,059 votes · R+36.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 65.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
6,994votes
46.6% of the vote · R+4.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 6,753 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
11,503votes
65.9% of the vote · R+33.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,775 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+32.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.1 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +28.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+34.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +32.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRich DraheimState Senate · 22
RTerry StierState House · 22B
Seats representing Le Sueur County, MN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 39.6%6,618 | 60.4%10,083 | 16,701 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 17,496 |
| 2018 | 17,273 |
| 2020 | 18,932 |
| 2022 | 19,034 |
| 2024 | 20,134 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−55 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +462 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $77,095 in average income, against $89,843 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+0.5 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Le Sueur County, MN itself (R+33.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Scott County, MN149R+8.5
- Blue Earth County, MN83R+1.2
- Rice County, MN82R+2.5
- Dakota County, MN64D+12.8
- Nicollet County, MN59R+0.5
- Hennepin County, MN58D+42.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Scott County, MN114
- Blue Earth County, MN110
- Rice County, MN83
- Nicollet County, MN75
- Hennepin County, MN61
- Dakota County, MN51
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −84 |
| 2012 | −249 |
| 2013 | −18 |
| 2014 | +17 |
| 2015 | −170 |
| 2016 | −94 |
| 2017 | +301 |
| 2018 | +222 |
| 2019 | +148 |
| 2021 | +228 |
| 2022 | +183 |
| 2023 | +30 |
| 2024 | +3 |
| 2025 | −55 |
Le Sueur sits in south-central Minnesota's agricultural belt, where a decades-long shift away from competitive presidential results has left the 2024 margin at R+33.6 — roughly double what it was a decade prior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 36.0 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.6 points.
A population of 29,113, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,968 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Waseca County and Benton County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Waseca County
Minnesota
84.2twin score
12-yr trend% Catholic2012 margin≠ median income
Benton County
Iowa
83.9twin score
12-yr trendmedian income2012 margin≠ Polish ancestry
Steele County
Minnesota
83.4twin score
2000–2012 trajectory% Evangelicalmedian income≠ Norwegian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Le Sueur County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27079/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Le Sueur County
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Le Sueur County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Le Sueur County, Minnesota voted Republican by 33.6 points (R+33.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,466 votes cast, 5,635 went Democratic and 11,503 went Republican.
When did Le Sueur County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Le Sueur County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Le Sueur County, Minnesota?
Le Sueur County, Minnesota has a population of 29,113 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Le Sueur County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Le Sueur County, Minnesota is $94,968 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Le Sueur County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Le Sueur County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.