HarrisDemocratic24.1%2,622TrumpRepublican75.1%8,154KennedyIndependent0.4%47
R+50.9- Lead
- 5,532
- Total
- 10,861
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Turnout
- 52.1%
Akashiccounty
Neshoba County, MS
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 52.1% of 20,848 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic27.9%3,260TrumpRepublican71.1%8,320JorgensenLibertarian0.4%46
R+43.2- Lead
- 5,060
- Total
- 11,703
- vs nation
- R+47.7
- Turnout
- 56.1%
ClintonDemocratic25.7%2,715TrumpRepublican72.8%7,679JohnsonLibertarian0.8%83
R+47.0- Lead
- 4,964
- Total
- 10,553
- vs nation
- R+49.1
- Turnout
- 50.5%
ObamaDemocratic28.0%3,089RomneyRepublican71.1%7,837JohnsonLibertarian0.8%88
R+43.1- Lead
- 4,748
- Total
- 11,015
- vs nation
- R+47.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic27.3%3,114McCainRepublican72.0%8,209OtherAll other candidates0.7%79
R+44.7- Lead
- 5,095
- Total
- 11,402
- vs nation
- R+52.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic25.0%2,600BushRepublican74.7%7,780OtherAll other candidates0.4%39
R+49.7- Lead
- 5,180
- Total
- 10,419
- vs nation
- R+47.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic28.3%2,563BushRepublican70.7%6,409NaderGreen0.6%53
R+42.4- Lead
- 3,846
- Total
- 9,066
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic34.0%2,646DoleRepublican58.4%4,545PerotReform7.2%560
R+24.4- Lead
- 1,899
- Total
- 7,787
- vs nation
- R+32.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,9322024 5-year
- Population density
- 51 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 570 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,0132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 21.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+89.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Dale County, AL · twin score 94.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 52.1%10,861 participants ÷ 20,848 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 24.8%–32.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10,861 | 20,848 ± 117 | 52.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 6,023 | 20,878 ± 108 | 28.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 11,720 | 20,893 ± 164 | 56.1% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 8,026 | 20,888 ± 125 | 38.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 10,553 | 20,905 ± 119 | 50.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 11,015 | 20,982 | 52.5% | Derived | — | |
| 11,402 | 21,300 | 53.5% | Derived | — | |
| 10,419 | 21,618 extrapolated | 48.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Neshoba County only. The complete district District 3 result is shown below for comparison.
Neshoba County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Michael A. Chiaradio0—
District District 3 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 50 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
50 precincts · 10,861 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Northeast PhiladelphiaNortheast Philadelphia | 190 | 1,140 | 9 | 1,339 | 14.2% | 85.1% | R+70.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Northwest PhiladelphiaNorthwest Philadelphia | 883 | 225 | 9 | 1,117 | 79.1% | 20.1% | D+58.9 |
| Precinct -Southeast PhiladelphiaSoutheast Philadelphia | 204 | 754 | 10 | 968 | 21.1% | 77.9% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -McdonaldMcdonald | 83 | 845 | 2 | 930 | 8.9% | 90.9% | R+81.9 |
| Precinct -Tucker-District ThreeTucker-District Three | 72 | 447 | 5 | 524 | 13.7% | 85.3% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -HouseHouse | 31 | 438 | 2 | 471 | 6.6% | 93.0% | R+86.4 |
| Precinct -North BendNorth Bend | 23 | 435 | 0 | 458 | 5.0% | 95.0% | R+90.0 |
| Precinct -DixonDixon | 136 | 318 | 1 | 455 | 29.9% | 69.9% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -ForestdaleForestdale | 87 | 349 | 6 | 442 | 19.7% | 79.0% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -County LineCounty Line | 20 | 340 | 2 | 362 | 5.5% | 93.9% | R+88.4 |
| Precinct -BurnsideBurnside | 213 | 142 | 0 | 355 | 60.0% | 40.0% | D+20.0 |
| Precinct -FuskyFusky | 4 | 344 | 1 | 349 | 1.1% | 98.6% | R+97.4 |
| Precinct -ArlingtonArlington | 17 | 324 | 3 | 344 | 4.9% | 94.2% | R+89.2 |
| Precinct -CenterCenter | 40 | 291 | 1 | 332 | 12.0% | 87.7% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -Pearl RiverPearl River | 203 | 108 | 12 | 323 | 62.8% | 33.4% | D+29.4 |
| Precinct -HaysHays | 46 | 267 | 3 | 316 | 14.6% | 84.5% | R+69.9 |
| Precinct -HopeHope | 55 | 239 | 3 | 297 | 18.5% | 80.5% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -DeemerDeemer | 31 | 255 | 2 | 288 | 10.8% | 88.5% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -East NeshobaEast Neshoba | 171 | 112 | 3 | 286 | 59.8% | 39.2% | D+20.6 |
| Precinct -ZephyrhillZephyrhill | 51 | 229 | 5 | 285 | 17.9% | 80.4% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -HerbertHerbert | 9 | 234 | 3 | 246 | 3.7% | 95.1% | R+91.5 |
| Precinct -ForkFork | 11 | 230 | 1 | 242 | 4.5% | 95.0% | R+90.5 |
| Precinct -FairviewFairview | 42 | 88 | 2 | 132 | 31.8% | 66.7% | R+34.8 |
