Grundy County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 4,404 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -NCMCNCMC | 165 | 664 | 11 | 840 | 19.6% | 79.0% | R+59.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -FIRST BAPTIST CHURCHFIRST BAPTIST CHURCH | 156 | 678 | 5 | 839 | 18.6% | 80.8% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -FIRST CHRISTIAN CHURCHFIRST CHRISTIAN CHURCH | 149 | 626 | 6 | 781 | 19.1% | 80.2% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -COURTHOUSECOURTHOUSE | 136 | 496 | 5 | 637 | 21.4% | 77.9% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -EDINBURGEDINBURG | 71 | 404 | 4 | 479 | 14.8% | 84.3% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -LAREDOLAREDO | 49 | 329 | 2 | 380 | 12.9% | 86.6% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -GALTGALT | 30 | 229 | 4 | 263 | 11.4% | 87.1% | R+75.7 |
| Precinct -SPICKARDSPICKARD | 28 | 156 | 1 | 185 | 15.1% | 84.3% | R+69.2 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −26.9% |
| 1896 | −24.6% |
| 1900 | −25.0% |
| 1904 | −36.2% |
| 1908 | −27.3% |
| 1912 | +6.6% |
| 1916 | −15.8% |
| 1920 | −30.1% |
| 1924 | −19.0% |
| 1928 | −38.1% |
| 1932 | +15.0% |
| 1936 | −3.8% |
| 1940 | −8.9% |
| 1944 | −16.2% |
| 1948 | −2.4% |
| 1952 | −27.0% |
| 1956 | −20.1% |
| 1960 | −29.4% |
| 1964 | +16.5% |
| 1968 | −22.1% |
| 1972 | −47.1% |
| 1976 | −0.9% |
| 1980 | −16.2% |
| 1984 | −25.8% |
| 1988 | −13.0% |
| 1992 | +4.3% |
| 1996 | +4.0% |
| 2000 | −30.0% |
| 2004 | −33.5% |
| 2008 | −30.1% |
| 2012 | −41.6% |
| 2016 | −60.6% |
| 2020 | −62.8% |
| 2024 | −63.5% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,742 |
| 2018 | 6,210 |
| 2020 | 6,198 |
| 2022 | 6,162 |
| 2024 | 6,359 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −626 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,752 in average income, against $56,523 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+60.2 on average — 3.3 points more Democratic-leaning than Grundy County, MO itself (R+63.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Livingston County, MO25R+57.8
- Daviess County, MO20R+63.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Livingston County, MO33
- Daviess County, MO27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −12 |
| 2012 | +52 |
| 2013 | −18 |
| 2014 | −201 |
| 2015 | −173 |
| 2016 | +72 |
| 2017 | −149 |
| 2018 | −67 |
| 2019 | −165 |
| 2021 | +20 |
| 2022 | +95 |
| 2023 | −24 |
| 2024 | −58 |
| 2025 | +2 |
Grundy County's small, agriculture-rooted population has shifted steadily toward outsized Republican margins over the past decade, with 2024's R+63.5 result placing it among the most one-sided counties in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.5 points.
A population of 9,787, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,975 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Carroll County and Butler County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Grundy County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29079/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.