HarrisDemocratic73.5%3,269TrumpRepublican25.9%1,151KennedyIndependent0.2%10
D+47.6- Lead
- 2,118
- Total
- 4,449
- vs nation
- D+49.1
- Turnout
- 59.6%
Akashiccounty
Noxubee County, MS
Contests in this Place (86 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.6% of 7,459 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic75.7%4,040TrumpRepublican23.2%1,240WestIndependent0.3%15
D+52.4- Lead
- 2,800
- Total
- 5,339
- vs nation
- D+48.0
- Turnout
- 68.2%
ClintonDemocratic78.0%4,347TrumpRepublican21.5%1,200JohnsonLibertarian0.2%12
D+56.5- Lead
- 3,147
- Total
- 5,574
- vs nation
- D+54.4
- Turnout
- 69.2%
ObamaDemocratic78.5%4,920RomneyRepublican21.2%1,325OtherAll other candidates0.3%19
D+57.4- Lead
- 3,595
- Total
- 6,264
- vs nation
- D+53.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic76.3%5,030McCainRepublican23.1%1,525OtherAll other candidates0.5%34
D+53.2- Lead
- 3,505
- Total
- 6,589
- vs nation
- D+45.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic71.3%4,346BushRepublican28.3%1,723OtherAll other candidates0.5%28
D+43.0- Lead
- 2,623
- Total
- 6,097
- vs nation
- D+45.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic68.3%3,383BushRepublican30.9%1,530NaderGreen0.3%15
D+37.4- Lead
- 1,853
- Total
- 4,954
- vs nation
- D+36.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic65.2%2,801DoleRepublican29.9%1,287PerotReform2.8%119
D+35.2- Lead
- 1,514
- Total
- 4,298
- vs nation
- D+26.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+47.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,0252024 5-year
- Population density
- 14 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 695 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $33,8332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 25.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 73.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.9 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+93.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Holmes County, MS · twin score 99.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 59.6%4,449 participants ÷ 7,459 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 31.1%–35.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,449 | 7,459 ± 52 | 59.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 3,045 | 7,668 ± 86 | 39.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,379 | 7,884 ± 148 | 68.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 4,022 | 8,019 ± 79 | 50.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,574 | 8,054 ± 150 | 69.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 6,264 | 8,317 | 75.3% | Derived | — | |
| 6,589 | 8,437 | 78.1% | Derived | — | |
| 6,097 | 8,557 extrapolated | 71.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Noxubee County only. The complete district District 3 result is shown below for comparison.
Noxubee County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Michael A. Chiaradio0—
District District 3 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 18 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 4,449 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Noxubee Civic CenterNoxubee Civic Center | 793 | 158 | 2 | 953 | 83.2% | 16.6% | D+66.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BrooksvilleBrooksville | 621 | 246 | 9 | 876 | 70.9% | 28.1% | D+42.8 |
| Precinct -Noxubee Alliance BldgNoxubee Alliance Bldg | 590 | 196 | 8 | 794 | 74.3% | 24.7% | D+49.6 |
| Precinct -ShuqualakShuqualak | 454 | 124 | 4 | 582 | 78.0% | 21.3% | D+56.7 |
| Precinct -Prairie PointPrairie Point | 337 | 108 | 2 | 447 | 75.4% | 24.2% | D+51.2 |
| Precinct -CliftonvilleCliftonville | 321 | 30 | 2 | 353 | 90.9% | 8.5% | D+82.4 |
| Precinct -MashulavilleMashulaville | 124 | 192 | 1 | 317 | 39.1% | 60.6% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct -SummervilleSummerville | 29 | 97 | 1 | 127 | 22.8% | 76.4% | R+53.5 |
| Brooksville Voting District28_28103501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Central District 328_28103302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cliftonville Voting District28_28103101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Earl Nash Gym Voting District28_28103202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mashulaville Voting District28_28103401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Noxubee Cnty Vo-Tech Cen. Voting District28_28103104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prairie Point Voting District28_28103103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Savannah Voting District28_28103203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shuqualak Voting District28_28103404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sommerville Voting District28_28103403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Noxubee County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
98.2%
601 votes · D+97.9
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 98.1%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
96.6%
1,980 votes · R+93.2
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 66.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
5,030votes
76.3% of the vote · D+53.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 4,920 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
2,239votes
66.3% of the vote · R+35.1
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 2,123 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+119.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+93.3 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +117.5 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+115.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+93.2 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +12.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DAngela Turner-FordState Senate · 16
DRod HickmanState Senate · 32
DCarl MickensState House · 42
Seats representing Noxubee County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 73.6%3,572 | 26.4%1,282 | 4,854 |
| 2018 | D | 77.3%3,026 | 22.7%889 | 3,915 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,285 |
| 2018 | 8,945 |
| 2020 | 7,916 |
| 2022 | 7,762 |
| 2024 | 7,635 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−85 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,982 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $34,674 in average income, against $43,161 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+8.2 on average — 56 points more Republican-leaning than Noxubee County, MS itself (D+47.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lowndes County, MS47R+8.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lowndes County, MS59
- Oktibbeha County, MS30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −216 |
| 2012 | −197 |
| 2013 | −167 |
| 2014 | −58 |
| 2015 | −157 |
| 2016 | −87 |
| 2017 | −204 |
| 2018 | −230 |
| 2019 | −173 |
| 2021 | −94 |
| 2022 | −120 |
| 2023 | −96 |
| 2024 | −98 |
| 2025 | −85 |
Noxubee County's electorate is roughly 70% Black, producing presidential margins that routinely exceed 40 points Democratic — an outlier even within a state where statewide results lean heavily Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.9 points in 1904 and a Republican high of 93.2 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.6 points.
A population of 10,025, a 26% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $33,833 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Holmes County and Perry County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Holmes County
Mississippi
99.5twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Perry County
Alabama
99.4twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Allendale County
South Carolina
99.0twin score
2004–2020 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Noxubee County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Noxubee County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Noxubee County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Noxubee County, Mississippi voted Democratic by 47.6 points (D+47.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,449 votes cast, 3,269 went Democratic and 1,151 went Republican.
When did Noxubee County, Mississippi last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Noxubee County, Mississippi voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Noxubee County, Mississippi?
Noxubee County, Mississippi has a population of 10,025 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Noxubee County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Noxubee County, Mississippi is $33,833 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Noxubee County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Noxubee County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.