| Arlilngton Voting District28_28099103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bogue Chitto Voting District28_28099205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnside Voting District28_28099502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Center Voting District28_28099202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| County Line Voting District28_28099303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Deemer Voting District28_28099404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dixon Voting District28_28099403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Neshoba Voting District28_28099503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairview Voting District28_28099107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Forestdale Voting District28_28099204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fork Voting District28_28099104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fusky Voting District28_28099504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hays Voting District28_28099406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Herbert Voting District28_28099306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hope Voting District28_28099106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| House Voting District28_28099305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McDonald Voting District28_28099402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neshoba Voting District28_28099407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Bend Voting District28_28099201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northeast Philadelphia Voting District28_28099206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northwest Philadelphia Voting District28_28099501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pearl River Voting District28_28099108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Southeast Philadelphia Voting District28_28099301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Southwest Philadelphia Voting District28_28099401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tucker District 128_28099102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tucker District 328_28099304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Zephyr Hill Voting District28_28099101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Neshoba County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
99.2%
1,055 votes · D+98.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 98.0%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
94.9%
5,431 votes · R+89.8
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 88.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
3,891votes
49.8% of the vote · D+0.4
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · 3,872 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
8,320votes
71.1% of the vote · R+43.2
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 8,209 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+108.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+88.3 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +104.6 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+112.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+89.8 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +54.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RLane TaylorState Senate · 18
RScott BoundsState House · 44
DKeith JacksonState House · 45
Seats representing Neshoba County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 16,449 |
| 2018 | 17,240 |
| 2020 | 18,163 |
| 2022 | 17,771 |
| 2024 | 18,143 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−95 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,313 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,138 in average income, against $63,326 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+25.8 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than Neshoba County, MS itself (R+50.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Newton County, MS82R+43.3
- Leake County, MS62R+23.4
- Lauderdale County, MS32R+21.2
- Winston County, MS32R+18.2
- Kemper County, MS30D+16.9
- Scott County, MS25R+24.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Newton County, MS81
- Leake County, MS55
- Lauderdale County, MS35
- Winston County, MS34
- Kemper County, MS26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −51 |
| 2012 | −128 |
| 2013 | −243 |
| 2014 | −84 |
| 2015 | −38 |
| 2016 | −22 |
| 2017 | −97 |
| 2018 | −310 |
| 2019 | −87 |
| 2021 | −12 |
| 2022 | −71 |
| 2023 | −42 |
| 2024 | −33 |
| 2025 | −95 |
Neshoba County, once a focal point of the 1964 civil rights murders, has shifted to some of Mississippi's widest Republican margins over the past two decades, reflecting a rural demographic realignment that has reshaped the state's electoral map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.5 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 89.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.9 points.
A population of 28,932, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,013 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dale County and Toombs County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Dale County
Alabama
94.0twin score
2000–2012 trajectory
Toombs County
Georgia
91.5twin score
2004–2012 trajectory% Evangelical
Ware County
Georgia
90.1twin score
2004–2008 trajectory% Evangelical% Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Neshoba County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28099/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Neshoba County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Neshoba County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Neshoba County, Mississippi voted Republican by 50.9 points (R+50.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,861 votes cast, 2,622 went Democratic and 8,154 went Republican.
When did Neshoba County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Neshoba County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Neshoba County, Mississippi?
Neshoba County, Mississippi has a population of 28,932 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Neshoba County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Neshoba County, Mississippi is $57,013 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Neshoba County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Neshoba County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.