- Lead
- 569
- Total
- 1,801
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Turnout
- 72.8%
Traverse County, MN
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.8% of 2,495 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 511
- Total
- 1,864
- vs nation
- R+31.9
- Turnout
- 72.2%
- Lead
- 419
- Total
- 1,798
- vs nation
- R+25.4
- Turnout
- 68.5%
- Lead
- 82
- Total
- 1,847
- vs nation
- D+0.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 110
- Total
- 2,035
- vs nation
- R+1.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 50
- Total
- 2,141
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 190
- Total
- 2,106
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 360
- Total
- 2,229
- vs nation
- D+7.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,2432024 5-year
- Population density
- 5.7 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 574 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,9892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.9 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Swift County, MN · twin score 89.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 72.8%1,816 participants ÷ 2,495 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -8.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 61.6%–62.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,816 | 2,495 ± 41 | 72.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 1,574 | 2,580 ± 34 | 61.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 1,879 | 2,604 ± 48 | 72.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 1,561 | 2,613 ± 30 | 59.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 1,836 | 2,679 ± 39 | 68.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 1,847 | 2,775 | 66.6% | Derived | — | |
| 2,035 | 2,867 | 71.0% | Derived | — | |
| 2,141 | 2,959 extrapolated | 72.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Traverse County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Traverse County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 7 candidates
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 40 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 1,802 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -WHEATON P-1WHEATON P-1 | 166 | 204 | 11 | 381 | 43.6% | 53.5% | R+10.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -WHEATON P-2WHEATON P-2 | 135 | 208 | 6 | 349 | 38.7% | 59.6% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -BROWNS VALLEYBROWNS VALLEY | 86 | 103 | 7 | 196 | 43.9% | 52.6% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -LAKE VALLEY TWPLAKE VALLEY TWP | 47 | 88 | 5 | 140 | 33.6% | 62.9% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -LEONARDSVILLE TWPLEONARDSVILLE TWP | 7 | 62 | 1 | 70 | 10.0% | 88.6% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -FOLSOM TWPFOLSOM TWP | 20 | 48 | 0 | 68 | 29.4% | 70.6% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -MONSON TWPMONSON TWP | 17 | 46 | 2 | 65 | 26.2% | 70.8% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -CROKE TWPCROKE TWP | 11 | 48 | 0 | 59 | 18.6% | 81.4% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -DUMONTDUMONT | 11 | 38 | 1 | 50 | 22.0% | 76.0% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct -TARA TWPTARA TWP | 8 | 37 | 5 | 50 | 16.0% | 74.0% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -TAYLOR TWPTAYLOR TWP | 11 | 39 | 0 | 50 | 22.0% | 78.0% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -WINDSOR TWPWINDSOR TWP | 16 | 32 | 0 | 48 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -PARNELL TWPPARNELL TWP | 11 | 33 | 0 | 44 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -ARTHUR TWPARTHUR TWP | 9 | 33 | 0 | 42 | 21.4% | 78.6% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -WALLS TWPWALLS TWP | 12 | 30 | 0 | 42 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -CLIFTON TWPCLIFTON TWP | 9 | 30 | 1 | 40 | 22.5% | 75.0% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -TINTAHTINTAH | 2 | 34 | 0 | 36 | 5.6% | 94.4% | R+88.9 |
| Precinct -DOLLYMOUNT TWPDOLLYMOUNT TWP | 9 | 23 | 1 | 33 | 27.3% | 69.7% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -REDPATH TWPREDPATH TWP | 7 | 14 | 0 | 21 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -TINTAH TWPTINTAH TWP | 3 | 15 | 0 | 18 | 16.7% | 83.3% | R+66.7 |
| Arthur Twp. Voting District27_271550005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Browns Valley Voting District27_271550010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clifton Twp. Voting District27_271550015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Croke Twp. Voting District27_271550020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dollymount Twp. Voting District27_271550025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dumont Voting District27_271550027 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Folsom Twp. Voting District27_271550030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Valley Twp. Voting District27_271550035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leonardsville Twp. Voting District27_271550040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Monson Twp. Voting District27_271550045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Parnell Twp. Voting District27_271550050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Redpath Twp. Voting District27_271550055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tara Twp. Voting District27_271550060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taylor Twp. Voting District27_271550065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tintah Twp. Voting District27_271550075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tintah Voting District27_271550070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walls Twp. Voting District27_271550080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wheaton P-127_271550085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wheaton P-227_271550090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Windsor Twp. Voting District27_271550095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Traverse County, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
80.2%
2,633 votes · D+61.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 73.1%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
77.5%
885 votes · R+55.9
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 73.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
2,633votes
80.2% of the vote · D+61.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 2,297 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
1,809votes
50.6% of the vote · R+1.5
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 1,759 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+43.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+61.7 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +39.4 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+36.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.9 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +31.9 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Traverse County, MN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 29.5%516 | 70.5%1,234 | 1,750 |
| 2020 | R | 48.2%825 | 51.8%887 | 1,712 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 2,116 |
| 2018 | 2,015 |
| 2020 | 2,114 |
| 2022 | 2,049 |
| 2024 | 2,129 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−13 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −270 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,013 in average income, against $84,537 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −10 |
| 2012 | −61 |
| 2013 | +17 |
| 2014 | −2 |
| 2015 | +10 |
| 2016 | −35 |
| 2017 | −8 |
| 2018 | −1 |
| 2019 | −34 |
| 2021 | −51 |
| 2022 | +4 |
| 2023 | −73 |
| 2024 | −13 |
| 2025 | −13 |
Traverse County sits at Minnesota's western edge along the South Dakota border, with a population under 5,000 spread across flat glacial-lake terrain. It has backed Republican presidential candidates by wide margins for over two decades, reflecting broader rural depopulation trends in the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 55.9 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.6 points.
A population of 3,243, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,989 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Swift County and Grant County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Traverse County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27155/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.