Caldwell County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
9 precincts · 4,703 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -GOMER/HAMILTON-03GOMER/HAMILTON-03 | 245 | 1,024 | 13 | 1,282 | 19.1% | 79.9% | R+60.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -DAVIS/FAIRVIEW-08DAVIS/FAIRVIEW-08 | 130 | 588 | 4 | 722 | 18.0% | 81.4% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -GRANT-10GRANT-10 | 156 | 553 | 8 | 717 | 21.8% | 77.1% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -KIDDER-04KIDDER-04 | 115 | 466 | 2 | 583 | 19.7% | 79.9% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -MIRABILE/ROCKFORD-05MIRABILE/ROCKFORD-05 | 102 | 449 | 13 | 564 | 18.1% | 79.6% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -BRECKENRIDGE-01BRECKENRIDGE-01 | 51 | 184 | 0 | 235 | 21.7% | 78.3% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -KINGSTON-06KINGSTON-06 | 53 | 180 | 2 | 235 | 22.6% | 76.6% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct -LINCOLN-09LINCOLN-09 | 26 | 190 | 2 | 218 | 11.9% | 87.2% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -NEW YORK-7NEW YORK-7 | 10 | 137 | 0 | 147 | 6.8% | 93.2% | R+86.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −9.8% |
| 1896 | −1.5% |
| 1900 | −12.6% |
| 1904 | −24.8% |
| 1908 | −16.5% |
| 1912 | +8.1% |
| 1916 | −10.2% |
| 1920 | −25.0% |
| 1924 | −19.2% |
| 1928 | −31.6% |
| 1932 | +4.6% |
| 1936 | −11.4% |
| 1940 | −18.6% |
| 1944 | −25.6% |
| 1948 | −15.0% |
| 1952 | −33.7% |
| 1956 | −25.0% |
| 1960 | −28.4% |
| 1964 | +7.6% |
| 1968 | −25.1% |
| 1972 | −44.0% |
| 1976 | +0.4% |
| 1980 | −23.9% |
| 1984 | −31.9% |
| 1988 | −9.1% |
| 1992 | +4.0% |
| 1996 | +0.7% |
| 2000 | −19.0% |
| 2004 | −22.2% |
| 2008 | −18.4% |
| 2012 | −33.8% |
| 2016 | −55.5% |
| 2020 | −60.2% |
| 2024 | −61.3% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,302 |
| 2018 | 6,396 |
| 2020 | 6,542 |
| 2022 | 6,414 |
| 2024 | 6,548 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+70 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −17 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,020 in average income, against $63,124 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+37.8 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Caldwell County, MO itself (R+61.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clay County, MO35R+5.6
- Clinton County, MO33R+47.9
- Ray County, MO25R+48.7
- DeKalb County, MO21R+62.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Clay County, MO30
- DeKalb County, MO25
- Clinton County, MO24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −147 |
| 2012 | −174 |
| 2013 | −33 |
| 2014 | −23 |
| 2015 | +12 |
| 2016 | +36 |
| 2017 | +7 |
| 2018 | +26 |
| 2019 | −43 |
| 2021 | +111 |
| 2022 | +67 |
| 2023 | +38 |
| 2024 | +36 |
| 2025 | +70 |
With fewer than 9,000 residents and a 2024 presidential margin of R+61.3, Caldwell County sits among Missouri's most heavily one-sided rural counties, where Republican margins have widened steadily over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 61.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.3 points.
A population of 8,927, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,806 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Maries County and Jackson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Caldwell County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.