HarrisDemocratic46.0%6,888TrumpRepublican53.2%7,977KennedyIndependent0.3%52
R+7.3- Lead
- 1,089
- Total
- 14,983
- vs nation
- R+5.8
- Turnout
- 57.0%
Akashiccounty
Marshall County, MS
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.0% of 26,278 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic50.9%8,057TrumpRepublican47.8%7,566WestIndependent0.3%51
D+3.1- Lead
- 491
- Total
- 15,817
- vs nation
- R+1.4
- Turnout
- 57.6%
ClintonDemocratic54.1%8,023TrumpRepublican44.4%6,587JohnsonLibertarian0.6%95
D+9.7- Lead
- 1,436
- Total
- 14,839
- vs nation
- D+7.6
- Turnout
- 53.3%
ObamaDemocratic59.4%9,650RomneyRepublican39.9%6,473JohnsonLibertarian0.7%112
D+19.6- Lead
- 3,177
- Total
- 16,240
- vs nation
- D+15.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic58.8%9,685McCainRepublican40.6%6,683OtherAll other candidates0.7%110
D+18.2- Lead
- 3,002
- Total
- 16,478
- vs nation
- D+10.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic58.6%8,591BushRepublican40.8%5,975OtherAll other candidates0.6%83
D+17.9- Lead
- 2,616
- Total
- 14,649
- vs nation
- D+20.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic61.4%7,735BushRepublican37.5%4,723NaderGreen0.6%73
D+23.9- Lead
- 3,012
- Total
- 12,592
- vs nation
- D+23.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic66.3%7,521DoleRepublican28.9%3,272PerotReform4.3%482
D+37.5- Lead
- 4,249
- Total
- 11,340
- vs nation
- D+28.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,9792024 5-year
- Population density
- 48 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 706 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,4582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 42.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.3 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hampton County, SC · twin score 97.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 57.0%14,983 participants ÷ 26,278 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 28.7%–36.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14,983 | 26,278 ± 275 | 57.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 7,822 | 26,742 ± 317 | 29.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 15,898 | 27,617 ± 275 | 57.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 11,443 | 27,758 ± 221 | 41.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 14,839 | 27,865 ± 223 | 53.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 16,240 | 27,739 | 58.5% | Derived | — | |
| 16,478 | 26,939 | 61.2% | Derived | — | |
| 14,649 | 26,139 extrapolated | 56.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Marshall County only. The complete district District 1 result is shown below for comparison.
Marshall County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Cliff Johnson0—
Kelvin Buck0—
District District 1 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 48 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
48 precincts · 14,983 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -3 Byhalia3 Byhalia | 541 | 1,003 | 13 | 1,557 | 34.7% | 64.4% | R+29.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -5 South Holly Springs5 South Holly Springs | 876 | 590 | 12 | 1,478 | 59.3% | 39.9% | D+19.4 |
| Precinct -2 Mt Pleasant2 Mt Pleasant | 291 | 786 | 12 | 1,089 | 26.7% | 72.2% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -1 West Holly Springs1 West Holly Springs | 739 | 168 | 9 | 916 | 80.7% | 18.3% | D+62.3 |
| Precinct -3 Barton3 Barton | 175 | 724 | 9 | 908 | 19.3% | 79.7% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -1 Red Banks1 Red Banks | 352 | 518 | 9 | 879 | 40.0% | 58.9% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct -5 Potts Camp5 Potts Camp | 222 | 479 | 1 | 702 | 31.6% | 68.2% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -2 North Holly Springs2 North Holly Springs | 405 | 191 | 4 | 600 | 67.5% | 31.8% | D+35.7 |
| Precinct -1 North Holly Springs1 North Holly Springs | 528 | 58 | 12 | 598 | 88.3% | 9.7% | D+78.6 |
| Precinct -2 Slayden2 Slayden | 196 | 381 | 4 | 581 | 33.7% | 65.6% | R+31.8 |
| Precinct -4 Warsaw4 Warsaw | 258 | 321 | 2 | 581 | 44.4% | 55.2% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -4 Wall Hill4 Wall Hill | 319 | 225 | 5 | 549 | 58.1% | 41.0% | D+17.1 |
| Precinct -3 Cayce3 Cayce | 250 | 286 | 8 | 544 | 46.0% | 52.6% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -5 Waterford5 Waterford | 216 | 315 | 0 | 531 | 40.7% | 59.3% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -2 Cayce2 Cayce | 215 | 296 | 7 | 518 | 41.5% | 57.1% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -4 Marianna4 Marianna | 228 | 268 | 6 | 502 | 45.4% | 53.4% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -4 Chulahoma4 Chulahoma | 312 | 107 | 0 | 419 | 74.5% | 25.5% | D+48.9 |
| Precinct -4 Watson4 Watson | 166 | 252 | 1 | 419 | 39.6% | 60.1% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -2 Hudsonville2 Hudsonville | 181 | 175 | 1 | 357 | 50.7% | 49.0% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct -4 Victoria4 Victoria | 185 | 151 | 3 | 339 | 54.6% | 44.5% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct -5 Bethlehem5 Bethlehem | 36 | 290 | 0 | 326 | 11.0% | 89.0% | R+77.9 |
| Precinct -2 Early Grove2 Early Grove | 107 | 135 | 0 | 242 | 44.2% | 55.8% | R+11.6 |
| Precinct -4 Laws Hill4 Laws Hill | 83 | 121 | 0 | 204 | 40.7% | 59.3% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -5 Cornersville5 Cornersville | 7 | 137 | 0 | 144 | 4.9% | 95.1% | R+90.3 |
