- Lead
- 3,622
- Total
- 9,421
- vs nation
- D+39.9
- Turnout
- 48.1%
Leflore County, MS
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 48.1% of 19,590 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,519
- Total
- 10,893
- vs nation
- D+37.0
- Turnout
- 52.8%
- Lead
- 4,575
- Total
- 11,140
- vs nation
- D+39.0
- Turnout
- 51.4%
- Lead
- 5,532
- Total
- 12,773
- vs nation
- D+39.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,809
- Total
- 13,081
- vs nation
- D+29.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,931
- Total
- 12,463
- vs nation
- D+26.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,775
- Total
- 11,276
- vs nation
- D+15.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,397
- Total
- 11,713
- vs nation
- D+11.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+38.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 27,1412024 5-year
- Population density
- 46 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 594 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $35,2772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 20.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 74.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+87.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Coahoma County, MS · twin score 98.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 48.1%9,421 participants ÷ 19,590 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 25.9%–32.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9,421 | 19,590 ± 310 | 48.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 6,144 | 20,032 ± 261 | 30.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 10,893 | 20,625 ± 201 | 52.8% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 8,760 | 21,158 ± 93 | 41.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 11,140 | 21,688 ± 93 | 51.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 12,773 | 22,697 | 56.3% | Derived | — | |
| 13,081 | 25,178 | 52.0% | Derived | — | |
| 12,463 | 27,659 extrapolated | 45.1% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Leflore County only. The complete district District 2 result is shown below for comparison.
Leflore County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 2 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 35 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
35 precincts · 9,421 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -North GwdNorth Gwd | 662 | 1,757 | 32 | 2,451 | 27.0% | 71.7% | R+44.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Southeast GwdSoutheast Gwd | 980 | 155 | 13 | 1,148 | 85.4% | 13.5% | D+71.9 |
| Precinct -West GwdWest Gwd | 825 | 177 | 6 | 1,008 | 81.8% | 17.6% | D+64.3 |
| Precinct -East GwdEast Gwd | 912 | 27 | 10 | 949 | 96.1% | 2.8% | D+93.3 |
| Precinct -North Itta BenaNorth Itta Bena | 767 | 70 | 6 | 843 | 91.0% | 8.3% | D+82.7 |
| Precinct -Ne GwdNe Gwd | 548 | 119 | 1 | 668 | 82.0% | 17.8% | D+64.2 |
| Precinct -Rising SunRising Sun | 353 | 13 | 3 | 369 | 95.7% | 3.5% | D+92.1 |
| Precinct -Southwest GwdSouthwest Gwd | 258 | 7 | 2 | 267 | 96.6% | 2.6% | D+94.0 |
| Precinct -South Itta BenaSouth Itta Bena | 212 | 50 | 2 | 264 | 80.3% | 18.9% | D+61.4 |
| Precinct -Central GwdCentral Gwd | 210 | 43 | 3 | 256 | 82.0% | 16.8% | D+65.2 |
| Precinct -South GwdSouth Gwd | 206 | 4 | 4 | 214 | 96.3% | 1.9% | D+94.4 |
| Precinct -SchlaterSchlater | 92 | 117 | 0 | 209 | 44.0% | 56.0% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct -SidonSidon | 143 | 54 | 4 | 201 | 71.1% | 26.9% | D+44.3 |
| Precinct -MvsuMvsu | 136 | 20 | 1 | 157 | 86.6% | 12.7% | D+73.9 |
| Precinct -Minter CityMinter City | 63 | 81 | 2 | 146 | 43.2% | 55.5% | R+12.3 |
| Precinct -Morgan CityMorgan City | 74 | 52 | 0 | 126 | 58.7% | 41.3% | D+17.5 |
| Precinct -MoneyMoney | 19 | 88 | 1 | 108 | 17.6% | 81.5% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -SwiftownSwiftown | 16 | 20 | 1 | 37 | 43.2% | 54.1% | R+10.8 |
| Central Greenwood Voting District28_28083003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Greenwood Voting District28_28083001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minter City Voting District28_28083004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Money Voting District28_28083005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morgan City/Swiftown Voting District28_28083006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MVSU Voting District28_28083007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Greenwood Voting District28_28083008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Itta Bena Voting District28_28083009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northeast Greenwood Voting District28_28083010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rising Sun Voting District28_28083011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Schlater Voting District28_28083012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sidon Voting District28_28083013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Greenwood Voting District28_28083014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Itta Bena Voting District28_28083015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Southeast Greenwood Voting District28_28083016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Southwest Greenwood Voting District28_28083017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Greenwood Voting District28_28083018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Leflore County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
99.7%
316 votes · D+99.7
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · 98.4%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
93.6%
5,589 votes · R+87.3
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 75.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
9,119votes
71.4% of the vote · D+43.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 8,914 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
7,550votes
49.6% of the vote · R+0.7
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 6,779 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+118.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+91.9 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +116.7 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+109.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+87.3 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +29.7 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Leflore County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 29,420 |
| 2018 | 27,800 |
| 2020 | 25,995 |
| 2022 | 22,716 |
| 2024 | 22,519 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−414 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −7,726 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $31,018 in average income, against $57,895 for residents who stayed — 46% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+5.1 on average — 33 points more Republican-leaning than Leflore County, MS itself (D+38.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Shelby County, TN56D+25.4
- Carroll County, MS54R+44.3
- Holmes County, MS27D+62.1
- DeSoto County, MS25R+24.1
- Sunflower County, MS24D+35.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- DeSoto County, MS62
- Carroll County, MS55
- Shelby County, TN55
- Grenada County, MS31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −615 |
| 2012 | −1,430 |
| 2013 | −145 |
| 2014 | −120 |
| 2015 | −621 |
| 2016 | −566 |
| 2017 | −562 |
| 2018 | −729 |
| 2019 | −478 |
| 2021 | −548 |
| 2022 | −757 |
| 2023 | −327 |
| 2024 | −414 |
| 2025 | −414 |
Leflore County sits in the heart of the Mississippi Delta, where a majority-Black electorate has produced Democratic presidential margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles. Greenwood, its seat, was a focal point of 1960s voting-rights organizing.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.7 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 87.3 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.4 points.
A population of 27,141, a 21% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $35,277 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Coahoma County and Dougherty County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Leflore County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28083/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.