HarrisDemocratic33.2%3,028TrumpRepublican65.9%6,013KennedyIndependent0.5%44
R+32.7- Lead
- 2,985
- Total
- 9,119
- vs nation
- R+31.3
- Turnout
- 63.1%
Akashiccounty
Wayne County, MS
Contests in this Place (86 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.1% of 14,461 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic36.0%3,624TrumpRepublican62.7%6,307JorgensenLibertarian0.4%45
R+26.7- Lead
- 2,683
- Total
- 10,056
- vs nation
- R+31.1
- Turnout
- 67.4%
ClintonDemocratic36.7%3,524TrumpRepublican62.4%5,990JohnsonLibertarian0.5%46
R+25.7- Lead
- 2,466
- Total
- 9,599
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- 62.8%
ObamaDemocratic40.1%4,148RomneyRepublican59.1%6,111OtherAll other candidates0.7%73
R+19.0- Lead
- 1,963
- Total
- 10,332
- vs nation
- R+22.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic38.8%3,890McCainRepublican60.6%6,070OtherAll other candidates0.6%62
R+21.8- Lead
- 2,180
- Total
- 10,022
- vs nation
- R+29.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.3%3,193BushRepublican63.2%5,562OtherAll other candidates0.5%40
R+26.9- Lead
- 2,369
- Total
- 8,795
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.7%2,981BushRepublican60.2%4,635NaderGreen0.5%42
R+21.5- Lead
- 1,654
- Total
- 7,705
- vs nation
- R+22.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic40.9%2,652DoleRepublican49.6%3,219PerotReform9.2%595
R+8.7- Lead
- 567
- Total
- 6,490
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 19,7182024 5-year
- Population density
- 24 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 811 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $37,6192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 37.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.9 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+85.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Covington County, MS · twin score 97.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 63.1%9,119 participants ÷ 14,461 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 35.9%–42.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9,119 | 14,461 ± 271 | 63.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 5,831 | 14,460 ± 280 | 40.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 10,197 | 15,118 ± 94 | 67.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 7,439 | 15,323 ± 53 | 48.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 9,599 | 15,283 ± 84 | 62.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 10,332 | 15,301 | 67.5% | Derived | — | |
| 10,022 | 15,202 | 65.9% | Derived | — | |
| 8,795 | 15,103 extrapolated | 58.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Wayne County only. The complete district District 4 result is shown below for comparison.
Wayne County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
D. Ryan Grover0—
Jeffrey Hulum III0—
Paul James Blackman0—
District District 4 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 46 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
46 precincts · 9,119 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ClaraClara | 31 | 1,187 | 6 | 1,224 | 2.5% | 97.0% | R+94.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Waynesboro City 2Waynesboro City 2 | 410 | 343 | 9 | 762 | 53.8% | 45.0% | D+8.8 |
| Precinct -Waynesboro City 3Waynesboro City 3 | 187 | 524 | 2 | 713 | 26.2% | 73.5% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -Beat FourBeat Four | 67 | 557 | 9 | 633 | 10.6% | 88.0% | R+77.4 |
| Precinct -State LineState Line | 205 | 369 | 10 | 584 | 35.1% | 63.2% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -BuckatunnaBuckatunna | 274 | 246 | 4 | 524 | 52.3% | 46.9% | D+5.3 |
| Precinct -Yellow CreekYellow Creek | 157 | 333 | 5 | 495 | 31.7% | 67.3% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -WinchesterWinchester | 227 | 212 | 4 | 443 | 51.2% | 47.9% | D+3.4 |
| Precinct -Waynesboro City 1Waynesboro City 1 | 413 | 15 | 3 | 431 | 95.8% | 3.5% | D+92.3 |
| Precinct -DenhamDenham | 72 | 341 | 3 | 416 | 17.3% | 82.0% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct -Pleasant GrovePleasant Grove | 91 | 278 | 1 | 370 | 24.6% | 75.1% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -Waynesboro City 4Waynesboro City 4 | 204 | 91 | 4 | 299 | 68.2% | 30.4% | D+37.8 |
| Precinct -CorinthCorinth | 8 | 284 | 3 | 295 | 2.7% | 96.3% | R+93.6 |
| Precinct -MozingoMozingo | 47 | 244 | 1 | 292 | 16.1% | 83.6% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -HiwanneeHiwannee | 177 | 82 | 2 | 261 | 67.8% | 31.4% | D+36.4 |
| Precinct -ChicoraChicora | 44 | 209 | 1 | 254 | 17.3% | 82.3% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -Waynesboro City 5Waynesboro City 5 | 135 | 90 | 3 | 228 | 59.2% | 39.5% | D+19.7 |
| Precinct -Chappara/DiamondChappara/Diamond | 140 | 76 | 4 | 220 | 63.6% | 34.5% | D+29.1 |
| Precinct -EucuttaEucutta | 42 | 155 | 2 | 199 | 21.1% | 77.9% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -StrengthfordStrengthford | 8 | 176 | 2 | 186 | 4.3% | 94.6% | R+90.3 |
| Precinct -Big RockBig Rock | 66 | 96 | 0 | 162 | 40.7% | 59.3% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -Matherville/CoytMatherville/Coyt | 23 | 105 | 0 | 128 | 18.0% | 82.0% | R+64.1 |
