Lawrence County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 18,427 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BUCK PRAIRIEBUCK PRAIRIE | 351 | 1,816 | 23 | 2,190 | 16.0% | 82.9% | R+66.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -FOREST PARKFOREST PARK | 449 | 1,400 | 14 | 1,863 | 24.1% | 75.1% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -SW AURORASW AURORA | 303 | 1,306 | 11 | 1,620 | 18.7% | 80.6% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -SE AURORASE AURORA | 280 | 1,138 | 18 | 1,436 | 19.5% | 79.2% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -PIERCE CITYPIERCE CITY | 232 | 997 | 7 | 1,236 | 18.8% | 80.7% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -N MT VERNONN MT VERNON | 186 | 1,031 | 18 | 1,235 | 15.1% | 83.5% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -SE MT VERNONSE MT VERNON | 183 | 836 | 13 | 1,032 | 17.7% | 81.0% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -N AURORAN AURORA | 150 | 870 | 8 | 1,028 | 14.6% | 84.6% | R+70.0 |
| Precinct -SW MT VERNONSW MT VERNON | 191 | 787 | 10 | 988 | 19.3% | 79.7% | R+60.3 |
| Precinct -OZARKOZARK | 144 | 795 | 7 | 946 | 15.2% | 84.0% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -LINCOLNLINCOLN | 169 | 761 | 11 | 941 | 18.0% | 80.9% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -SPRING RIVERSPRING RIVER | 166 | 687 | 6 | 859 | 19.3% | 80.0% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -TURNBACKTURNBACK | 133 | 669 | 7 | 809 | 16.4% | 82.7% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -MT PLEASANTMT PLEASANT | 73 | 508 | 6 | 587 | 12.4% | 86.5% | R+74.1 |
| Precinct -VINEYARDVINEYARD | 62 | 426 | 5 | 493 | 12.6% | 86.4% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -HOBERGHOBERG | 54 | 276 | 7 | 337 | 16.0% | 81.9% | R+65.9 |
| Precinct -FREISTATTFREISTATT | 46 | 271 | 2 | 319 | 14.4% | 85.0% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -GREENGREEN | 42 | 224 | 3 | 269 | 15.6% | 83.3% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -RED OAKRED OAK | 34 | 203 | 2 | 239 | 14.2% | 84.9% | R+70.7 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −3.3% |
| 1896 | +6.4% |
| 1900 | −3.4% |
| 1904 | −12.0% |
| 1908 | −8.3% |
| 1912 | +19.1% |
| 1916 | −6.6% |
| 1920 | −25.8% |
| 1924 | −8.0% |
| 1928 | −26.8% |
| 1932 | +21.1% |
| 1936 | −0.0% |
| 1940 | −16.1% |
| 1944 | −27.8% |
| 1948 | −7.4% |
| 1952 | −30.9% |
| 1956 | −21.2% |
| 1960 | −30.4% |
| 1964 | +2.7% |
| 1968 | −27.3% |
| 1972 | −45.9% |
| 1976 | −4.2% |
| 1980 | −25.3% |
| 1984 | −38.5% |
| 1988 | −21.8% |
| 1992 | −7.3% |
| 1996 | −13.3% |
| 2000 | −31.5% |
| 2004 | −42.3% |
| 2008 | −37.1% |
| 2012 | −47.0% |
| 2016 | −60.6% |
| 2020 | −62.5% |
| 2024 | −63.8% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 24,273 |
| 2018 | 23,395 |
| 2020 | 25,112 |
| 2022 | 25,585 |
| 2024 | 26,053 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+190 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,063 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,714 in average income, against $58,687 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+43.9 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Lawrence County, MO itself (R+63.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Greene County, MO266R+20.8
- Barry County, MO211R+63.5
- Christian County, MO57R+52.2
- Jasper County, MO57R+46.7
- Newton County, MO43R+58.6
- Stone County, MO42R+61.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Greene County, MO251
- Barry County, MO206
- Jasper County, MO81
- Christian County, MO59
- Newton County, MO52
- Stone County, MO31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −144 |
| 2012 | −176 |
| 2013 | −347 |
| 2014 | −189 |
| 2015 | +74 |
| 2016 | +149 |
| 2017 | +62 |
| 2018 | +14 |
| 2019 | +75 |
| 2021 | +372 |
| 2022 | +488 |
| 2023 | +207 |
| 2024 | +288 |
| 2025 | +190 |
Lawrence County's R+63.8 margin in 2024 places it among Missouri's most heavily one-sided rural counties, reflecting the broad realignment of Ozarks-adjacent agricultural communities that has deepened steadily over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 63.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.8 points.
A population of 38,593, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,215 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Laclede County and Barton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lawrence County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29109/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.