Akashic

county

Strafford County, NH

Contests in this Place (101 available)

President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped

▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English21.7%18.3%9.5%

Irish21.6%20.6%9.4%

French10.7%10.5%1.6%

German9.7%8.6%12.5%

Italian8.5%9.8%4.8%

French Canadian6.3%7.2%—

Scottish4.0%2.1%1.3%

American4.0%4.2%5.3%

Puerto Rican0.9%1.4%1.8%

Mexican0.8%0.8%11.3%

Dominican0.3%0.8%0.7%

Spanish0.3%0.2%—

Spaniard0.2%——

Asian Indian0.5%0.7%1.4%

Indonesian0.5%——

Chinese0.4%0.4%1.3%

Filipino0.4%0.3%0.9%

Korean0.3%0.2%0.4%

Vietnamese0.2%0.2%0.6%

Nepalese0.2%——

African American†0.5%0.5%9.9%

Jamaican0.3%—0.4%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Median age	38.2	43.5	39.1
Age 18–24	14.4%	8.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.1%	20.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Median household income	$88,570	$99,031	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.7%	7.3%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	39.3%	40.7%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Owner-occupied homes	67.1%	72.8%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	32.9%	27.2%	34.8%
Median home value	$362,800	$402,500	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,488	$1,491	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	50.3%	48.2%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	8.0%	14.3%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Mean commute	26.0 min	26.7 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	8.0%	9.1%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	71.6%	72.0%	68.8%
Takes public transit	1.4%	0.5%	3.2%
Works from home	16.2%	16.8%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	5.3%	8.0%	22.3%
Spanish	1.4%	2.6%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Catholic	14.1%	16.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	5.2%	4.8%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	76.2%	72.8%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Foreign-born residents	4.4%	6.1%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	2.8%	3.7%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.6%	2.4%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.3%	7.6%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.427	0.444	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

2024 turnout 71.6% of 107,215 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic55.3%42,374TrumpRepublican43.2%33,163OliverLibertarian0.6%423

D+12.0

Lead: 9,211
Total: 76,690
vs nation: D+13.5
Turnout: 71.6%

BidenDemocratic56.5%41,721TrumpRepublican41.3%30,489JorgensenLibertarian1.9%1,386

D+15.2

Lead: 11,232
Total: 73,805
vs nation: D+10.8
Turnout: 72.3%

ClintonDemocratic50.6%34,894TrumpRepublican42.1%29,072JohnsonLibertarian4.7%3,258

D+8.4

Lead: 5,822
Total: 69,000
vs nation: D+6.3
Turnout: 71.6%

ObamaDemocratic56.3%36,026RomneyRepublican41.8%26,729JohnsonLibertarian1.3%856

D+14.5

Lead: 9,297
Total: 63,969
vs nation: D+10.7
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic59.8%37,990McCainRepublican39.4%25,021OtherAll other candidates0.8%538

D+20.4

Lead: 12,969
Total: 63,549
vs nation: D+13.1
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic55.6%32,942BushRepublican43.6%25,825OtherAll other candidates0.9%514

D+12.0

Lead: 7,117
Total: 59,281
vs nation: D+14.5
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic51.4%25,400BushRepublican42.7%21,108NaderGreen4.6%2,273

D+8.7

Lead: 4,292
Total: 49,393
vs nation: D+8.2
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic54.8%23,475DoleRepublican33.8%14,484PerotReform9.5%4,088

D+21.0

Lead: 8,991
Total: 42,843
vs nation: D+12.5
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+12.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 132,5752024 5-year
Population density: 361 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 368 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $88,5702024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 87.6%2024 5-year
Black: 1.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+36.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+40.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Merrimack County, NH · twin score 97.9

Participation

Turnout and midterm durability

Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.

2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited

2024 turnout: 71.6%76,812 participants ÷ 107,215 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +17.4 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state: -1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026: 54.2%–54.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Participation by cycle

Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016

54.0%

55.0%

Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.

Cycle	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Series	Quality
	76,812	107,215 ± 667	71.6%	Audited	B/A
2022Mid	57,779	105,147 ± 698	55.0%	Audited	C/A
	74,580	103,136 ± 663	72.3%	Audited	B/A
2018Mid	54,153	100,234 ± 592	54.0%	Audited	B/A
	70,152	97,920 ± 553	71.6%	Audited	B/A
	63,969	95,619	66.9%	Derived	—
	63,549	93,340	68.1%	Derived	—
	59,281	91,061 extrapolated	65.1%	Derived	—

Sources and methods

Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.

