- Lead
- 1,387
- Total
- 5,138
- vs nation
- R+25.5
- Turnout
- 74.1%
Stevens County, MN
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.1% of 6,970 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,122
- Total
- 5,085
- vs nation
- R+26.5
- Turnout
- 69.9%
- Lead
- 683
- Total
- 5,398
- vs nation
- R+14.7
- Turnout
- 73.7%
- Lead
- 24
- Total
- 5,652
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 71
- Total
- 5,634
- vs nation
- R+6.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 209
- Total
- 5,949
- vs nation
- R+1.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 397
- Total
- 5,752
- vs nation
- R+7.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 600
- Total
- 5,455
- vs nation
- D+2.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,7392024 5-year
- Population density
- 17 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 564 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,7332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chippewa County, MN · twin score 86.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 74.1%5,168 participants ÷ 6,970 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -6.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 60.3%–60.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,168 | 6,970 ± 115 | 74.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 4,053 | 7,228 ± 98 | 56.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,124 | 7,332 ± 109 | 69.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 4,454 | 7,412 ± 128 | 60.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,474 | 7,429 ± 117 | 73.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,652 | 7,418 | 76.2% | Derived | — | |
| 5,634 | 7,534 | 74.8% | Derived | — | |
| 5,949 | 7,650 extrapolated | 77.8% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Stevens County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Stevens County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 7 candidates
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 49 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
49 precincts · 5,139 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MORRIS P-3MORRIS P-3 | 428 | 512 | 23 | 963 | 44.4% | 53.2% | R+8.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MORRIS P-2MORRIS P-2 | 469 | 367 | 14 | 850 | 55.2% | 43.2% | D+12.0 |
| Precinct -MORRIS P-1MORRIS P-1 | 341 | 383 | 15 | 739 | 46.1% | 51.8% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct -HANCOCKHANCOCK | 80 | 269 | 18 | 367 | 21.8% | 73.3% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -CHOKIOCHOKIO | 77 | 153 | 4 | 234 | 32.9% | 65.4% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -FRAMNAS TWPFRAMNAS TWP | 68 | 164 | 2 | 234 | 29.1% | 70.1% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -MORRIS TWP P-1MORRIS TWP P-1 | 52 | 177 | 3 | 232 | 22.4% | 76.3% | R+53.9 |
| Precinct -HODGES TWPHODGES TWP | 32 | 171 | 3 | 206 | 15.5% | 83.0% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -DARNEN TWPDARNEN TWP | 31 | 151 | 1 | 183 | 16.9% | 82.5% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -SWAN LAKE TWPSWAN LAKE TWP | 32 | 102 | 3 | 137 | 23.4% | 74.5% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -DONNELLYDONNELLY | 42 | 87 | 1 | 130 | 32.3% | 66.9% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -MOORE TWPMOORE TWP | 15 | 112 | 2 | 129 | 11.6% | 86.8% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -HORTON TWPHORTON TWP | 3 | 98 | 2 | 103 | 2.9% | 95.1% | R+92.2 |
| Precinct -RENDSVILLE TWPRENDSVILLE TWP | 15 | 69 | 0 | 84 | 17.9% | 82.1% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -SCOTT TWPSCOTT TWP | 27 | 50 | 1 | 78 | 34.6% | 64.1% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -PEPPERTON TWPPEPPERTON TWP | 21 | 51 | 1 | 73 | 28.8% | 69.9% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -BAKER TWPBAKER TWP | 13 | 59 | 0 | 72 | 18.1% | 81.9% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -EVERGLADE TWPEVERGLADE TWP | 18 | 48 | 1 | 67 | 26.9% | 71.6% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -ALBERTAALBERTA | 11 | 45 | 2 | 58 | 19.0% | 77.6% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -ELDORADO TWPELDORADO TWP | 17 | 40 | 1 | 58 | 29.3% | 69.0% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -DONNELLY TWPDONNELLY TWP | 15 | 39 | 2 | 56 | 26.8% | 69.6% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -STEVENS TWPSTEVENS TWP | 8 | 35 | 0 | 43 | 18.6% | 81.4% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -SYNNES TWPSYNNES TWP | 12 | 31 | 0 | 43 | 27.9% | 72.1% | R+44.2 |
| Alberta Voting District27_271490005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Baker Twp. Voting District27_271490010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chokio Voting District27_271490015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Darnen Twp. Voting District27_271490020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Donnelly Twp. Voting District27_271490030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Donnelly Voting District27_271490025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eldorado Twp. Voting District27_271490035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Everglade Twp. Voting District27_271490040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Framnas Twp. Voting District27_271490045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hancock Voting District27_271490050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hodges Twp. Voting District27_271490055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Horton Twp. Voting District27_271490060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Moore Twp. Voting District27_271490065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morris Twp. Voting District27_271490085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morris W-1 P-A27_271490072 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morris W-1 P-B27_271490073 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morris W-2 P-A27_271490075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morris W-2 P-B27_271490076 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morris W-3 P-A27_271490080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morris W-3 P-B27_271490081 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pepperton Twp. Voting District27_271490090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rendsville Twp. Voting District27_271490095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Scott Twp. Voting District27_271490100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stevens Twp. Voting District27_271490105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Swan Lake Twp. Voting District27_271490110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Synnes Twp. Voting District27_271490115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Stevens County, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
64.0%
2,552 votes · D+29.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.4%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
79.8%
2,339 votes · R+64.2
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 75.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
3,171votes
54.8% of the vote · D+11.9
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 2,910 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
3,288votes
67.4% of the vote · R+35.0
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · 3,283 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+23.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+0.7 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +11.2 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+38.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.2 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +33.8 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Stevens County, MN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.0%1,650 | 67.0%3,351 | 5,001 |
| 2020 | R | 47.5%2,254 | 52.5%2,490 | 4,744 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,214 |
| 2018 | 5,760 |
| 2020 | 5,759 |
| 2022 | 5,409 |
| 2024 | 5,890 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−138 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −946 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,773 in average income, against $88,131 for residents who stayed — 45% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.1 on average — 7.1 points more Republican-leaning than Stevens County, MN itself (R+27.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Swift County, MN20R+34.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hennepin County, MN20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −17 |
| 2012 | −33 |
| 2013 | −35 |
| 2014 | +25 |
| 2015 | −64 |
| 2016 | −153 |
| 2017 | −176 |
| 2018 | −66 |
| 2019 | −30 |
| 2021 | −14 |
| 2022 | −90 |
| 2023 | +22 |
| 2024 | −177 |
| 2025 | −138 |
Stevens County sits in Minnesota's western plains, where a small, agriculture-dependent population has shifted sharply rightward over successive presidential cycles, delivering a 27-point Republican margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.0 points.
A population of 9,739, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,733 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chippewa County and Waseca County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Stevens County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27149/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.