- Lead
- 4,402
- Total
- 9,776
- vs nation
- R+43.6
- Turnout
- 84.2%
Ste. Genevieve County, MO
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 84.2% of 14,554 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,917
- Total
- 9,498
- vs nation
- R+45.7
- Turnout
- 68.3%
- Lead
- 2,954
- Total
- 8,512
- vs nation
- R+36.8
- Turnout
- 67.3%
- Lead
- 242
- Total
- 8,070
- vs nation
- R+6.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,247
- Total
- 8,825
- vs nation
- D+6.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 490
- Total
- 8,146
- vs nation
- D+8.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 95
- Total
- 7,311
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,519
- Total
- 6,727
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,5712024 5-year
- Population density
- 37 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 499 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,3392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jackson County, IA · twin score 84.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 84.2%12,254 participants ÷ 14,554 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 67.8%–69.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12,254 | 14,554 ± 116 | 84.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 7,548 | 14,536 ± 148 | 51.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 9,573 | 14,009 ± 164 | 68.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 7,627 | 13,912 ± 130 | 54.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 9,209 | 13,687 ± 145 | 67.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 8,070 | 13,786 | 58.5% | Derived | — | |
| 8,825 | 13,567 | 65.0% | Derived | — | |
| 8,146 | 13,348 extrapolated | 61.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 12 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 9,776 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KINSEYKINSEY | 351 | 995 | 15 | 1,361 | 25.8% | 73.1% | R+47.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -NEW OFFENBURGNEW OFFENBURG | 303 | 970 | 18 | 1,291 | 23.5% | 75.1% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -ZELLZELL | 391 | 842 | 20 | 1,253 | 31.2% | 67.2% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -SOUTHSOUTH | 324 | 692 | 11 | 1,027 | 31.5% | 67.4% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -SALEMSALEM | 178 | 583 | 5 | 766 | 23.2% | 76.1% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -OZORAOZORA | 189 | 569 | 6 | 764 | 24.7% | 74.5% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -BLOOMSDALEBLOOMSDALE | 183 | 520 | 10 | 713 | 25.7% | 72.9% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -NORTHNORTH | 228 | 465 | 14 | 707 | 32.2% | 65.8% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -CHESTNUT RIDGECHESTNUT RIDGE | 132 | 470 | 3 | 605 | 21.8% | 77.7% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -COMMUNITY CENTERCOMMUNITY CENTER | 162 | 430 | 6 | 598 | 27.1% | 71.9% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -COFFMANCOFFMAN | 109 | 314 | 5 | 428 | 25.5% | 73.4% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -ST MARYST MARY | 79 | 181 | 3 | 263 | 30.0% | 68.8% | R+38.8 |
presidential history
Party record book
Ste. Genevieve County, MO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
74.1%
3,768 votes · D+48.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 73.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
71.9%
7,031 votes · R+45.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 69.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
4,979votes
56.4% of the vote · D+14.1
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 4,281 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
7,031votes
71.9% of the vote · R+45.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 6,630 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+57.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+39.6 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +29.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+45.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+41.2 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +43.6 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Ste. Genevieve County, MO. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,875 |
| 2018 | 12,690 |
| 2020 | 13,241 |
| 2022 | 13,018 |
| 2024 | 13,711 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+118 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +113 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,714 in average income, against $74,638 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.2 on average — 8.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Ste. Genevieve County, MO itself (R+45.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Francois County, MO99R+51.4
- Jefferson County, MO79R+36.7
- St. Louis County, MO39D+23.4
- Perry County, MO29R+63.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Francois County, MO110
- Jefferson County, MO80
- St. Louis County, MO45
- Perry County, MO21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +28 |
| 2012 | −319 |
| 2013 | +75 |
| 2014 | −51 |
| 2015 | −109 |
| 2016 | +55 |
| 2017 | −47 |
| 2018 | +82 |
| 2019 | +15 |
| 2021 | +122 |
| 2022 | +108 |
| 2023 | +73 |
| 2024 | −37 |
| 2025 | +118 |
Ste. Genevieve County, anchored by Missouri's oldest European settlement, has shifted decisively toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, with 2024 marking one of its widest recorded margins despite a modest rural population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 45.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.0 points.
A population of 18,571, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,339 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jackson County and Delaware County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ste. Genevieve County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29186/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.