2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.

Interactive election map

One map. Every available contest.

YearOfficeParty / contestMap detailShowing

Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 40 precincts

Precinct data

Results by precinct

40 precincts · 76,688 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Strafford County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -017-Dover017-Dover	12,655	6,650	355	19,660	64.4%	33.8%	D+30.5
Precinct -017-Rochester017-Rochester	8,264	8,881	233	17,378	47.6%	51.1%	R+3.6
Precinct -017-Durham017-Durham	6,047	2,270	135	8,452	71.5%	26.9%	D+44.7
Precinct -017-Somersworth017-Somersworth	3,532	2,808	86	6,426	55.0%	43.7%	D+11.3
Precinct -017-Barrington017-Barrington	3,241	2,985	94	6,320	51.3%	47.2%	D+4.1
Precinct -017-Farmington017-Farmington	1,405	2,232	31	3,668	38.3%	60.9%	R+22.5
Precinct -017-Strafford017-Strafford	1,403	1,551	38	2,992	46.9%	51.8%	R+4.9
Precinct -017-Lee017-Lee	1,893	986	43	2,922	64.8%	33.7%	D+31.0
Precinct -017-Milton017-Milton	1,022	1,661	43	2,726	37.5%	60.9%	R+23.4
Precinct -017-New Durham017-New Durham	746	1,167	31	1,944	38.4%	60.0%	R+21.7
Precinct -017-Rollinsford017-Rollinsford	975	747	27	1,749	55.7%	42.7%	D+13.0
Precinct -017-Madbury017-Madbury	812	471	26	1,309	62.0%	36.0%	D+26.1
Precinct -017-Middleton017-Middleton	378	753	11	1,142	33.1%	65.9%	R+32.8
DOVER WARD 133_33017DOVE01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 233_33017DOVE02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 333_33017DOVE03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 433_33017DOVE04	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 533_33017DOVE05	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 633_33017DOVE06	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 133_33017ROCH01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 233_33017ROCH02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 333_33017ROCH03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 433_33017ROCH04	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 533_33017ROCH05	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 633_33017ROCH06	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 133_33017SOME01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 233_33017SOME02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 333_33017SOME03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 433_33017SOME04	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 533_33017SOME05	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF BARRINGTON Voting District33_33017BARR01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF DURHAM Voting District33_33017DURH01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF FARMINGTON Voting District33_33017FARM01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF LEE Voting District33_33017LEE01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF MADBURY Voting District33_33017MADB01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF MIDDLETON Voting District33_33017MIDD01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF MILTON Voting District33_33017MILT01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF NEW DURHAM Voting District33_33017NDUR01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF ROLLINSFORD Voting District33_33017ROLL01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF STRAFFORD Voting District33_33017STFD01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Party record book

Strafford County, NH · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

68.0%

17,737 votes · D+36.0

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 59.8%

Republican

William McKinley1896

68.6%

5,483 votes · R+40.3

Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 61.6%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

42,374votes

55.3% of the vote · D+12.0

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 41,721 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

33,163votes

43.2% of the vote · D+12.0

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 30,489 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John Kerry2004

+14.5pts D vs U.S.

Place D+12.0 · U.S. R+2.5

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +13.5 pts

Republican

William McKinley1896

+34.2pts R vs U.S.

Place R+40.3 · U.S. R+6.1

Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +13.1 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DJeanne ShaheenU.S. Senate-0.22

DMaggie HassanU.S. Senate-0.22

DChris PappasU.S. House · NH-01-0.23

RMark McConkeyState Senate · 3

DDavid WattersState Senate · 4

RJames GrayState Senate · 6

DRebecca Perkins KwokaState Senate · 21

RRobley HallState House · Strafford 1

RSue DeLemusState House · Strafford 1

RClaudine BurnhamState House · Strafford 2

RGlenn BaileyState House · Strafford 2

RMichael GrangerState House · Strafford 2

RSusan DeRoyState House · Strafford 3

DCassandra LevesqueState House · Strafford 4

DHeath HowardState House · Strafford 4

RLen TurcotteState House · Strafford 4

DLoren SeligState House · Strafford 10

DMarjorie SmithState House · Strafford 10

DTimothy HorriganState House · Strafford 10

DWayne BurtonState House · Strafford 10

DErik JohnsonState House · Strafford 11

DJanet WallState House · Strafford 11

DTom SouthworthState House · Strafford 11

Seats representing Strafford County, NH. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 4 state senate and 6 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	59.5%44,492	40.5%30,230	74,722
2020	D	58.0%40,617	42.0%29,396	70,013
2018	D	58.9%30,819	41.1%21,469	52,288

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026D+4.1

Presidential vote · 2024D+12.0

Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 7.9 points more Democratic than the rolls.

