Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupDe Baca CountyNew MexicoUnited States
Mexican28.6%32.4%11.3%
Salvadoran16.8%—0.7%
Spanish0.9%4.2%—
English11.5%8.5%9.5%
German11.0%8.7%12.5%
Irish7.6%6.9%9.4%
American4.6%3.9%5.3%
Scotch-Irish1.1%——
Italian1.0%2.4%4.8%
Scottish0.3%1.7%1.3%
Polish0.2%0.8%2.2%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
De Baca County
New Mexico
United States
Median age
35.3
39.7
39.1
Age 18–24
3.5%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
26.6%
19.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
De Baca County
New Mexico
United States
Median household income
—
$64,059
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.5%
17.9%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
9.3%
30.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
De Baca County
New Mexico
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
36.0%
31.4%
22.3%
Spanish
35.3%
24.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
De Baca County
New Mexico
United States
Catholic
40.2%
29.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
43.3%
12.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
0.1%
47.5%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.4%
2.3%
5.2%
Latter-day Saints
10.0%
3.3%
2.0%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
De Baca County, New Mexico
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 856 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
De Baca County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -000002000002
71
341
6
418
17.0%
81.6%
R+64.6
Precinct -000003000003
73
187
0
260
28.1%
71.9%
R+43.8
Precinct -000004000004
57
59
0
116
49.1%
50.9%
R+1.7
Precinct -000001000001
0
62
0
62
0.0%
100.0%
R+100.0
De Baca County Precinct 135_350111
0
0
0
0
—
—
Even
De Baca County Precinct 235_350112
0
0
0
0
—
—
Even
De Baca County Precinct 335_350113
0
0
0
0
—
—
Even
De Baca County Precinct 435_350114
0
0
0
0
—
—
Even
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1920–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1920
+25.1%
1924
+32.7%
1928
+4.0%
1932
+58.2%
1936
+38.8%
1940
+33.9%
1944
+8.7%
1948
+18.7%
1952
−13.9%
1956
−19.1%
1960
−8.5%
1964
+9.3%
1968
−27.4%
1972
−46.0%
1976
+3.5%
1980
−14.7%
1984
−31.9%
1988
−14.3%
1992
−6.3%
1996
+1.8%
2000
−26.8%
2004
−42.8%
2008
−30.4%
2012
−33.1%
2016
−46.9%
2020
−47.2%
2024
−50.7%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
23.6%Harris206
74.3%Trump649
0.7%Kennedy6 +1
R+50.7
R+3.5
R+49.2
874
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican74.3%649
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic23.6%206
OtherAll other candidates1.5%13
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.7%6
R
25.6%Biden231
72.8%Trump656
1.2%Jorgensen11
R+47.2
R+0.2
R+51.6
901
R
21.2%Clinton193
68.1%Trump620
9.8%Johnson89
R+46.9
R+13.8
R+49.0
910
R
31.8%Obama287
65.0%Romney586
2.7%GRAY24
R+33.1
R+2.8
R+37.0
902
R
34.4%Obama359
64.8%McCain676
0.9%
R+30.4
D+12.4
R+37.6
1,044
R
28.3%Kerry281
71.1%Bush706
0.6%
R+42.8
R+16.0
R+40.3
993
R
35.5%Gore349
62.3%Bush612
1.2%Nader12
R+26.8
R+28.6
R+27.3
982
D
46.6%Clinton509
44.7%Dole489
7.9%Perot86
D+1.8
D+8.2
R+6.7
1,093
R
38.1%Clinton451
44.4%Bush526
17.2%Perot204
R+6.3
D+8.0
R+11.9
1,185
R
42.3%Dukakis480
56.6%Bush643
1.1%
R+14.3
D+17.6
R+6.6
1,136
R
33.3%Mondale386
65.2%Reagan756
1.5%
R+31.9
R+17.3
R+13.7
1,159
R
41.5%Carter484
56.2%Reagan655
2.3%
R+14.7
R+18.2
R+4.9
1,166
D
51.5%Carter597
47.9%Ford556
0.6%
D+3.5
D+49.6
D+1.5
1,160
R
25.8%McGovern270
71.8%Nixon752
2.4%
R+46.0
R+18.6
R+22.9
1,047
R
30.2%Humphrey345
57.7%Nixon658
12.1%
R+27.4
R+36.7
R+26.7
1,141
D
54.4%Johnson674
45.1%Goldwater559
0.6%
D+9.3
D+17.8
R+13.3
1,240
R
45.7%Kennedy619
54.2%Nixon734
0.1%
R+8.5
D+10.6
R+8.6
1,355
R
40.2%Stevenson528
59.3%Eisenhower779
0.5%
R+19.1
R+5.2
R+3.7
1,313
R
43.0%Stevenson591
56.8%Eisenhower782
0.2%
R+13.9
R+32.6
R+3.1
1,376
D
59.2%Truman670
40.5%Dewey458
0.3%
D+18.7
D+10.0
D+14.3
1,131
D
54.3%Roosevelt660
45.6%Dewey554
0.2%
D+8.7
R+25.2
D+1.2
1,216
D
66.9%Roosevelt970
33.1%Willkie479
0.0%
D+33.9
R+4.9
D+23.9
1,449
D
69.2%Roosevelt1,010
30.4%Landon444
0.4%
D+38.8
R+19.4
D+14.5
1,460
D
78.4%Roosevelt1,023
20.2%Hoover264
1.4%
D+58.2
D+54.1
D+40.4
1,305
D
51.9%Smith514
47.8%Hoover474
0.3%
D+4.0
R+28.7
D+21.5
991
D
61.7%Davis574
29.0%Coolidge270
9.2%La Follette86
D+32.7
D+7.6
D+57.9
930
D
61.8%Cox693
36.8%Harding412
1.4%
D+25.1
—
D+51.3
1,121
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
31.4%268
68.6%585
853
2020
R
25.3%228
72.6%653
900
2018
R
33.2%267
42.5%342
805
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+21.9
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+50.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 29 points more Democratic.
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+19 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −124 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,591 in average income, against $80,335 for residents who stayed — 46% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in De Baca County, NM in De Baca County, NM: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−37
2012
−33
2013
−4
2014
−49
2015
+19
2016
−21
2017
−16
2018
−19
2019
−28
2021
+23
2022
+36
2023
−12
2024
−2
2025
+19
De Baca's sparse high-plains ranching economy and a population under 2,300 produce some of the most lopsided presidential margins in New Mexico, with the 2024 Republican margin exceeding 50 points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.7 points.
A population of 1,576, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $0 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cochran County and Crosby County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, De Baca County, New Mexico voted Republican by 50.7 points (R+50.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 874 votes cast, 206 went Democratic and 649 went Republican.
When did De Baca County, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which De Baca County, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in De Baca County, New Mexico?
De Baca County, New Mexico has a population of 1,576 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the political history of De Baca County, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in De Baca County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.
