Lafayette County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
14 precincts · 17,248 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -S. ODESSA/ LAKE LAFAYETTES. ODESSA/ LAKE LAFAYETTE | 701 | 2,017 | 31 | 2,749 | 25.5% | 73.4% | R+47.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -HIGGINSVILLEHIGGINSVILLE | 783 | 1,894 | 41 | 2,718 | 28.8% | 69.7% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -NORTH ODESSA/EAST ODESSANORTH ODESSA/EAST ODESSA | 549 | 1,783 | 33 | 2,365 | 23.2% | 75.4% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct -BATES CITY/FERG SCHOOLBATES CITY/FERG SCHOOL | 519 | 1,653 | 27 | 2,199 | 23.6% | 75.2% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -LEXINGTON 1,2,3,4LEXINGTON 1,2,3,4 | 652 | 1,423 | 34 | 2,109 | 30.9% | 67.5% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -AULLVILLE-CONCORDIAAULLVILLE-CONCORDIA | 411 | 1,500 | 38 | 1,949 | 21.1% | 77.0% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -WELLINGTONWELLINGTON | 154 | 506 | 5 | 665 | 23.2% | 76.1% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -ALMA & E. DAVISALMA & E. DAVIS | 92 | 503 | 7 | 602 | 15.3% | 83.6% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -WAVERLYWAVERLY | 82 | 397 | 4 | 483 | 17.0% | 82.2% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -NAPOLEONNAPOLEON | 81 | 287 | 4 | 372 | 21.8% | 77.2% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -MAYVIEWMAYVIEW | 83 | 268 | 3 | 354 | 23.4% | 75.7% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -CORDERCORDER | 95 | 253 | 5 | 353 | 26.9% | 71.7% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -DOVERDOVER | 45 | 190 | 1 | 236 | 19.1% | 80.5% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct -JKVJKV | 47 | 46 | 1 | 94 | 50.0% | 48.9% | D+1.1 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +15.5% |
| 1896 | +13.8% |
| 1900 | +11.9% |
| 1904 | +0.7% |
| 1908 | +1.2% |
| 1912 | +17.2% |
| 1916 | +0.3% |
| 1920 | −9.5% |
| 1924 | −5.0% |
| 1928 | −12.8% |
| 1932 | +16.4% |
| 1936 | −1.7% |
| 1940 | −12.0% |
| 1944 | −17.3% |
| 1948 | −5.1% |
| 1952 | −18.7% |
| 1956 | −14.4% |
| 1960 | −18.1% |
| 1964 | +14.8% |
| 1968 | −15.5% |
| 1972 | −38.7% |
| 1976 | −3.1% |
| 1980 | −11.0% |
| 1984 | −27.8% |
| 1988 | −9.4% |
| 1992 | +4.2% |
| 1996 | +4.8% |
| 2000 | −10.4% |
| 2004 | −20.0% |
| 2008 | −15.3% |
| 2012 | −26.1% |
| 2016 | −43.4% |
| 2020 | −43.1% |
| 2024 | −48.9% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 23,218 |
| 2018 | 23,107 |
| 2020 | 23,496 |
| 2022 | 22,286 |
| 2024 | 22,812 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+159 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +252 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,388 in average income, against $72,030 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+0.5 on average — 49 points more Democratic-leaning than Lafayette County, MO itself (R+48.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jackson County, MO394D+19.3
- Johnson County, MO85R+39.6
- Ray County, MO41R+48.7
- Clay County, MO31R+5.6
- Cass County, MO26R+32.1
- Saline County, MO24R+40.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jackson County, MO312
- Johnson County, MO94
- Clay County, MO41
- Ray County, MO39
- Saline County, MO34
- Johnson County, KS25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −246 |
| 2012 | −181 |
| 2013 | −199 |
| 2014 | −223 |
| 2015 | −2 |
| 2016 | −29 |
| 2017 | +105 |
| 2018 | −5 |
| 2019 | +192 |
| 2021 | −115 |
| 2022 | +253 |
| 2023 | +302 |
| 2024 | +241 |
| 2025 | +159 |
Lafayette County's 2024 presidential margin of nearly 49 points reflects a broader consolidation of rural west-central Missouri around Republican candidates, a shift that has steepened consistently since the early 2000s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 48.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.9 points.
A population of 33,115, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,612 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Moultrie County and Clark County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lafayette County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29107/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.