Jefferson County, Missouri: Farm Belt county. In 2024, voted R+37%. Democratic peak: D+41 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 229,4582024 5-year
- Median household income
- $82,8512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington County, MO · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +8.3% |
| 1896 | −1.6% |
| 1900 | +0.4% |
| 1904 | −6.2% |
| 1908 | −6.0% |
| 1912 | +4.6% |
| 1916 | −4.5% |
| 1920 | −9.9% |
| 1924 | −5.2% |
| 1928 | −9.1% |
| 1932 | +27.8% |
| 1936 | +23.9% |
| 1940 | +11.9% |
| 1944 | +8.1% |
| 1948 | +25.5% |
| 1952 | +14.3% |
| 1956 | +12.8% |
| 1960 | +13.8% |
| 1964 | +41.1% |
| 1968 | +4.9% |
| 1972 | −22.8% |
| 1976 | +15.7% |
| 1980 | −8.2% |
| 1984 | −26.6% |
| 1988 | −2.7% |
| 1992 | +16.2% |
| 1996 | +12.4% |
| 2000 | +2.4% |
| 2004 | −0.6% |
| 2008 | +2.5% |
| 2012 | −12.7% |
| 2016 | −35.0% |
| 2020 | −33.4% |
| 2024 | −36.6% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 36,965 | 80,796 | 119,833 | ||
| R | 37,856 | 77,046 | 117,286 | ||
| R | 31,568 | 69,036 | 106,995 | ||
| R | 41,564 | 53,978 | 98,024 | ||
| D | 53,467 | 50,804 | 105,704 | ||
| R | 46,057 | 46,624 | 93,264 | ||
| D | 38,616 | 36,766 | 77,204 | ||
| D | 32,073 | 23,877 | 66,102 | ||
| D | 32,569 | 20,637 | 73,501 | ||
| R | 27,738 | 29,279 | 57,232 | ||
| R | 20,026 | 34,525 | 54,551 | ||
| R | 24,042 | 28,546 | 54,882 | ||
| D | 25,159 | 18,261 | 43,915 | ||
| R | 13,787 | 21,947 | 35,734 | ||
| D | 13,230 | 11,708 | 31,053 | ||
| D | 18,916 | 7,887 | 26,803 | ||
| D | 17,054 | 12,910 | 29,964 | ||
| D | 13,868 | 10,712 | 24,580 | ||
| D | 12,808 | 9,607 | 22,437 | ||
| D | 10,280 | 6,085 | 16,435 | ||
| D | 7,953 | 6,758 | 14,745 | ||
| D | 9,553 | 7,517 | 17,115 | ||
| D | 9,158 | 5,575 | 14,974 | ||
| D | 8,130 | 4,559 | 12,844 | ||
| R | 5,231 | 6,285 | 11,538 | ||
| R | 4,356 | 4,870 | 9,963 | ||
| R | 4,684 | 5,730 | 10,595 | ||
| R | 3,021 | 3,310 | 6,489 | ||
| D | 2,368 | 2,127 | 5,208 | ||
| R | 2,698 | 3,050 | 5,865 | ||
| R | 2,560 | 2,909 | 5,585 | ||
| D | 2,798 | 2,775 | 5,640 | ||
| R | 2,785 | 2,876 | 5,699 | ||
| D | 2,617 | 2,207 | 4,937 | ||
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Demographics
Once a competitive swing county on St. Louis's southern fringe, Jefferson has moved decisively toward Republican presidential candidates since 2000, reflecting a broader realignment among working-class white voters in Missouri's outer suburbs.
The Republican margin here reached thirty-seven points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-seven points.
A population of 229,458, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,851 describe an agricultural county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and St. Francois County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jefferson County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29099/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
