Marshall County, Mississippi: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+98 in 1916.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 33,9792024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,4582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 42.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jasper County, SC · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +84.2% |
| 1896 | +88.1% |
| 1900 | +84.5% |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +92.1% |
| 1916 | +98.3% |
| 1920 | +92.6% |
| 1924 | +93.2% |
| 1928 | +86.9% |
| 1932 | +94.2% |
| 1936 | +96.0% |
| 1940 | +93.4% |
| 1944 | +91.6% |
| 1948 | +8.8% |
| 1952 | +50.7% |
| 1956 | +53.4% |
| 1960 | +15.5% |
| 1964 | −73.6% |
| 1968 | +37.1% |
| 1972 | −27.1% |
| 1976 | +49.1% |
| 1980 | +34.1% |
| 1984 | +14.2% |
| 1988 | +19.7% |
| 1992 | +32.5% |
| 1996 | +37.5% |
| 2000 | +23.9% |
| 2004 | +17.9% |
| 2008 | +18.2% |
| 2012 | +19.6% |
| 2016 | +9.7% |
| 2020 | +3.1% |
| 2024 | −7.3% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 6,888 | 7,977 | 14,983 | ||
| D | 8,057 | 7,566 | 15,817 | ||
| D | 8,023 | 6,587 | 14,839 | ||
| D | 9,650 | 6,473 | 16,240 | ||
| D | 9,685 | 6,683 | 16,478 | ||
| D | 8,591 | 5,975 | 14,649 | ||
| D | 7,735 | 4,723 | 12,592 | ||
| D | 7,521 | 3,272 | 11,340 | ||
| D | 7,913 | 3,847 | 12,512 | ||
| D | 6,982 | 4,668 | 11,751 | ||
| D | 5,845 | 4,389 | 10,278 | ||
| D | 7,153 | 3,455 | 10,848 | ||
| D | 6,769 | 2,242 | 9,226 | ||
| R | 1,875 | 3,326 | 5,356 | ||
| D | 2,907 | 577 | 6,278 | ||
| R | 343 | 2,251 | 2,594 | ||
| O | 681 | 404 | 1,785 | ||
| D | 1,192 | 287 | 1,694 | ||
| D | 1,847 | 604 | 2,451 | ||
| O | 152 | 29 | 1,397 | ||
| D | 1,441 | 63 | 1,504 | ||
| D | 1,403 | 48 | 1,451 | ||
| D | 1,111 | 22 | 1,134 | ||
| D | 1,281 | 38 | 1,320 | ||
| D | 1,422 | 100 | 1,522 | ||
| D | 1,142 | 40 | 1,182 | ||
| D | 823 | 30 | 856 | ||
| D | 1,017 | 8 | 1,026 | ||
| D | 779 | 9 | 836 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 1,085 | 91 | 1,177 | ||
| D | 1,286 | 72 | 1,378 | ||
| D | 1,097 | 22 | 1,276 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
Marshall County's population is roughly 45% Black, yet its presidential margin shifted sharply rightward between 2012 and 2024, reflecting a statewide realignment pattern that analysts are still working to explain.
The Democratic margin here reached ninety-eight points in 1916. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved ten points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seven points. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $53,458 and a 23% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jasper County and Lee County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marshall County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28093/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
