Lafayette County, Missouri: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+49%. Republican peak: R+49 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 33,1152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,6122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jackson County, WV · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lafayette CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lafayette County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
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Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +15.5% |
| 1896 | +13.8% |
| 1900 | +11.9% |
| 1904 | +0.7% |
| 1908 | +1.2% |
| 1912 | +17.2% |
| 1916 | +0.3% |
| 1920 | −9.5% |
| 1924 | −5.0% |
| 1928 | −12.8% |
| 1932 | +16.4% |
| 1936 | −1.7% |
| 1940 | −12.0% |
| 1944 | −17.3% |
| 1948 | −5.1% |
| 1952 | −18.7% |
| 1956 | −14.4% |
| 1960 | −18.1% |
| 1964 | +14.8% |
| 1968 | −15.5% |
| 1972 | −38.7% |
| 1976 | −3.1% |
| 1980 | −11.0% |
| 1984 | −27.8% |
| 1988 | −9.4% |
| 1992 | +4.2% |
| 1996 | +4.8% |
| 2000 | −10.4% |
| 2004 | −20.0% |
| 2008 | −15.3% |
| 2012 | −26.1% |
| 2016 | −43.4% |
| 2020 | −43.1% |
| 2024 | −48.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,294 | 12,720 | 17,248 | ||
| R | 4,772 | 12,273 | 17,396 | ||
| R | 4,053 | 10,988 | 15,975 | ||
| R | 5,655 | 9,803 | 15,866 | ||
| R | 6,902 | 9,442 | 16,600 | ||
| R | 6,412 | 9,656 | 16,182 | ||
| R | 6,343 | 7,849 | 14,520 | ||
| D | 6,118 | 5,489 | 13,203 | ||
| D | 5,213 | 4,651 | 13,467 | ||
| R | 5,654 | 6,825 | 12,514 | ||
| R | 4,848 | 8,581 | 13,429 | ||
| R | 5,792 | 7,271 | 13,468 | ||
| R | 6,410 | 6,823 | 13,305 | ||
| R | 4,063 | 9,187 | 13,250 | ||
| R | 4,859 | 6,840 | 12,804 | ||
| D | 7,400 | 5,493 | 12,893 | ||
| R | 5,555 | 8,011 | 13,566 | ||
| R | 6,081 | 8,133 | 14,214 | ||
| R | 6,020 | 8,805 | 14,857 | ||
| R | 5,988 | 6,634 | 12,642 | ||
| R | 5,603 | 7,951 | 13,561 | ||
| R | 6,913 | 8,802 | 15,744 | ||
| R | 7,275 | 7,535 | 14,861 | ||
| D | 7,906 | 5,670 | 13,613 | ||
| R | 5,939 | 7,687 | 13,658 | ||
| R | 5,877 | 6,517 | 12,923 | ||
| R | 6,169 | 7,471 | 13,734 | ||
| D | 4,073 | 4,049 | 8,248 | ||
| D | 3,650 | 2,367 | 7,459 | ||
| D | 3,865 | 3,771 | 7,764 | ||
| D | 3,583 | 3,531 | 7,233 | ||
| D | 4,217 | 3,311 | 7,629 | ||
| D | 4,463 | 3,375 | 7,901 | ||
| D | 3,922 | 2,833 | 7,025 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
25.4%
English
13.0%
Irish
11.3%
American
8.5%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.3%
French
1.3%
African American
1.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$80,612
Lafayette County ranks in the top 25% of US counties.
Lafayette County$80,612
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Lafayette County ranks in the top 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.2%
Working age (18–64)8.2%
Seniors (65+)10.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.4%
speak English only
Spanish2.3%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lafayette County's 2024 presidential margin of nearly 49 points reflects a broader consolidation of rural west-central Missouri around Republican candidates, a shift that has steepened consistently since the early 2000s.
The Democratic margin here peaked at seventeen points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-nine points.
A population of 33,115, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,612 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jackson County and Crawford County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lafayette County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29107/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More heartland swing counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Lafayette County, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lafayette County, Missouri voted Republican by 48.9 points (R+49), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,248 votes cast, 4,294 went Democratic and 12,720 went Republican.
What is Lafayette County, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Lafayette County, Missouri in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 23 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lafayette County, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lafayette County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Lafayette County, Missouri?
Lafayette County, Missouri has a population of 33,115 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lafayette County, Missouri?
Median household income in Lafayette County, Missouri is $80,612 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Lafayette County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lafayette County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.