Lincoln County, New Mexico: Texan Right county. In 2024, voted R+38%. Republican peak: R+56 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Texan RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 20,2242024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,3032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 33.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Churchill County, NV · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lincoln CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lincoln County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +0.8% |
| 1916 | −1.4% |
| 1920 | −16.1% |
| 1924 | −11.3% |
| 1928 | −28.9% |
| 1932 | +30.8% |
| 1936 | +12.1% |
| 1940 | −0.9% |
| 1944 | −4.0% |
| 1948 | −5.6% |
| 1952 | −29.3% |
| 1956 | −29.7% |
| 1960 | −16.6% |
| 1964 | −5.8% |
| 1968 | −38.7% |
| 1972 | −55.9% |
| 1976 | −24.0% |
| 1980 | −43.0% |
| 1984 | −55.2% |
| 1988 | −34.4% |
| 1992 | −16.0% |
| 1996 | −18.5% |
| 2000 | −35.9% |
| 2004 | −36.0% |
| 2008 | −25.4% |
| 2012 | −32.7% |
| 2016 | −40.0% |
| 2020 | −36.4% |
| 2024 | −38.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,033 | 6,942 | 10,165 | ||
| R | 3,194 | 6,942 | 10,306 | ||
| R | 2,331 | 5,896 | 8,902 | ||
| R | 2,942 | 5,961 | 9,242 | ||
| R | 3,535 | 6,001 | 9,696 | ||
| R | 2,822 | 6,070 | 9,014 | ||
| R | 2,027 | 4,458 | 6,772 | ||
| R | 2,209 | 3,396 | 6,411 | ||
| R | 1,730 | 2,669 | 5,857 | ||
| R | 1,690 | 3,511 | 5,288 | ||
| R | 1,134 | 3,992 | 5,182 | ||
| R | 1,127 | 3,009 | 4,374 | ||
| R | 1,415 | 2,320 | 3,764 | ||
| R | 696 | 2,528 | 3,280 | ||
| R | 802 | 2,004 | 3,106 | ||
| R | 1,565 | 1,761 | 3,351 | ||
| R | 1,459 | 2,042 | 3,503 | ||
| R | 1,059 | 1,956 | 3,020 | ||
| R | 1,095 | 2,004 | 3,106 | ||
| R | 1,406 | 1,575 | 3,005 | ||
| R | 1,342 | 1,455 | 2,801 | ||
| R | 1,763 | 1,794 | 3,570 | ||
| D | 2,021 | 1,579 | 3,641 | ||
| D | 2,225 | 1,172 | 3,418 | ||
| R | 821 | 1,489 | 2,315 | ||
| R | 837 | 1,087 | 2,216 | ||
| R | 1,047 | 1,456 | 2,540 | ||
| R | 863 | 889 | 1,796 | ||
| D | 461 | 452 | 1,127 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
14.2%
English
13.4%
German
11.9%
Irish
9.8%
Scottish
3.1%
French
1.8%
Italian
1.4%
African American
0.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 52.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$53,303
Lincoln County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Lincoln County$53,303
New Mexico$64,059
United States$80,734
Lincoln County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
19.3%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1832.6%
Working age (18–64)18.3%
Seniors (65+)7.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
82.1%
speak English only
Spanish15.5%
Other languages1.3%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lincoln County stretches across the Sacramento Mountains and the historic Billy the Kid corridor, drawing a sparse, rural electorate that has delivered Republican presidential margins above 35 points in recent cycles.
The Republican margin here reached fifty-six points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-eight points.
A population of 20,224, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,303 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Churchill County and Dawes County. A non-English-speaking share of 18% reflects a meaningful Latino presence that votes, here, with the Republican grain.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lincoln County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lincoln County, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lincoln County, New Mexico voted Republican by 38.5 points (R+38), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,165 votes cast, 3,033 went Democratic and 6,942 went Republican.
What is Lincoln County, New Mexico's political typology?
Akashic places Lincoln County, New Mexico in the "Texan Right" typology — East Texas and the Piney Woods — solidly Republican, with a meaningful Latino presence. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 26 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lincoln County, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln County, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Lincoln County, New Mexico?
Lincoln County, New Mexico has a population of 20,224 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lincoln County, New Mexico?
Median household income in Lincoln County, New Mexico is $53,303 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Lincoln County, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The county's typology — "Texan Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.