- Lead
- 816
- Total
- 5,813
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Turnout
- 59.3%
Colfax County, NM
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.3% of 9,865 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 660
- Total
- 6,016
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- 62.4%
- Lead
- 456
- Total
- 5,332
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Turnout
- 53.4%
- Lead
- 129
- Total
- 5,764
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 685
- Total
- 6,384
- vs nation
- D+3.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 258
- Total
- 5,968
- vs nation
- R+1.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 53
- Total
- 5,461
- vs nation
- D+0.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 684
- Total
- 5,166
- vs nation
- D+4.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 12,3222024 5-year
- Population density
- 3.3 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,758 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,5542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 47.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+17.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grant County, NM · twin score 92.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 59.3%5,854 participants ÷ 9,865 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 46.6%–50.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,854 | 9,865 ± 241 | 59.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 4,940 | 9,954 ± 291 | 49.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,059 | 9,711 ± 202 | 62.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 4,712 | 9,808 ± 177 | 48.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,375 | 10,070 ± 186 | 53.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,764 | 10,524 | 54.8% | Derived | — | |
| 6,384 | 9,925 | 64.3% | Derived | — | |
| 5,968 | 9,326 extrapolated | 64.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Colfax County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Colfax County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 40 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 5,727 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000008000008 | 271 | 342 | 15 | 628 | 43.2% | 54.5% | R+11.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000022000022 | 185 | 356 | 0 | 541 | 34.2% | 65.8% | R+31.6 |
| Precinct -000016000016 | 209 | 294 | 10 | 513 | 40.7% | 57.3% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -000021000021 | 190 | 237 | 8 | 435 | 43.7% | 54.5% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -000001000001 | 164 | 235 | 0 | 399 | 41.1% | 58.9% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct -000005000005 | 172 | 206 | 0 | 378 | 45.5% | 54.5% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct -000015000015 | 118 | 207 | 0 | 325 | 36.3% | 63.7% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -000002000002 | 162 | 159 | 0 | 321 | 50.5% | 49.5% | D+0.9 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 99 | 180 | 0 | 279 | 35.5% | 64.5% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -000003000003 | 117 | 132 | 0 | 249 | 47.0% | 53.0% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -000017000017 | 127 | 122 | 0 | 249 | 51.0% | 49.0% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -000020000020 | 122 | 118 | 0 | 240 | 50.8% | 49.2% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct -000007000007 | 60 | 131 | 0 | 191 | 31.4% | 68.6% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -000009000009 | 81 | 101 | 0 | 182 | 44.5% | 55.5% | R+11.0 |
| Precinct -000012000012 | 80 | 102 | 0 | 182 | 44.0% | 56.0% | R+12.1 |
| Precinct -000014000014 | 59 | 89 | 6 | 154 | 38.3% | 57.8% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct -000011000011 | 62 | 55 | 0 | 117 | 53.0% | 47.0% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct -000013000013 | 48 | 47 | 0 | 95 | 50.5% | 49.5% | D+1.1 |
| Precinct -000019000019 | 53 | 36 | 0 | 89 | 59.6% | 40.4% | D+19.1 |
| Precinct -000010000010 | 21 | 59 | 0 | 80 | 26.3% | 73.8% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -000018000018 | 36 | 44 | 0 | 80 | 45.0% | 55.0% | R+10.0 |
| Colfax County Precinct 135_350071 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1035_3500710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1135_3500711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1235_3500712 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1335_3500713 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1435_3500714 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1535_3500715 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1635_3500716 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1735_3500717 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1835_3500718 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1935_3500719 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 235_350072 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 2035_3500720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 2135_3500721 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 2235_3500722 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 335_350073 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 435_350074 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 535_350075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 735_350077 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Colfax County, NM · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.0%
3,367 votes · D+34.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 62.6%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
57.9%
2,663 votes · R+17.6
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 56.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
4,661votes
62.6% of the vote · D+25.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 4,282 votes
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
3,904votes
56.3% of the vote · R+12.7
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 3,512 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+19.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+6.1 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +18.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+15.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+11.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +14.4 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Colfax County, NM. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 50.3%2,860 | 49.7%2,830 | 5,690 |
| 2020 | R | 47.1%2,789 | 52.9%3,132 | 5,921 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Colfax County, NM registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 14-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
8,450 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−98 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,617 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,601 in average income, against $58,821 for residents who stayed. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+21.0 on average — 35 points more Democratic-leaning than Colfax County, NM itself (R+14.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bernalillo County, NM34D+21.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bernalillo County, NM29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −142 |
| 2012 | −362 |
| 2013 | −173 |
| 2014 | −350 |
| 2015 | −273 |
| 2016 | −131 |
| 2017 | −62 |
| 2018 | −79 |
| 2019 | −112 |
| 2021 | +115 |
| 2022 | +4 |
| 2023 | +48 |
| 2024 | −2 |
| 2025 | −98 |
Colfax County sits in northeastern New Mexico's high-plains and mountain terrain, home to ranching communities and the historic Philmont Scout Ranch. Its roughly 14,000 residents have leaned Republican in recent cycles, delivering a 14-point margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 17.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.0 points.
A population of 12,322, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,554 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grant County and Mora County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Colfax County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.