McIntosh County, North Dakota: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+65%. Republican peak: R+90 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,4972024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,4192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+90 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Marshall County, IN · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of McIntosh CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for McIntosh County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −70.0% |
| 1896 | −67.2% |
| 1900 | −68.1% |
| 1904 | −85.2% |
| 1908 | −73.4% |
| 1912 | −8.0% |
| 1916 | −55.4% |
| 1920 | −90.2% |
| 1924 | −32.3% |
| 1928 | +10.4% |
| 1932 | +73.8% |
| 1936 | +11.9% |
| 1940 | −83.3% |
| 1944 | −84.2% |
| 1948 | −60.9% |
| 1952 | −82.6% |
| 1956 | −68.6% |
| 1960 | −62.2% |
| 1964 | −33.1% |
| 1968 | −70.1% |
| 1972 | −64.2% |
| 1976 | −31.4% |
| 1980 | −75.3% |
| 1984 | −64.5% |
| 1988 | −48.1% |
| 1992 | −33.3% |
| 1996 | −30.0% |
| 2000 | −50.6% |
| 2004 | −47.5% |
| 2008 | −22.0% |
| 2012 | −37.6% |
| 2016 | −59.8% |
| 2020 | −61.3% |
| 2024 | −65.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 229 | 1,132 | 1,390 | ||
| R | 261 | 1,153 | 1,455 | ||
| R | 235 | 1,100 | 1,446 | ||
| R | 459 | 1,035 | 1,530 | ||
| R | 579 | 916 | 1,532 | ||
| R | 436 | 1,254 | 1,722 | ||
| R | 350 | 1,178 | 1,637 | ||
| R | 470 | 1,005 | 1,781 | ||
| R | 450 | 1,134 | 2,054 | ||
| R | 598 | 1,726 | 2,347 | ||
| R | 427 | 2,047 | 2,513 | ||
| R | 308 | 2,471 | 2,873 | ||
| R | 912 | 1,785 | 2,776 | ||
| R | 521 | 2,440 | 2,990 | ||
| R | 342 | 2,258 | 2,732 | ||
| R | 950 | 1,891 | 2,841 | ||
| R | 628 | 2,694 | 3,322 | ||
| R | 498 | 2,689 | 3,193 | ||
| R | 276 | 3,043 | 3,348 | ||
| R | 513 | 2,203 | 2,776 | ||
| R | 226 | 2,682 | 2,916 | ||
| R | 318 | 3,494 | 3,812 | ||
| D | 1,900 | 1,469 | 3,629 | ||
| D | 3,078 | 465 | 3,543 | ||
| D | 1,474 | 1,196 | 2,670 | ||
| O | 39 | 637 | 1,849 | ||
| R | 79 | 1,782 | 1,889 | ||
| R | 270 | 950 | 1,228 | ||
| O | 125 | 202 | 963 | ||
| R | 140 | 927 | 1,072 | ||
| R | 58 | 736 | 796 | ||
| R | 125 | 658 | 783 | ||
| R | 66 | 336 | 402 | ||
| R | 0 | 280 | 400 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
57.6%
American
7.1%
Irish
2.1%
English
1.9%
French
1.6%
Polish
1.3%
Italian
0.5%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 53.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$64,419
McIntosh County ranks near the middle of US counties.
McIntosh County$64,419
North Dakota$76,657
United States$80,734
McIntosh County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.9%
Working age (18–64)9.3%
Seniors (65+)25.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
87.0%
speak English only
Other Indo-European9.0%
Spanish2.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 29.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
McIntosh County, anchored by the small city of Ashley, has delivered Republican presidential margins above 60 points in recent cycles, reflecting the heavily rural, agriculturally dependent character common to south-central North Dakota's shrinking small counties.
The Democratic margin here once reached seventy-four points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-five points.
A population of 2,497, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,419 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Marshall County and Allen County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
McIntosh County, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/38051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did McIntosh County, North Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, McIntosh County, North Dakota voted Republican by 65.0 points (R+65), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,390 votes cast, 229 went Democratic and 1,132 went Republican.
What is McIntosh County, North Dakota's political typology?
Akashic places McIntosh County, North Dakota in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 29 times, and other 2 times.
When did McIntosh County, North Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which McIntosh County, North Dakota voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in McIntosh County, North Dakota?
McIntosh County, North Dakota has a population of 2,497 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in McIntosh County, North Dakota?
Median household income in McIntosh County, North Dakota is $64,419 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $76,657.
What is the political history of McIntosh County, North Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in McIntosh County, North Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.