Buncombe County, North Carolina: Realigning Affluent Suburb county. In 2024, voted D+25%. Democratic peak: D+50 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+25MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
- Population
- 274,3602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,4362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wake County, NC · similarity 0.98
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +6.5% |
| 1896 | −5.9% |
| 1900 | −5.3% |
| 1904 | +10.2% |
| 1908 | −0.9% |
| 1912 | +50.4% |
| 1916 | +5.0% |
| 1920 | +11.8% |
| 1924 | +22.6% |
| 1928 | −14.4% |
| 1932 | +34.7% |
| 1936 | +42.8% |
| 1940 | +48.1% |
| 1944 | +37.9% |
| 1948 | +18.2% |
| 1952 | −4.3% |
| 1956 | −8.7% |
| 1960 | −9.2% |
| 1964 | +24.0% |
| 1968 | −13.5% |
| 1972 | −42.7% |
| 1976 | +8.4% |
| 1980 | −2.4% |
| 1984 | −23.5% |
| 1988 | −15.4% |
| 1992 | +2.7% |
| 1996 | +1.7% |
| 2000 | +8.8% |
| 2004 | −0.6% |
| 2008 | +13.9% |
| 2012 | +12.5% |
| 2016 | +14.2% |
| 2020 | +21.1% |
| 2024 | +24.7% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 98,662 | 59,016 | 160,510 | ||
| D | 96,515 | 62,412 | 161,569 | ||
| D | 75,452 | 55,716 | 138,947 | ||
| D | 70,625 | 54,701 | 127,696 | ||
| D | 69,716 | 52,494 | 123,795 | ||
| R | 51,868 | 52,491 | 105,013 | ||
| D | 46,101 | 38,545 | 85,476 | ||
| D | 31,658 | 30,518 | 69,067 | ||
| D | 32,955 | 30,892 | 75,492 | ||
| R | 26,964 | 36,828 | 63,992 | ||
| R | 23,337 | 37,698 | 61,183 | ||
| R | 24,837 | 26,124 | 53,530 | ||
| D | 26,633 | 22,461 | 49,379 | ||
| R | 12,626 | 32,091 | 45,594 | ||
| R | 14,624 | 21,031 | 47,544 | ||
| D | 31,623 | 19,372 | 50,995 | ||
| R | 23,303 | 28,040 | 51,343 | ||
| R | 19,044 | 22,655 | 41,699 | ||
| R | 22,425 | 24,444 | 46,869 | ||
| D | 17,072 | 11,460 | 30,851 | ||
| D | 20,878 | 9,398 | 30,276 | ||
| D | 24,878 | 8,723 | 33,601 | ||
| D | 23,646 | 9,470 | 33,116 | ||
| D | 18,241 | 8,745 | 27,353 | ||
| R | 12,405 | 16,590 | 28,995 | ||
| D | 10,098 | 6,285 | 16,850 | ||
| D | 10,167 | 8,017 | 18,184 | ||
| D | 4,229 | 3,830 | 8,059 | ||
| D | 3,716 | 426 | 6,528 | ||
| R | 3,506 | 3,572 | 7,140 | ||
| D | 3,181 | 2,591 | 5,796 | ||
| R | 3,724 | 4,140 | 7,899 | ||
| R | 4,098 | 4,611 | 8,733 | ||
| D | 3,588 | 3,125 | 7,073 | ||
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Demographics
Buncombe's D+24.7 margin in 2024 stands out sharply against the surrounding mountain counties, driven by Asheville's urban core and an influx of college-educated migrants that has steadily widened the Democratic advantage over the past decade.
Once reliably Republican — a margin of forty-three points in 1972 at its widest — Buncombe County has trended Democratic. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-five points.
A median household income of $74,436 — among the higher at this geographic scale — and a population of 274,360 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wake County and Baltimore County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Buncombe County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