| Barton Voting District28_28093303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bethlehem Voting District28_28093504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Byhalia Voting District28_28093301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cayce Voting District28_28093302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chulahoma Voting District28_28093406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cornersville Voting District28_28093503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Early Grove Voting District28_28093202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hudsonville Voting District28_28093203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Laws Hill Voting District28_28093407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marianna Voting District28_28093405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mt. Pleasant Voting District28_28093205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| N. Holly Springs Dist. 128_28093101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| N. Holly Springs Dist. 228_28093201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Cayce Voting District28_28093206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Potts Camp Voting District28_28093502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Redbanks Voting District28_28093103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Slayden Voting District28_28093204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Holly Springs Voting District28_28093501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Victoria Voting District28_28093401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wall Hill Voting District28_28093404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Warsaw Voting District28_28093402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waterford Voting District28_28093505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Watson Voting District28_28093403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Holly Springs Voting District28_28093102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Marshall County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
99.1%
1,017 votes · D+98.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 98.0%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
86.8%
2,251 votes · R+73.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 62.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
9,685votes
58.8% of the vote · D+18.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 9,650 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
7,977votes
53.2% of the vote · R+7.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,566 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+118.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+92.6 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +118.4 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+96.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+73.6 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +5.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RKathy ChismState Senate · 3
RNeil WhaleyState Senate · 10
DJohn FaulknerState House · 5
RSteve MassengillState House · 13
RBill KinkadeState House · 52
Seats representing Marshall County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 23,359 |
| 2018 | 23,850 |
| 2020 | 25,449 |
| 2022 | 25,300 |
| 2024 | 26,634 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+442 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −338 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,798 in average income, against $52,707 for residents who stayed — 12% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+8.8 on average — 1.6 points more Republican-leaning than Marshall County, MS itself (R+7.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- DeSoto County, MS357R+24.1
- Shelby County, TN311D+25.4
- Benton County, MS61R+31.4
- Lafayette County, MS34R+21.8
- Union County, MS28R+70.1
- Tate County, MS25R+43.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- DeSoto County, MS314
- Shelby County, TN204
- Benton County, MS64
- Tate County, MS36
- Lafayette County, MS28
- Union County, MS20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −386 |
| 2012 | −250 |
| 2013 | −132 |
| 2014 | −312 |
| 2015 | −291 |
| 2016 | −131 |
| 2017 | −152 |
| 2018 | −162 |
| 2019 | −81 |
| 2021 | +21 |
| 2022 | +373 |
| 2023 | +383 |
| 2024 | +340 |
| 2025 | +442 |
Marshall County's population is roughly 45% Black, yet its presidential margin shifted sharply rightward between 2012 and 2024, reflecting a statewide realignment pattern that analysts are still working to explain.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.3 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 73.6 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 10.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.3 points.
A population of 33,979, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,458 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hampton County and Haywood County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Hampton County
South Carolina
97.9twin score
2000–2012 trajectory% Black
Haywood County
Tennessee
97.8twin score
2000–2016 trajectory
Anson County
North Carolina
97.4twin score
2000–2016 trajectory% Black≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Marshall County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28093/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Marshall County
Mississippi at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Marshall County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Marshall County, Mississippi voted Republican by 7.3 points (R+7.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,983 votes cast, 6,888 went Democratic and 7,977 went Republican.
When did Marshall County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Marshall County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Marshall County, Mississippi?
Marshall County, Mississippi has a population of 33,979 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Marshall County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Marshall County, Mississippi is $53,458 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Marshall County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Marshall County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.