Lawrence County, Missouri: Sunbelt Conservative county. In 2024, voted R+64%. Republican peak: R+64 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Sunbelt ConservativeAkashic typology
- Population
- 38,5932024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,2152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Dade County, MO · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lawrence CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lawrence County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
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Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −3.3% |
| 1896 | +6.4% |
| 1900 | −3.4% |
| 1904 | −12.0% |
| 1908 | −8.3% |
| 1912 | +19.1% |
| 1916 | −6.6% |
| 1920 | −25.8% |
| 1924 | −8.0% |
| 1928 | −26.8% |
| 1932 | +21.1% |
| 1936 | −0.0% |
| 1940 | −16.1% |
| 1944 | −27.8% |
| 1948 | −7.4% |
| 1952 | −30.9% |
| 1956 | −21.2% |
| 1960 | −30.4% |
| 1964 | +2.7% |
| 1968 | −27.3% |
| 1972 | −45.9% |
| 1976 | −4.2% |
| 1980 | −25.3% |
| 1984 | −38.5% |
| 1988 | −21.8% |
| 1992 | −7.3% |
| 1996 | −13.3% |
| 2000 | −31.5% |
| 2004 | −42.3% |
| 2008 | −37.1% |
| 2012 | −47.0% |
| 2016 | −60.6% |
| 2020 | −62.5% |
| 2024 | −63.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,248 | 15,001 | 18,492 | ||
| R | 3,214 | 14,426 | 17,935 | ||
| R | 2,901 | 13,089 | 16,811 | ||
| R | 4,017 | 11,421 | 15,755 | ||
| R | 5,097 | 11,263 | 16,637 | ||
| R | 4,506 | 11,194 | 15,806 | ||
| R | 4,235 | 8,305 | 12,903 | ||
| R | 4,465 | 6,099 | 12,332 | ||
| R | 4,666 | 5,608 | 12,891 | ||
| R | 4,432 | 6,911 | 11,379 | ||
| R | 3,720 | 8,370 | 12,090 | ||
| R | 4,670 | 7,921 | 12,843 | ||
| R | 5,315 | 5,784 | 11,137 | ||
| R | 3,130 | 8,445 | 11,575 | ||
| R | 3,710 | 6,834 | 11,442 | ||
| D | 6,383 | 6,047 | 12,430 | ||
| R | 4,483 | 8,406 | 12,889 | ||
| R | 4,789 | 7,372 | 12,161 | ||
| R | 4,232 | 8,029 | 12,295 | ||
| R | 4,649 | 5,392 | 10,058 | ||
| R | 3,859 | 6,836 | 10,722 | ||
| R | 5,279 | 7,317 | 12,641 | ||
| R | 6,184 | 6,185 | 12,439 | ||
| D | 6,411 | 4,146 | 10,732 | ||
| R | 3,646 | 6,328 | 10,017 | ||
| R | 3,768 | 4,499 | 9,116 | ||
| R | 3,532 | 6,093 | 9,935 | ||
| R | 2,809 | 3,228 | 6,350 | ||
| D | 2,384 | 1,312 | 5,616 | ||
| R | 2,532 | 3,028 | 5,952 | ||
| R | 2,372 | 3,077 | 5,855 | ||
| R | 3,313 | 3,552 | 7,042 | ||
| D | 3,369 | 2,962 | 6,375 | ||
| R | 2,428 | 2,623 | 5,902 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.6%
Irish
12.5%
English
11.7%
American
8.7%
Scottish
2.3%
Italian
1.8%
French
1.3%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$61,215
Lawrence County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Lawrence County$61,215
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Lawrence County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.1%
Working age (18–64)12.5%
Seniors (65+)10.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.7%
speak English only
Spanish4.8%
Other Indo-European2.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lawrence County's R+63.8 margin in 2024 places it among Missouri's most heavily one-sided rural counties, reflecting the broad realignment of Ozarks-adjacent agricultural communities that has deepened steadily over the past two decades.
The Republican margin here reached sixty-four points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved one point toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-four points.
A median household income of $61,215, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 38,593 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dade County and Mineral County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lawrence County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29109/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lawrence County, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lawrence County, Missouri voted Republican by 63.6 points (R+64), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,492 votes cast, 3,248 went Democratic and 15,001 went Republican.
What is Lawrence County, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Lawrence County, Missouri in the "Sunbelt Conservative" typology — Affluent, predominantly white Sunbelt counties — reliably Republican. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 30 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lawrence County, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lawrence County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Lawrence County, Missouri?
Lawrence County, Missouri has a population of 38,593 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lawrence County, Missouri?
Median household income in Lawrence County, Missouri is $61,215 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Lawrence County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lawrence County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The county's typology — "Sunbelt Conservative" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.