Carroll County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 4,528 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CARROLLTON WD II AND IIICARROLLTON WD II AND III | 139 | 545 | 6 | 690 | 20.1% | 79.0% | R+58.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -EGYPT I/EGYPT II/PRAIRIEEGYPT I/EGYPT II/PRAIRIE | 98 | 563 | 4 | 665 | 14.7% | 84.7% | R+69.9 |
| Precinct -CARROLLTON IVCARROLLTON IV | 131 | 482 | 3 | 616 | 21.3% | 78.2% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -CARROLLTON WARD I PRECINCTCARROLLTON WARD I PRECINCT | 98 | 396 | 5 | 499 | 19.6% | 79.4% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -HURRICANEHURRICANE | 82 | 268 | 4 | 354 | 23.2% | 75.7% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -HILL/STOKES MOUNDHILL/STOKES MOUND | 43 | 295 | 2 | 340 | 12.6% | 86.8% | R+74.1 |
| Precinct -LESLIE/VAN HORNLESLIE/VAN HORN | 43 | 253 | 2 | 298 | 14.4% | 84.9% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -MOSS CREEK/WAKENDA/TROTTERMOSS CREEK/WAKENDA/TROTTER | 38 | 230 | 1 | 269 | 14.1% | 85.5% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON/FAIRFIELDWASHINGTON/FAIRFIELD | 28 | 195 | 1 | 224 | 12.5% | 87.1% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -RIDGE/ROCKFORDRIDGE/ROCKFORD | 40 | 176 | 0 | 216 | 18.5% | 81.5% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -COMBS/EUGENECOMBS/EUGENE | 20 | 187 | 2 | 209 | 9.6% | 89.5% | R+79.9 |
| Precinct -DEWITTDEWITT | 29 | 118 | 1 | 148 | 19.6% | 79.7% | R+60.1 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +1.2% |
| 1896 | +2.7% |
| 1900 | +1.6% |
| 1904 | −6.1% |
| 1908 | −4.5% |
| 1912 | +20.0% |
| 1916 | −2.7% |
| 1920 | −15.7% |
| 1924 | −4.2% |
| 1928 | −22.2% |
| 1932 | +13.1% |
| 1936 | −2.7% |
| 1940 | −14.9% |
| 1944 | −21.9% |
| 1948 | −10.6% |
| 1952 | −26.4% |
| 1956 | −16.1% |
| 1960 | −16.0% |
| 1964 | +15.2% |
| 1968 | −17.8% |
| 1972 | −36.1% |
| 1976 | +2.9% |
| 1980 | −20.8% |
| 1984 | −27.7% |
| 1988 | −9.3% |
| 1992 | +6.1% |
| 1996 | +5.3% |
| 2000 | −27.5% |
| 2004 | −33.5% |
| 2008 | −31.3% |
| 2012 | −44.6% |
| 2016 | −62.7% |
| 2020 | −64.4% |
| 2024 | −64.5% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,318 |
| 2018 | 6,144 |
| 2020 | 6,122 |
| 2022 | 6,112 |
| 2024 | 6,317 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+44 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −300 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,588 in average income, against $70,158 for residents who stayed — 35% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+52.7 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Carroll County, MO itself (R+64.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Ray County, MO25R+48.7
- Livingston County, MO20R+57.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Livingston County, MO30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −17 |
| 2012 | −183 |
| 2013 | +3 |
| 2014 | −102 |
| 2015 | −57 |
| 2016 | −16 |
| 2017 | −38 |
| 2018 | −36 |
| 2019 | −14 |
| 2021 | −25 |
| 2022 | +56 |
| 2023 | −3 |
| 2024 | +88 |
| 2025 | +44 |
Carroll County's 2024 presidential margin of R+64.5 reflects a broader shift in Missouri's agricultural heartland, where small-town and farming communities have moved sharply toward Republican candidates over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 64.5 points in 2024. The 2024 margin was 64.5 points.
A population of 8,411, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,154 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mercer County and Grundy County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Carroll County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.