Butler County, Missouri: Evangelical Deep South county. In 2024, voted R+64%. Republican peak: R+64 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Evangelical Deep SouthAkashic typology
- Population
- 42,0202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $49,0892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lincoln County, KY · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Butler CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Butler County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
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Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +7.3% |
| 1896 | +3.2% |
| 1900 | −6.0% |
| 1904 | −16.6% |
| 1908 | −6.9% |
| 1912 | +2.0% |
| 1916 | −11.5% |
| 1920 | −26.1% |
| 1924 | −19.2% |
| 1928 | −25.4% |
| 1932 | +18.5% |
| 1936 | −1.0% |
| 1940 | −12.7% |
| 1944 | −20.3% |
| 1948 | +10.8% |
| 1952 | −9.9% |
| 1956 | −10.3% |
| 1960 | −23.6% |
| 1964 | +15.7% |
| 1968 | −14.5% |
| 1972 | −45.3% |
| 1976 | +8.7% |
| 1980 | −19.3% |
| 1984 | −29.9% |
| 1988 | −16.1% |
| 1992 | +1.0% |
| 1996 | −8.5% |
| 2000 | −28.6% |
| 2004 | −42.8% |
| 2008 | −37.4% |
| 2012 | −46.7% |
| 2016 | −61.5% |
| 2020 | −62.2% |
| 2024 | −63.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,160 | 14,549 | 17,860 | ||
| R | 3,301 | 14,602 | 18,169 | ||
| R | 3,036 | 13,650 | 17,259 | ||
| R | 4,363 | 12,248 | 16,889 | ||
| R | 5,316 | 11,805 | 17,338 | ||
| R | 4,666 | 11,696 | 16,441 | ||
| R | 4,996 | 9,111 | 14,397 | ||
| R | 5,780 | 6,996 | 14,343 | ||
| D | 6,602 | 6,450 | 15,272 | ||
| R | 5,751 | 7,968 | 13,738 | ||
| R | 4,699 | 8,712 | 13,411 | ||
| R | 5,605 | 8,342 | 14,181 | ||
| D | 6,759 | 5,669 | 12,485 | ||
| R | 3,466 | 9,198 | 12,664 | ||
| R | 4,379 | 6,326 | 13,464 | ||
| D | 7,710 | 5,616 | 13,326 | ||
| R | 5,406 | 8,751 | 14,157 | ||
| R | 5,869 | 7,216 | 13,085 | ||
| R | 6,426 | 7,843 | 14,285 | ||
| D | 5,319 | 4,276 | 9,630 | ||
| R | 4,219 | 6,375 | 10,626 | ||
| R | 6,213 | 8,024 | 14,275 | ||
| R | 6,234 | 6,355 | 12,631 | ||
| D | 6,058 | 4,155 | 10,303 | ||
| R | 3,320 | 5,591 | 8,949 | ||
| R | 2,953 | 4,489 | 8,019 | ||
| R | 2,662 | 4,601 | 7,442 | ||
| R | 2,135 | 2,717 | 5,054 | ||
| D | 1,946 | 1,851 | 4,665 | ||
| R | 1,893 | 2,186 | 4,268 | ||
| R | 1,369 | 1,960 | 3,568 | ||
| R | 1,670 | 1,888 | 3,647 | ||
| D | 1,743 | 1,635 | 3,393 | ||
| D | 1,233 | 1,052 | 2,487 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.2%
English
12.6%
Irish
12.0%
American
11.6%
Scottish
1.7%
Polish
1.6%
French
1.6%
African American
3.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$49,089
Butler County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Butler County$49,089
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Butler County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
20.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.7%
Working age (18–64)19.4%
Seniors (65+)18.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
98.2%
speak English only
Spanish0.9%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Butler County, anchored by Poplar Bluff in the Ozark foothills, recorded an R+63.8 presidential margin in 2024 — placing it among Missouri's most one-sided counties and reflecting the broader rural realignment that has reshaped the state's electoral map over two decades.
The Republican margin here reached its widest at sixty-four points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-four points.
A median household income of $49,089, a 21% poverty rate, and a 87% non-Hispanic-white share describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lincoln County and Johnson County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Butler County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More evangelical deep south counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Butler County, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Butler County, Missouri voted Republican by 63.8 points (R+64), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,860 votes cast, 3,160 went Democratic and 14,549 went Republican.
What is Butler County, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Butler County, Missouri in the "Evangelical Deep South" typology — Deeply Republican, heavily Baptist counties of the Deep South. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 26 times, and other 0 times.
When did Butler County, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Butler County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Butler County, Missouri?
Butler County, Missouri has a population of 42,020 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Butler County, Missouri?
Median household income in Butler County, Missouri is $49,089 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Butler County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Butler County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The county's typology — "Evangelical Deep South" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.