congressional districtMississippi 4th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+37.8
2008R+36.8
2012R+36.8
2016R+41.3
2020R+38.0
2024R+42.6
net swing · 2004→2024R+4.8R+37.8 → R+42.6
vs. U.S. · 2024R+41.1R+42.6 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 51.8% of 564,474 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
82,299
206,866
3,167
292,332
564,474
51.8%
2020
91,287
205,879
4,505
301,671
553,589†
54.5%
2016
74,854
184,941
6,496
266,291
536,085†
49.7%
2012
85,408
186,687
3,265
275,360
516,258†
53.3%
2008
83,526
183,133
4,021
270,680
494,335†
54.8%
2004
78,094
174,080
1,818
253,992
472,413†
53.8%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMS-4MississippiUnited States
English12.8%10.6%9.5%
American12.1%10.0%5.3%
Irish8.8%7.4%9.4%
German7.8%5.1%12.5%
French3.9%1.7%1.6%
Italian2.9%1.7%4.8%
Scottish2.1%1.6%1.3%
Scotch-Irish1.2%1.0%—
African American†22.0%35.3%9.9%
African0.6%0.8%0.5%
Mexican2.0%1.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.9%0.3%1.8%
Honduran0.6%0.2%0.3%
Guatemalan0.4%0.2%0.5%
Spanish0.4%——
Cuban0.2%—0.7%
Spaniard0.2%——
Vietnamese0.6%0.2%0.6%
Filipino0.3%0.1%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MS-4
Mississippi
United States
Median age
38.8
38.6
39.1
Age 18–24
9.3%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.1%
17.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MS-4
Mississippi
United States
Median household income
$60,376
$56,447
$84,427
Poverty rate
16.7%
19.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
25.5%
25.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MS-4
Mississippi
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.2%
4.3%
22.3%
Spanish
3.4%
2.7%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
MS-4
Mississippi
United States
Catholic
—
3.4%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
39.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
40.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Mississippi 4th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−37.8%
2008
−36.8%
2012
−36.8%
2016
−41.3%
2020
−38.0%
2024
−42.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
4
R
26.1%75,771
73.9%215,095
290,866
2022
4
R
24.6%42,876
73.3%127,813
174,258
2020
4
R
0.0%0
100.0%255,971
255,971
2018
4
R
30.7%68,787
68.2%152,633
223,732
2016
4
R
27.8%77,505
65.0%181,323
278,779
2014
4
R
24.3%37,869
69.9%108,776
155,576
2012
4
R
28.8%82,344
64.1%182,998
285,432
2010
4
R
46.8%95,243
51.9%105,613
203,384
2008
4
D
74.5%216,542
25.5%73,977
290,519
2006
4
D
79.8%110,996
20.2%28,117
139,113
2004
4
D
64.2%179,979
34.5%96,740
280,382
2002
4
D
75.2%121,742
21.2%34,373
161,868
2000
4
D
58.1%115,732
39.8%79,218
199,034
1998
4
D
53.4%73,252
44.9%61,551
137,199
1996
4
R
36.4%66,836
61.2%112,444
183,663
1994
4
D
68.5%82,939
31.5%38,200
121,139
1992
4
D
67.3%130,927
22.5%43,705
194,544
1990
4
D
80.6%57,137
19.4%13,754
70,891
1988
4
D
54.8%110,184
44.0%88,433
201,063
1986
4
D
71.5%85,819
28.5%34,190
120,009
1984
4
D
55.3%113,635
44.7%91,797
205,432
1982
4
D
52.5%79,977
45.6%69,469
152,216
1980
4
R
29.4%52,303
39.0%69,321
177,896
1978
4
R
26.4%34,837
51.6%68,225
132,132
1976
4
R
21.6%28,737
76.0%101,132
132,991
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
27.7%79,258
72.3%206,546
285,804
2020
R
44.1%578,691
54.1%709,511
1,311,354
2018
R
39.5%369,567
58.5%547,619
936,215
2014
R
37.9%239,439
59.9%378,481
631,858
2012
R
40.6%503,467
57.2%709,626
1,241,568
2008
R
38.6%480,915
61.4%766,111
1,247,026
2006
R
34.9%213,000
63.6%388,399
610,921
2002
R
0.0%0
84.6%533,269
630,495
2000
R
31.6%314,090
65.9%654,941
994,144
1996
R
27.4%240,647
71.0%624,154
878,662
1994
R
31.2%189,752
68.8%418,333
608,085
1990
R
0.0%0
100.0%274,244
274,244
1988
R
46.1%436,339
53.9%510,380
946,719
1984
R
39.1%371,926
60.9%580,314
952,240
1982
D
64.2%414,099
35.8%230,927
645,026
1978
R
31.8%187,541
45.3%267,302
590,236
1976
D
100.0%554,433
0.0%0
554,433
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Roger F Wicker · Republican72.3%206,546
Ty Pinkins · Democrat27.7%79,258
Mississippi's 4th stretches across the southern half of the state, anchored by the Gulf Coast and Hattiesburg, and has delivered Republican presidential margins above 40 points in recent cycles, reflecting deep structural conservatism in its rural and exurban electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 42.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.6 points.
A population of 740,183, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,376 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 3 and Congressional District 8.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mississippi 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2804/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Mississippi 4th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mississippi 4th Congressional District voted Republican by 42.6 points (R+42.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 292,332 votes cast, 82,299 went Democratic and 206,866 went Republican.
How many people live in Mississippi 4th Congressional District?
Mississippi 4th Congressional District has a population of 740,183 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mississippi 4th Congressional District?
Median household income in Mississippi 4th Congressional District is $60,376 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Mississippi 4th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Mississippi 4th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