90,627 registered voters · 2026

Democratic32.5%Republican28.4%Unaffiliated39.1%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+754 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +6,876 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $71,999 in average income, against $94,925 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+6.9 on average — 5.1 points more Republican-leaning than Strafford County, NH itself (D+12.0).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Rockingham County, NH1,037R+2.4
York County, ME473D+10.5
Hillsborough County, NH291D+2.9
Essex County, MA225D+20.2
Middlesex County, MA150D+39.2
Carroll County, NH148R+1.7

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Rockingham County, NH790
York County, ME545
Hillsborough County, NH219
Carroll County, NH194
Merrimack County, NH140
Belknap County, NH132

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Strafford County, NH in Strafford County, NH: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+317
2012	+26
2013	−309
2014	+977
2015	−58
2016	+685
2017	+1,199
2018	−323
2019	+484
2021	+392
2022	+892
2023	+1,172
2024	+668
2025	+754

Anchored by Durham's University of New Hampshire campus and the small city of Dover, Strafford County combines a large student population with working-class mill-town voters, producing a consistent Democratic margin in statewide contests.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.0 points.

A population of 132,575, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,570 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Merrimack County and York County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

2008–2024 trajectory≠ median age

Grafton County

New Hampshire

95.7twin score

2004–2024 trajectory≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Strafford County, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/33017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Strafford County

New Hampshire at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Strafford County, New Hampshire vote in 2024?

In 2024, Strafford County, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 12.0 points (D+12.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 76,690 votes cast, 42,374 went Democratic and 33,163 went Republican.

When did Strafford County, New Hampshire last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Strafford County, New Hampshire voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Strafford County, New Hampshire has a population of 132,575 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Median household income in Strafford County, New Hampshire is $88,570 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.

What is the political history of Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Strafford County, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.

Akashic

county

Strafford County, NH

Contests in this Place (101 available)

President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped

▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English21.7%18.3%9.5%

Irish21.6%20.6%9.4%

French10.7%10.5%1.6%

German9.7%8.6%12.5%

Italian8.5%9.8%4.8%

French Canadian6.3%7.2%—

Scottish4.0%2.1%1.3%

American4.0%4.2%5.3%

Puerto Rican0.9%1.4%1.8%

Mexican0.8%0.8%11.3%

Dominican0.3%0.8%0.7%

Spanish0.3%0.2%—

Spaniard0.2%——

Asian Indian0.5%0.7%1.4%

Indonesian0.5%——

Chinese0.4%0.4%1.3%

Filipino0.4%0.3%0.9%

Korean0.3%0.2%0.4%

Vietnamese0.2%0.2%0.6%

Nepalese0.2%——

African American†0.5%0.5%9.9%

Jamaican0.3%—0.4%

Age and life stage

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Median age	38.2	43.5	39.1
Age 18–24	14.4%	8.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.1%	20.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Median household income	$88,570	$99,031	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.7%	7.3%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	39.3%	40.7%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Owner-occupied homes	67.1%	72.8%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	32.9%	27.2%	34.8%
Median home value	$362,800	$402,500	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,488	$1,491	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	50.3%	48.2%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	8.0%	14.3%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Mean commute	26.0 min	26.7 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	8.0%	9.1%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	71.6%	72.0%	68.8%
Takes public transit	1.4%	0.5%	3.2%
Works from home	16.2%	16.8%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	5.3%	8.0%	22.3%
Spanish	1.4%	2.6%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Catholic	14.1%	16.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	5.2%	4.8%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	76.2%	72.8%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Foreign-born residents	4.4%	6.1%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	2.8%	3.7%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.6%	2.4%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.3%	7.6%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.427	0.444	0.483

President results by year

2024 turnout 71.6% of 107,215 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic55.3%42,374TrumpRepublican43.2%33,163OliverLibertarian0.6%423

