- Lead
- 3,941
- Total
- 5,649
- vs nation
- R+68.3
- Turnout
- 51.6%
Greene County, MS
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 51.6% of 10,947 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,828
- Total
- 5,812
- vs nation
- R+70.3
- Turnout
- 53.8%
- Lead
- 3,361
- Total
- 5,369
- vs nation
- R+64.7
- Turnout
- 48.7%
- Lead
- 3,206
- Total
- 5,922
- vs nation
- R+58.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,995
- Total
- 5,789
- vs nation
- R+59.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,429
- Total
- 5,299
- vs nation
- R+43.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,765
- Total
- 4,436
- vs nation
- R+40.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 600
- Total
- 3,625
- vs nation
- R+25.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+69.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,6152024 5-year
- Population density
- 19 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 713 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $54,2762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 23.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+79.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington County, FL · twin score 93.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 51.6%5,649 participants ÷ 10,947 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 29.1%–33.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,649 | 10,947 ± 206 | 51.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 3,449 | 11,029 ± 193 | 31.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,816 | 10,820 ± 171 | 53.8% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 3,815 | 10,826 ± 229 | 35.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,369 | 11,030 ± 109 | 48.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,922 | 11,226 | 52.8% | Derived | — | |
| 5,789 | 10,689 | 54.2% | Derived | — | |
| 5,299 | 10,152 extrapolated | 52.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Greene County only. The complete district District 4 result is shown below for comparison.
Greene County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 4 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 27 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
27 precincts · 5,649 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -LeakesvilleLeakesville | 90 | 1,098 | 7 | 1,195 | 7.5% | 91.9% | R+84.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MaplesMaples | 46 | 587 | 4 | 637 | 7.2% | 92.2% | R+84.9 |
| Precinct -State LineState Line | 275 | 324 | 7 | 606 | 45.4% | 53.5% | R+8.1 |
| Precinct -VernalVernal | 41 | 478 | 1 | 520 | 7.9% | 91.9% | R+84.0 |
| Precinct -WadeWade | 29 | 483 | 3 | 515 | 5.6% | 93.8% | R+88.2 |
| Precinct -JonathanJonathan | 17 | 396 | 1 | 414 | 4.1% | 95.7% | R+91.5 |
| Precinct -PiavePiave | 8 | 330 | 1 | 339 | 2.4% | 97.3% | R+95.0 |
| Precinct -Washington NeelyWashington Neely | 7 | 309 | 2 | 318 | 2.2% | 97.2% | R+95.0 |
| Precinct -North LeakesvilleNorth Leakesville | 140 | 129 | 8 | 277 | 50.5% | 46.6% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -MclainMclain | 138 | 133 | 4 | 275 | 50.2% | 48.4% | D+1.8 |
| Precinct -JonesJones | 3 | 204 | 0 | 207 | 1.4% | 98.6% | R+97.1 |
| Precinct -Mutual RightsMutual Rights | 9 | 197 | 0 | 206 | 4.4% | 95.6% | R+91.3 |
| Precinct -LeafLeaf | 32 | 108 | 0 | 140 | 22.9% | 77.1% | R+54.3 |
| Jonathan Voting District28_28041502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jones Voting District28_28041302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leaf Voting District28_28041503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leakesville Voting District28_28041101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Maples Voting District28_28041403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McLain Voting District28_28041504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mutual Rights Voting District28_28041501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Leakesville Voting District28_28041201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Piave Voting District28_28041303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| State Line Voting District28_28041202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vernal Voting District28_28041402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wade Voting District28_28041304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Washington A Voting District28_28041401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Washington Voting District28_28041505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Greene County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
98.5%
266 votes · D+98.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 96.5%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
89.5%
1,845 votes · R+79.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 84.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
2,127votes
56.4% of the vote · D+15.6
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · 1,740 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
4,794votes
82.5% of the vote · R+65.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 4,776 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+112.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+87.3 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +112.2 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+101.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+79.0 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +70.3 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Greene County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 8,111 |
| 2018 | 8,102 |
| 2020 | 8,286 |
| 2022 | 7,878 |
| 2024 | 8,274 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+23 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −660 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,431 in average income, against $58,742 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+55.6 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Greene County, MS itself (R+69.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- George County, MS52R+78.8
- Perry County, MS23R+60.4
- Mobile County, AL22R+16.4
- Wayne County, MS20R+32.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- George County, MS42
- Wayne County, MS28
- Perry County, MS26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −64 |
| 2012 | +10 |
| 2013 | −60 |
| 2014 | +57 |
| 2015 | −804 |
| 2016 | +31 |
| 2017 | −23 |
| 2018 | +431 |
| 2019 | −444 |
| 2021 | +168 |
| 2022 | −64 |
| 2023 | +42 |
| 2024 | +37 |
| 2025 | +23 |
Greene County, a sparsely populated timber and agriculture community in southeast Mississippi, recorded a 69.8-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most one-sided results in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.5 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 79.0 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.8 points.
A population of 13,615, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,276 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Bradford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Greene County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.