Carroll County, Missouri: Farm Belt county. In 2024, voted R+64%. Republican peak: R+64 in 2020.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 8,4112024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,1542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grundy County, MO · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Carroll CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Carroll County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +1.2% |
| 1896 | +2.7% |
| 1900 | +1.6% |
| 1904 | −6.1% |
| 1908 | −4.5% |
| 1912 | +20.0% |
| 1916 | −2.7% |
| 1920 | −15.7% |
| 1924 | −4.2% |
| 1928 | −22.2% |
| 1932 | +13.1% |
| 1936 | −2.7% |
| 1940 | −14.9% |
| 1944 | −21.9% |
| 1948 | −10.6% |
| 1952 | −26.4% |
| 1956 | −16.1% |
| 1960 | −16.0% |
| 1964 | +15.2% |
| 1968 | −17.8% |
| 1972 | −36.1% |
| 1976 | +2.9% |
| 1980 | −20.8% |
| 1984 | −27.7% |
| 1988 | −9.3% |
| 1992 | +6.1% |
| 1996 | +5.3% |
| 2000 | −27.5% |
| 2004 | −33.5% |
| 2008 | −31.3% |
| 2012 | −44.6% |
| 2016 | −62.7% |
| 2020 | −64.4% |
| 2024 | −64.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 789 | 3,708 | 4,535 | ||
| R | 786 | 3,706 | 4,532 | ||
| R | 745 | 3,480 | 4,361 | ||
| R | 1,154 | 3,072 | 4,304 | ||
| R | 1,535 | 2,955 | 4,538 | ||
| R | 1,568 | 3,155 | 4,741 | ||
| R | 1,620 | 2,880 | 4,581 | ||
| D | 2,080 | 1,839 | 4,515 | ||
| D | 2,100 | 1,774 | 5,378 | ||
| R | 2,330 | 2,811 | 5,149 | ||
| R | 1,980 | 3,495 | 5,475 | ||
| R | 2,130 | 3,291 | 5,583 | ||
| D | 3,114 | 2,936 | 6,077 | ||
| R | 1,927 | 4,100 | 6,027 | ||
| R | 2,473 | 3,680 | 6,798 | ||
| D | 4,069 | 2,994 | 7,063 | ||
| R | 3,296 | 4,555 | 7,851 | ||
| R | 3,432 | 4,751 | 8,183 | ||
| R | 3,146 | 5,410 | 8,568 | ||
| R | 3,401 | 4,212 | 7,618 | ||
| R | 3,283 | 5,127 | 8,430 | ||
| R | 4,446 | 6,000 | 10,457 | ||
| R | 5,141 | 5,432 | 10,605 | ||
| D | 5,072 | 3,894 | 9,003 | ||
| R | 3,735 | 5,875 | 9,624 | ||
| R | 4,502 | 4,907 | 9,613 | ||
| R | 4,075 | 5,609 | 9,780 | ||
| R | 2,822 | 2,978 | 5,879 | ||
| D | 2,648 | 1,519 | 5,658 | ||
| R | 2,753 | 3,015 | 5,849 | ||
| R | 2,673 | 3,032 | 5,868 | ||
| D | 3,300 | 3,192 | 6,605 | ||
| D | 3,555 | 3,363 | 6,983 | ||
| D | 2,969 | 2,896 | 6,227 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.8%
English
10.7%
Irish
8.7%
American
6.4%
Scottish
2.0%
Italian
1.2%
French
1.2%
African American
1.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,154
Carroll County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Carroll County$62,154
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Carroll County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.7%
Working age (18–64)13.5%
Seniors (65+)5.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
99.3%
speak English only
Other Indo-European0.3%
Spanish0.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 32.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Carroll County's 2024 presidential margin of R+64.5 reflects a broader shift in Missouri's agricultural heartland, where small-town and farming communities have moved sharply toward Republican candidates over the past decade.
The Republican margin here reached sixty-four points in 2020. The 2024 margin was sixty-four points.
A population of 8,411, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,154 describe an agricultural county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grundy County and Vernon County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carroll County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More farm belt counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Carroll County, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carroll County, Missouri voted Republican by 64.4 points (R+64), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,535 votes cast, 789 went Democratic and 3,708 went Republican.
What is Carroll County, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Carroll County, Missouri in the "Farm Belt" typology — Rural Plains and Midwest farm counties — Republican, with modest recent movement. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 25 times, and other 0 times.
When did Carroll County, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carroll County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Carroll County, Missouri?
Carroll County, Missouri has a population of 8,411 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carroll County, Missouri?
Median household income in Carroll County, Missouri is $62,154 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Carroll County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carroll County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The county's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.