Madison County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
7 precincts · 5,753 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CASTORCASTOR | 303 | 1,674 | 15 | 1,992 | 15.2% | 84.0% | R+68.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ST. FRANCOISST. FRANCOIS | 176 | 811 | 4 | 991 | 17.8% | 81.8% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -WARD I (FREDERICKTOWN)WARD I (FREDERICKTOWN) | 122 | 501 | 9 | 632 | 19.3% | 79.3% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -CENTRAL PRECCENTRAL PREC | 100 | 524 | 3 | 627 | 15.9% | 83.6% | R+67.6 |
| Precinct -MARQUANDMARQUAND | 93 | 456 | 7 | 556 | 16.7% | 82.0% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -WARD III (FREDERICKTOWN)WARD III (FREDERICKTOWN) | 109 | 424 | 5 | 538 | 20.3% | 78.8% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -WARD II (FREDERICKTOWN)WARD II (FREDERICKTOWN) | 83 | 331 | 3 | 417 | 19.9% | 79.4% | R+59.5 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +21.5% |
| 1896 | +23.2% |
| 1900 | +13.2% |
| 1904 | −1.3% |
| 1908 | +2.8% |
| 1912 | +13.6% |
| 1916 | +3.1% |
| 1920 | −5.0% |
| 1924 | +2.9% |
| 1928 | −24.0% |
| 1932 | +24.3% |
| 1936 | +7.1% |
| 1940 | −1.8% |
| 1944 | −1.6% |
| 1948 | +9.2% |
| 1952 | −6.0% |
| 1956 | −9.6% |
| 1960 | −22.5% |
| 1964 | +21.5% |
| 1968 | −15.0% |
| 1972 | −32.3% |
| 1976 | +12.3% |
| 1980 | −7.8% |
| 1984 | −20.3% |
| 1988 | −7.7% |
| 1992 | +16.3% |
| 1996 | +16.2% |
| 2000 | −14.5% |
| 2004 | −19.0% |
| 2008 | −17.0% |
| 2012 | −33.2% |
| 2016 | −59.0% |
| 2020 | −62.8% |
| 2024 | −64.9% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,826 |
| 2018 | 7,929 |
| 2020 | 8,391 |
| 2022 | 8,187 |
| 2024 | 8,595 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+41 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +580 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,306 in average income, against $58,406 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+51.4 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Madison County, MO itself (R+64.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Francois County, MO111R+51.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Francois County, MO86
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +35 |
| 2012 | +136 |
| 2013 | −81 |
| 2014 | −39 |
| 2015 | +23 |
| 2016 | +61 |
| 2017 | +39 |
| 2018 | −9 |
| 2019 | −55 |
| 2021 | +133 |
| 2022 | +154 |
| 2023 | +10 |
| 2024 | +132 |
| 2025 | +41 |
Madison County's R+64.9 margin in 2024 places it among the state's most heavily one-sided jurisdictions, a pattern consistent with the rural Ozark-fringe counties that have shifted sharply over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.9 points.
A population of 12,729, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,434 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Owen County and Oregon County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Madison County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29123/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.