Butler County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 17,860 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CANE CREEK/MOARKCANE CREEK/MOARK | 264 | 1,512 | 14 | 1,790 | 14.7% | 84.5% | R+69.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TWIN SPRINGSTWIN SPRINGS | 235 | 1,366 | 10 | 1,611 | 14.6% | 84.8% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -OAK GROVEOAK GROVE | 279 | 1,201 | 15 | 1,495 | 18.7% | 80.3% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -POPLAR BLUFF WARD 4POPLAR BLUFF WARD 4 | 316 | 1,146 | 14 | 1,476 | 21.4% | 77.6% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -HILLVIEWHILLVIEW | 134 | 1,026 | 5 | 1,165 | 11.5% | 88.1% | R+76.6 |
| Precinct -POPLAR BLUFF WARD 2POPLAR BLUFF WARD 2 | 293 | 811 | 6 | 1,110 | 26.4% | 73.1% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -KINYONKINYON | 183 | 856 | 5 | 1,044 | 17.5% | 82.0% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -LAKE ROAD/ROMBAUERLAKE ROAD/ROMBAUER | 149 | 882 | 8 | 1,039 | 14.3% | 84.9% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -POPLAR BLUFF WARD 5POPLAR BLUFF WARD 5 | 259 | 607 | 15 | 881 | 29.4% | 68.9% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct -WAPPAPELLOWAPPAPELLO | 123 | 657 | 5 | 785 | 15.7% | 83.7% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -POPLAR BLUFF WARD 1POPLAR BLUFF WARD 1 | 204 | 565 | 8 | 777 | 26.3% | 72.7% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct -QULIN/OGLESVILLE/FAGUSQULIN/OGLESVILLE/FAGUS | 95 | 594 | 6 | 695 | 13.7% | 85.5% | R+71.8 |
| Precinct -HENDRICKSONHENDRICKSON | 91 | 552 | 10 | 653 | 13.9% | 84.5% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -BROSELEYBROSELEY | 77 | 526 | 6 | 609 | 12.6% | 86.4% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -FISKFISK | 90 | 473 | 3 | 566 | 15.9% | 83.6% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -POPLAR BLUFF WARD 3POPLAR BLUFF WARD 3 | 166 | 377 | 7 | 550 | 30.2% | 68.5% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -SALE BARNSALE BARN | 82 | 447 | 5 | 534 | 15.4% | 83.7% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -NEELYVILLENEELYVILLE | 53 | 407 | 2 | 462 | 11.5% | 88.1% | R+76.6 |
| Precinct -OAK BRIEROAK BRIER | 41 | 271 | 2 | 314 | 13.1% | 86.3% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -WALTON CHAPELWALTON CHAPEL | 26 | 273 | 5 | 304 | 8.6% | 89.8% | R+81.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +7.3% |
| 1896 | +3.2% |
| 1900 | −6.0% |
| 1904 | −16.6% |
| 1908 | −6.9% |
| 1912 | +2.0% |
| 1916 | −11.5% |
| 1920 | −26.1% |
| 1924 | −19.2% |
| 1928 | −25.4% |
| 1932 | +18.5% |
| 1936 | −1.0% |
| 1940 | −12.7% |
| 1944 | −20.3% |
| 1948 | +10.8% |
| 1952 | −9.9% |
| 1956 | −10.3% |
| 1960 | −23.6% |
| 1964 | +15.7% |
| 1968 | −14.5% |
| 1972 | −45.3% |
| 1976 | +8.7% |
| 1980 | −19.3% |
| 1984 | −29.9% |
| 1988 | −16.1% |
| 1992 | +1.0% |
| 1996 | −8.5% |
| 2000 | −28.6% |
| 2004 | −42.8% |
| 2008 | −37.4% |
| 2012 | −46.7% |
| 2016 | −61.5% |
| 2020 | −62.2% |
| 2024 | −63.8% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 28,967 |
| 2018 | 29,250 |
| 2020 | 28,687 |
| 2022 | 27,919 |
| 2024 | 29,081 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+112 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +470 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,864 in average income, against $61,098 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+67.2 on average — 3.4 points more Republican-leaning than Butler County, MO itself (R+63.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Ripley County, MO92R+73.0
- Wayne County, MO77R+72.6
- Stoddard County, MO67R+73.9
- Dunklin County, MO51R+61.8
- Carter County, MO49R+74.2
- Greene County, MO28R+20.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Ripley County, MO107
- Stoddard County, MO97
- Wayne County, MO55
- Dunklin County, MO42
- Carter County, MO38
- Cape Girardeau County, MO36
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +236 |
| 2012 | −53 |
| 2013 | −8 |
| 2014 | −119 |
| 2015 | +78 |
| 2016 | −72 |
| 2017 | −147 |
| 2018 | +52 |
| 2019 | −42 |
| 2021 | +232 |
| 2022 | +206 |
| 2023 | −69 |
| 2024 | +64 |
| 2025 | +112 |
Butler County, anchored by Poplar Bluff in the Ozark foothills, recorded an R+63.8 presidential margin in 2024 — placing it among Missouri's most one-sided counties and reflecting the broader rural realignment that has reshaped the state's electoral map over two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 63.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.8 points.
A population of 42,020, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,089 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stoddard County and Howell County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Butler County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.