D+12.0

Lead: 9,211
Total: 76,690
vs nation: D+13.5
Turnout: 71.6%

BidenDemocratic56.5%41,721TrumpRepublican41.3%30,489JorgensenLibertarian1.9%1,386

D+15.2

Lead: 11,232
Total: 73,805
vs nation: D+10.8
Turnout: 72.3%

ClintonDemocratic50.6%34,894TrumpRepublican42.1%29,072JohnsonLibertarian4.7%3,258

D+8.4

Lead: 5,822
Total: 69,000
vs nation: D+6.3
Turnout: 71.6%

ObamaDemocratic56.3%36,026RomneyRepublican41.8%26,729JohnsonLibertarian1.3%856

D+14.5

Lead: 9,297
Total: 63,969
vs nation: D+10.7
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic59.8%37,990McCainRepublican39.4%25,021OtherAll other candidates0.8%538

D+20.4

Lead: 12,969
Total: 63,549
vs nation: D+13.1
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic55.6%32,942BushRepublican43.6%25,825OtherAll other candidates0.9%514

D+12.0

Lead: 7,117
Total: 59,281
vs nation: D+14.5
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic51.4%25,400BushRepublican42.7%21,108NaderGreen4.6%2,273

D+8.7

Lead: 4,292
Total: 49,393
vs nation: D+8.2
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic54.8%23,475DoleRepublican33.8%14,484PerotReform9.5%4,088

D+21.0

Lead: 8,991
Total: 42,843
vs nation: D+12.5
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+12.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 132,5752024 5-year
Population density: 361 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 368 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $88,5702024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 87.6%2024 5-year
Black: 1.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+36.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+40.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Merrimack County, NH · twin score 97.9

Participation

Turnout and midterm durability

2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited

2024 turnout: 71.6%76,812 participants ÷ 107,215 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +17.4 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state: -1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026: 54.2%–54.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Participation by cycle

Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016

54.0%

55.0%

Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.

Cycle	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Series	Quality
	76,812	107,215 ± 667	71.6%	Audited	B/A
2022Mid	57,779	105,147 ± 698	55.0%	Audited	C/A
	74,580	103,136 ± 663	72.3%	Audited	B/A
2018Mid	54,153	100,234 ± 592	54.0%	Audited	B/A
	70,152	97,920 ± 553	71.6%	Audited	B/A
	63,969	95,619	66.9%	Derived	—
	63,549	93,340	68.1%	Derived	—
	59,281	91,061 extrapolated	65.1%	Derived	—

Sources and methods

2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.

Interactive election map

One map. Every available contest.

YearOfficeParty / contestMap detailShowing

Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 40 precincts

Precinct data

Results by precinct

40 precincts · 76,688 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Strafford County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -017-Dover017-Dover	12,655	6,650	355	19,660	64.4%	33.8%	D+30.5
Precinct -017-Rochester017-Rochester	8,264	8,881	233	17,378	47.6%	51.1%	R+3.6
Precinct -017-Durham017-Durham	6,047	2,270	135	8,452	71.5%	26.9%	D+44.7
Precinct -017-Somersworth017-Somersworth	3,532	2,808	86	6,426	55.0%	43.7%	D+11.3
Precinct -017-Barrington017-Barrington	3,241	2,985	94	6,320	51.3%	47.2%	D+4.1
Precinct -017-Farmington017-Farmington	1,405	2,232	31	3,668	38.3%	60.9%	R+22.5
Precinct -017-Strafford017-Strafford	1,403	1,551	38	2,992	46.9%	51.8%	R+4.9
Precinct -017-Lee017-Lee	1,893	986	43	2,922	64.8%	33.7%	D+31.0
Precinct -017-Milton017-Milton	1,022	1,661	43	2,726	37.5%	60.9%	R+23.4
Precinct -017-New Durham017-New Durham	746	1,167	31	1,944	38.4%	60.0%	R+21.7
Precinct -017-Rollinsford017-Rollinsford	975	747	27	1,749	55.7%	42.7%	D+13.0
Precinct -017-Madbury017-Madbury	812	471	26	1,309	62.0%	36.0%	D+26.1
Precinct -017-Middleton017-Middleton	378	753	11	1,142	33.1%	65.9%	R+32.8
DOVER WARD 133_33017DOVE01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 233_33017DOVE02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 333_33017DOVE03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 433_33017DOVE04	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 533_33017DOVE05	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 633_33017DOVE06	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 133_33017ROCH01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 233_33017ROCH02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 333_33017ROCH03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 433_33017ROCH04	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 533_33017ROCH05	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 633_33017ROCH06	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 133_33017SOME01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 233_33017SOME02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 333_33017SOME03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 433_33017SOME04	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 533_33017SOME05	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF BARRINGTON Voting District33_33017BARR01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF DURHAM Voting District33_33017DURH01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF FARMINGTON Voting District33_33017FARM01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF LEE Voting District33_33017LEE01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF MADBURY Voting District33_33017MADB01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF MIDDLETON Voting District33_33017MIDD01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF MILTON Voting District33_33017MILT01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF NEW DURHAM Voting District33_33017NDUR01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF ROLLINSFORD Voting District33_33017ROLL01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF STRAFFORD Voting District33_33017STFD01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Party record book

