Lincoln County, New Mexico
Precinct data
Results by precinct
50 precincts · 10,022 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000006000006 | 248 | 449 | 7 | 704 | 35.2% | 63.8% | R+28.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000026000026 | 164 | 467 | 14 | 645 | 25.4% | 72.4% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -000021000021 | 185 | 365 | 6 | 556 | 33.3% | 65.6% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -000014000014 | 126 | 420 | 0 | 546 | 23.1% | 76.9% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -000011000011 | 183 | 336 | 6 | 525 | 34.9% | 64.0% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct -000003000003 | 121 | 363 | 6 | 490 | 24.7% | 74.1% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -000025000025 | 191 | 263 | 0 | 454 | 42.1% | 57.9% | R+15.9 |
| Precinct -000029000029 | 143 | 298 | 0 | 441 | 32.4% | 67.6% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 124 | 313 | 0 | 437 | 28.4% | 71.6% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -000009000009 | 157 | 271 | 8 | 436 | 36.0% | 62.2% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct -000005000005 | 104 | 313 | 0 | 417 | 24.9% | 75.1% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -000007000007 | 145 | 271 | 0 | 416 | 34.9% | 65.1% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -000012000012 | 83 | 272 | 0 | 355 | 23.4% | 76.6% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -000017000017 | 63 | 290 | 0 | 353 | 17.8% | 82.2% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -000024000024 | 138 | 214 | 0 | 352 | 39.2% | 60.8% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -000013000013 | 137 | 205 | 0 | 342 | 40.1% | 59.9% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct -000008000008 | 89 | 184 | 0 | 273 | 32.6% | 67.4% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -000020000020 | 79 | 172 | 0 | 251 | 31.5% | 68.5% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -000015000015 | 48 | 195 | 0 | 243 | 19.8% | 80.2% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -000010000010 | 79 | 149 | 0 | 228 | 34.6% | 65.4% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -000001000001 | 42 | 175 | 0 | 217 | 19.4% | 80.6% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -000019000019 | 41 | 172 | 0 | 213 | 19.2% | 80.8% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -000002000002 | 98 | 110 | 0 | 208 | 47.1% | 52.9% | R+5.8 |
| Precinct -000027000027 | 33 | 166 | 0 | 199 | 16.6% | 83.4% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -000018000018 | 71 | 102 | 0 | 173 | 41.0% | 59.0% | R+17.9 |
| Precinct -000022000022 | 50 | 113 | 0 | 163 | 30.7% | 69.3% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -000023000023 | 33 | 127 | 0 | 160 | 20.6% | 79.4% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct -000016000016 | 50 | 83 | 0 | 133 | 37.6% | 62.4% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -000028000028 | 8 | 84 | 0 | 92 | 8.7% | 91.3% | R+82.6 |
| Lincoln County Precinct 135_350271 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 1035_3502710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 1135_3502711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 1235_3502712 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 1335_3502713 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 1435_3502714 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 1535_3502715 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 1635_3502716 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 1735_3502717 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 1835_3502718 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 1935_3502719 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 235_350272 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 2035_3502720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 2135_3502721 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 335_350273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 435_350274 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 535_350275 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 635_350276 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 735_350277 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 835_350278 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lincoln County Precinct 935_350279 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +0.8% |
| 1916 | −1.4% |
| 1920 | −16.1% |
| 1924 | −11.3% |
| 1928 | −28.9% |
| 1932 | +30.8% |
| 1936 | +12.1% |
| 1940 | −0.9% |
| 1944 | −4.0% |
| 1948 | −5.6% |
| 1952 | −29.3% |
| 1956 | −29.7% |
| 1960 | −16.6% |
| 1964 | −5.8% |
| 1968 | −38.7% |
| 1972 | −55.9% |
| 1976 | −24.0% |
| 1980 | −43.0% |
| 1984 | −55.2% |
| 1988 | −34.4% |
| 1992 | −16.0% |
| 1996 | −18.5% |
| 2000 | −35.9% |
| 2004 | −36.0% |
| 2008 | −25.4% |
| 2012 | −32.7% |
| 2016 | −40.0% |
| 2020 | −36.4% |
| 2024 | −38.5% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.3 points.
14,493 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−64 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −688 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $72,628 in average income, against $67,141 for residents who stayed — 8% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.4 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Lincoln County, NM itself (R+38.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Doña Ana County, NM49D+9.8
- Otero County, NM48R+27.0
- Bernalillo County, NM37D+21.0
- Chaves County, NM31R+44.8
- El Paso County, TX26D+15.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Otero County, NM85
- Doña Ana County, NM41
- Bernalillo County, NM35
- El Paso County, TX31
- Chaves County, NM25
- Eddy County, NM22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −61 |
| 2012 | −208 |
| 2013 | −202 |
| 2014 | −376 |
| 2015 | −262 |
| 2016 | +30 |
| 2017 | +111 |
| 2018 | +75 |
| 2019 | +71 |
| 2021 | +205 |
| 2022 | +88 |
| 2023 | −183 |
| 2024 | +88 |
| 2025 | −64 |
Lincoln County stretches across the Sacramento Mountains and the historic Billy the Kid corridor, drawing a sparse, rural electorate that has delivered Republican presidential margins above 35 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 55.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.5 points.
A population of 20,224, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,303 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Catron County and Aransas County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lincoln County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.