HarrisDemocratic20.7%1,422TrumpRepublican78.5%5,395OliverLibertarian0.5%36
R+57.8- Lead
- 3,973
- Total
- 6,873
- vs nation
- R+56.3
- Turnout
- 61.8%
Akashiccounty
Livingston County, MO
Contests in this Place (90 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.8% of 11,202 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic20.9%1,410TrumpRepublican77.9%5,267JorgensenLibertarian0.8%57
R+57.1- Lead
- 3,857
- Total
- 6,758
- vs nation
- R+61.5
- Turnout
- 58.1%
ClintonDemocratic19.7%1,265TrumpRepublican76.0%4,879JohnsonLibertarian3.3%213
R+56.3- Lead
- 3,614
- Total
- 6,421
- vs nation
- R+58.4
- Turnout
- 55.4%
ObamaDemocratic31.5%1,906RomneyRepublican66.2%4,006GrayLibertarian2.1%127
R+34.7- Lead
- 2,100
- Total
- 6,054
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic37.2%2,435McCainRepublican60.9%3,993OtherAll other candidates1.9%124
R+23.8- Lead
- 1,558
- Total
- 6,552
- vs nation
- R+31.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic35.9%2,278BushRepublican63.5%4,029OtherAll other candidates0.6%39
R+27.6- Lead
- 1,751
- Total
- 6,346
- vs nation
- R+25.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.6%2,425BushRepublican59.1%3,709NaderGreen1.6%98
R+20.5- Lead
- 1,284
- Total
- 6,276
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic47.5%2,913DoleRepublican38.9%2,384PerotReform12.7%777
D+8.6- Lead
- 529
- Total
- 6,130
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,3642024 5-year
- Population density
- 27 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 532 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,6272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Harrison County, MO · twin score 93.8
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 61.8%6,928 participants ÷ 11,202 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 46.1%–48.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,928 | 11,202 ± 123 | 61.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 4,743 | 11,210 ± 103 | 42.3% | Audited | C/A |
| 6,806 | 11,714 ± 108 | 58.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 5,254 | 11,744 ± 132 | 44.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,520 | 11,764 ± 115 | 55.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 6,054 | 11,776 | 51.4% | Derived | — | |
| 6,552 | 10,906 | 60.1% | Derived | — | |
| 6,346 | 10,036 extrapolated | 63.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 11 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
11 precincts · 6,873 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1ST WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY1ST WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY | 258 | 873 | 13 | 1,144 | 22.6% | 76.3% | R+53.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -4TH WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY4TH WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY | 263 | 756 | 10 | 1,029 | 25.6% | 73.5% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -CHILLICOTHE TWP-RICH HILL TWPCHILLICOTHE TWP-RICH HILL TWP | 165 | 768 | 6 | 939 | 17.6% | 81.8% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -3RD WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY3RD WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY | 185 | 641 | 7 | 833 | 22.2% | 77.0% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -2ND WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY2ND WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY | 126 | 403 | 5 | 534 | 23.6% | 75.5% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -JACKSON TWP-SAMPSEL TWPJACKSON TWP-SAMPSEL TWP | 101 | 417 | 3 | 521 | 19.4% | 80.0% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -BLUE MOUND TWP-MONROE TWPBLUE MOUND TWP-MONROE TWP | 65 | 393 | 4 | 462 | 14.1% | 85.1% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -FAIRVIEW TOWNSHIPFAIRVIEW TOWNSHIP | 82 | 355 | 3 | 440 | 18.6% | 80.7% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -GREEN TWP- MOORESVILLE TWPGREEN TWP- MOORESVILLE TWP | 77 | 318 | 1 | 396 | 19.4% | 80.3% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -CREAM RIDGE TOWNSHIPCREAM RIDGE TOWNSHIP | 50 | 271 | 3 | 324 | 15.4% | 83.6% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -WHEELING TWP-MEDICINE TWPWHEELING TWP-MEDICINE TWP | 50 | 200 | 1 | 251 | 19.9% | 79.7% | R+59.8 |
presidential history
Party record book
Livingston County, MO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.3%
5,320 votes · D+32.6
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 57.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78.5%
5,395 votes · R+57.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 77.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
5,320votes
66.3% of the vote · D+32.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 5,226 votes
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
5,742votes
63.9% of the vote · R+28.1
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 5,594 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+22.9pts D vs U.S.
Place R+2.2 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +22.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+61.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+57.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +58.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRusty BlackState Senate · 12
RPeggy McGaughState House · 7
Seats representing Livingston County, MO. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,514 |
| 2018 | 9,451 |
| 2020 | 9,484 |
| 2022 | 9,234 |
| 2024 | 9,327 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+35 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +599 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,688 in average income, against $67,549 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.9 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Livingston County, MO itself (R+57.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Grundy County, MO33R+63.5
- Carroll County, MO30R+64.5
- Linn County, MO28R+57.2
- Jackson County, MO24D+19.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Linn County, MO32
- Grundy County, MO25
- Jackson County, MO25
- Clay County, MO21
- Carroll County, MO20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +18 |
| 2012 | −97 |
| 2013 | −128 |
| 2014 | +163 |
| 2015 | −38 |
| 2016 | +241 |
| 2017 | +60 |
| 2018 | +14 |
| 2019 | +55 |
| 2021 | +260 |
| 2022 | −227 |
| 2023 | +157 |
| 2024 | +86 |
| 2025 | +35 |
Livingston County, anchored by the small city of Chillicothe in north-central Missouri, has shifted decisively rightward over the past two decades, posting a 57.8-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 that places it among the state's most one-sided counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.8 points.
A population of 14,364, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,627 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Harrison County and Macon County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Harrison County
Missouri
93.8twin score
2016–2020 trajectory% Evangelical12-yr trend≠ American ancestry
Macon County
Missouri
91.8twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
Grundy County
Missouri
91.4twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ % Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Livingston County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29117/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Livingston County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Livingston County, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Livingston County, Missouri voted Republican by 57.8 points (R+57.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,873 votes cast, 1,422 went Democratic and 5,395 went Republican.
When did Livingston County, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Livingston County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Livingston County, Missouri?
Livingston County, Missouri has a population of 14,364 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Livingston County, Missouri?
Median household income in Livingston County, Missouri is $63,627 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Livingston County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Livingston County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.