- Lead
- 3,044
- Total
- 4,779
- vs nation
- R+62.2
- Turnout
- 75.3%
Graham County, NC
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 75.3% of 6,457 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,805
- Total
- 4,665
- vs nation
- R+64.6
- Turnout
- 71.1%
- Lead
- 2,515
- Total
- 4,168
- vs nation
- R+62.4
- Turnout
- 62.5%
- Lead
- 1,631
- Total
- 3,947
- vs nation
- R+45.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,559
- Total
- 4,171
- vs nation
- R+44.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,421
- Total
- 3,987
- vs nation
- R+33.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,298
- Total
- 3,361
- vs nation
- R+39.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 591
- Total
- 3,289
- vs nation
- R+26.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+63.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,0722024 5-year
- Population density
- 28 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 292 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,6842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Scott County, VA · twin score 93.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 75.3%4,863 participants ÷ 6,457 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -10.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 62.7%–65.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,863 | 6,457 ± 102 | 75.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 3,678 | 6,289 ± 180 | 58.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,700 | 6,608 ± 112 | 71.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 3,752 | 6,748 ± 76 | 55.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,199 | 6,721 ± 80 | 62.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 3,947 | 6,755 | 58.4% | Derived | — | |
| 4,171 | 6,148 | 67.8% | Derived | — | |
| 3,987 | 5,541 extrapolated | 72.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Graham County only. The complete district District 11 result is shown below for comparison.
Graham County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 11 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 4 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
4 precincts · 4,779 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -EASTEAST | 321 | 1,587 | 23 | 1,931 | 16.6% | 82.2% | R+65.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -WESTWEST | 263 | 1,241 | 17 | 1,521 | 17.3% | 81.6% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -STECSTEC | 212 | 758 | 15 | 985 | 21.5% | 77.0% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -TAPOTAPO | 43 | 297 | 2 | 342 | 12.6% | 86.8% | R+74.3 |
presidential history
Party record book
Graham County, NC · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1944
58.2%
1,889 votes · D+16.4
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · 56.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
81.3%
3,883 votes · R+63.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 79.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1944
1,889votes
58.2% of the vote · D+16.4
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 1,791 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,883votes
81.3% of the vote · R+63.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,710 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+21.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+3.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · +17.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+64.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +62.4 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Graham County, NC. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 29 points more Republican than the rolls.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 6,561 | 2,562 | 2,840 | 1,156 | 3 |
| 2012 | 6,647 | 2,393 | 2,823 | 1,420 | 11 |
| 2016 | 6,436 | 2,015 | 2,808 | 1,596 | 17 |
| 2020 | 6,139 | 1,416 | 2,952 | 1,741 | 30 |
| 2022 | 6,104 | 1,209 | 3,022 | 1,843 | 30 |
| 2024 | 6,315 | 1,037 | 3,248 | 1,990 | 40 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+80 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +67 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,985 in average income, against $56,356 for residents who stayed — 6% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −52 |
| 2012 | −87 |
| 2013 | +37 |
| 2014 | −71 |
| 2015 | −14 |
| 2016 | −34 |
| 2017 | +9 |
| 2018 | −26 |
| 2019 | +7 |
| 2021 | +37 |
| 2022 | +38 |
| 2023 | +28 |
| 2024 | +115 |
| 2025 | +80 |
Graham County sits in the rugged southwestern corner of North Carolina, where a small, rural population has delivered some of the state's widest presidential margins — R+63.7 in 2024 — driven by a predominantly white, working-class electorate with deep Appalachian roots.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 63.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.7 points.
A population of 8,072, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,684 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Scott County and Unicoi County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Graham County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37075/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.