| Beat 4 School Voting District28_28153403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Rock Voting District28_28153202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buckatunna Voting District28_28153101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaparral Voting District28_28153304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chicora Voting District28_28153103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clara Voting District28_28153502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coit Voting District28_28153306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Corinth Voting District28_28153503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Denham Voting District28_28153204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Diamond Voting District28_28153205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eucutta Voting District28_28153405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hiwannee Voting District28_28153303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Matherville Voting District28_28153305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mozingo Voting District28_28153402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Grove Voting District28_28153404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| State Line Voting District28_28153105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Strengthford Voting District28_28153505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waynesboro 1 Voting District28_28153102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waynesboro 2 Voting District28_28153201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waynesboro 3 Voting District28_28153301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waynesboro 4 Voting District28_28153401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waynesboro 5 Voting District28_28153501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winchester Voting District28_28153203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Yellow Creek Voting District28_28153302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Wayne County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
98.4%
1,388 votes · D+96.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944 · 97.5%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
92.8%
3,539 votes · R+85.5
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 82.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
4,148votes
40.1% of the vote · R+19.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,890 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
6,307votes
62.7% of the vote · R+26.7
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 6,111 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+113.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+88.3 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +96.5 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+108.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+85.5 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +41.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RDon HartnessState Senate · 42
RDennis DeBarState Senate · 43
RShane BarnettState House · 86
Seats representing Wayne County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,320 |
| 2018 | 14,070 |
| 2020 | 14,449 |
| 2022 | 13,963 |
| 2024 | 14,265 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−58 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,255 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,476 in average income, against $57,416 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+45.0 on average — 12 points more Republican-leaning than Wayne County, MS itself (R+32.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jones County, MS64R+46.8
- Greene County, MS28R+69.8
- Clarke County, MS24R+35.2
- Forrest County, MS21R+17.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jones County, MS79
- Forrest County, MS27
- Clarke County, MS26
- Greene County, MS20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −248 |
| 2012 | −52 |
| 2013 | −189 |
| 2014 | −60 |
| 2015 | −51 |
| 2016 | −90 |
| 2017 | −84 |
| 2018 | −167 |
| 2019 | −153 |
| 2021 | −117 |
| 2022 | −57 |
| 2023 | +104 |
| 2024 | −33 |
| 2025 | −58 |
Wayne County sits in Mississippi's timber belt, where a predominantly rural, majority-white electorate has shifted decisively toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, with 2024 margins exceeding 30 points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.9 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 85.5 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.7 points.
A population of 19,718, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $37,619 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Covington County and Turner County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Covington County
Mississippi
97.4twin score
% Black% Evangelicalmedian income
Turner County
Georgia
93.9twin score
% Blackmedian income% Evangelical
Laurens County
Georgia
93.8twin score
% Black% Evangelical% White
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wayne County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28153/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Wayne County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Wayne County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wayne County, Mississippi voted Republican by 32.7 points (R+32.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,119 votes cast, 3,028 went Democratic and 6,013 went Republican.
When did Wayne County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wayne County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Wayne County, Mississippi?
Wayne County, Mississippi has a population of 19,718 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wayne County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Wayne County, Mississippi is $37,619 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Wayne County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wayne County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.