Strafford County, NH · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

68.0%

17,737 votes · D+36.0

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 59.8%

Republican

William McKinley1896

68.6%

5,483 votes · R+40.3

Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 61.6%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

42,374votes

55.3% of the vote · D+12.0

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 41,721 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

33,163votes

43.2% of the vote · D+12.0

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 30,489 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John Kerry2004

+14.5pts D vs U.S.

Place D+12.0 · U.S. R+2.5

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +13.5 pts

Republican

William McKinley1896

+34.2pts R vs U.S.

Place R+40.3 · U.S. R+6.1

Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +13.1 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DJeanne ShaheenU.S. Senate-0.22

DMaggie HassanU.S. Senate-0.22

DChris PappasU.S. House · NH-01-0.23

RMark McConkeyState Senate · 3

DDavid WattersState Senate · 4

RJames GrayState Senate · 6

DRebecca Perkins KwokaState Senate · 21

RRobley HallState House · Strafford 1

RSue DeLemusState House · Strafford 1

RClaudine BurnhamState House · Strafford 2

RGlenn BaileyState House · Strafford 2

RMichael GrangerState House · Strafford 2

RSusan DeRoyState House · Strafford 3

DCassandra LevesqueState House · Strafford 4

DHeath HowardState House · Strafford 4

RLen TurcotteState House · Strafford 4

DLoren SeligState House · Strafford 10

DMarjorie SmithState House · Strafford 10

DTimothy HorriganState House · Strafford 10

DWayne BurtonState House · Strafford 10

DErik JohnsonState House · Strafford 11

DJanet WallState House · Strafford 11

DTom SouthworthState House · Strafford 11

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	59.5%44,492	40.5%30,230	74,722
2020	D	58.0%40,617	42.0%29,396	70,013
2018	D	58.9%30,819	41.1%21,469	52,288

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026D+4.1

Presidential vote · 2024D+12.0

Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 7.9 points more Democratic than the rolls.

90,627 registered voters · 2026

Democratic32.5%Republican28.4%Unaffiliated39.1%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+754 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +6,876 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $71,999 in average income, against $94,925 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+6.9 on average — 5.1 points more Republican-leaning than Strafford County, NH itself (D+12.0).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Rockingham County, NH1,037R+2.4
York County, ME473D+10.5
Hillsborough County, NH291D+2.9
Essex County, MA225D+20.2
Middlesex County, MA150D+39.2
Carroll County, NH148R+1.7

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Rockingham County, NH790
York County, ME545
Hillsborough County, NH219
Carroll County, NH194
Merrimack County, NH140
Belknap County, NH132

Domestic migration in Strafford County, NH in Strafford County, NH: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+317
2012	+26
2013	−309
2014	+977
2015	−58
2016	+685
2017	+1,199
2018	−323
2019	+484
2021	+392
2022	+892
2023	+1,172
2024	+668
2025	+754

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

2008–2024 trajectory≠ median age

Grafton County

New Hampshire

95.7twin score

2004–2024 trajectory≠ median age

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Cities & towns in Strafford County

New Hampshire at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Strafford County, New Hampshire vote in 2024?

In 2024, Strafford County, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 12.0 points (D+12.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 76,690 votes cast, 42,374 went Democratic and 33,163 went Republican.

When did Strafford County, New Hampshire last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Strafford County, New Hampshire voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Strafford County, New Hampshire has a population of 132,575 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Median household income in Strafford County, New Hampshire is $88,570 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.

What is the political history of Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Strafford County, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Results by precinct

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Results by precinct

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions