Carroll County, Ohio: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+55%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 26,6592024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,8352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Tuscola County, MI · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Carroll CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Carroll County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −13.9% |
| 1896 | −15.3% |
| 1900 | −21.2% |
| 1904 | −34.2% |
| 1908 | −21.9% |
| 1912 | +5.3% |
| 1916 | −10.7% |
| 1920 | −42.1% |
| 1924 | −47.6% |
| 1928 | −61.3% |
| 1932 | −22.4% |
| 1936 | −7.7% |
| 1940 | −18.0% |
| 1944 | −25.5% |
| 1948 | −17.6% |
| 1952 | −29.1% |
| 1956 | −39.1% |
| 1960 | −27.2% |
| 1964 | +16.0% |
| 1968 | −17.1% |
| 1972 | −35.8% |
| 1976 | −0.8% |
| 1980 | −23.7% |
| 1984 | −27.7% |
| 1988 | −13.8% |
| 1992 | +4.1% |
| 1996 | +2.9% |
| 2000 | −14.5% |
| 2004 | −9.9% |
| 2008 | −4.8% |
| 2012 | −13.2% |
| 2016 | −45.6% |
| 2020 | −52.7% |
| 2024 | −54.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,071 | 10,634 | 13,853 | ||
| R | 3,251 | 10,745 | 14,212 | ||
| R | 3,154 | 9,254 | 13,368 | ||
| R | 5,543 | 7,315 | 13,409 | ||
| R | 6,423 | 7,097 | 13,985 | ||
| R | 6,300 | 7,695 | 14,112 | ||
| R | 4,960 | 6,732 | 12,261 | ||
| D | 4,792 | 4,449 | 11,790 | ||
| D | 4,731 | 4,224 | 12,463 | ||
| R | 4,667 | 6,179 | 10,994 | ||
| R | 3,771 | 6,703 | 10,584 | ||
| R | 3,476 | 5,806 | 9,851 | ||
| R | 5,006 | 5,091 | 10,325 | ||
| R | 2,755 | 5,984 | 9,014 | ||
| R | 3,119 | 4,634 | 8,846 | ||
| D | 5,050 | 3,655 | 8,705 | ||
| R | 3,488 | 6,095 | 9,583 | ||
| R | 2,590 | 5,916 | 8,506 | ||
| R | 3,134 | 5,707 | 8,841 | ||
| R | 2,996 | 4,283 | 7,313 | ||
| R | 2,907 | 4,898 | 7,805 | ||
| R | 3,589 | 5,160 | 8,749 | ||
| R | 3,801 | 4,440 | 8,337 | ||
| R | 2,802 | 4,487 | 7,510 | ||
| R | 1,321 | 5,572 | 6,937 | ||
| R | 1,430 | 4,369 | 6,173 | ||
| R | 1,755 | 4,392 | 6,258 | ||
| R | 1,672 | 2,086 | 3,885 | ||
| O | 1,293 | 1,096 | 3,722 | ||
| R | 1,590 | 2,517 | 4,236 | ||
| R | 1,278 | 2,695 | 4,143 | ||
| R | 1,720 | 2,668 | 4,478 | ||
| R | 1,955 | 2,668 | 4,675 | ||
| R | 1,677 | 2,261 | 4,189 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
25.4%
Irish
13.6%
English
11.4%
Italian
7.3%
American
5.2%
Scottish
3.0%
Polish
2.4%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 45.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$64,835
Carroll County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Carroll County$64,835
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Carroll County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.5%
Working age (18–64)10.5%
Seniors (65+)12.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.9%
Spanish0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Carroll County, a rural Appalachian-adjacent community in northeastern Ohio, recorded a 54.7-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the deep realignment of small, coal-country counties over the past decade.
The Democratic margin here peaked at sixteen points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-five points.
A population of 26,659, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,835 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tuscola County and Coshocton County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carroll County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More heartland swing counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Carroll County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carroll County, Ohio voted Republican by 54.6 points (R+55), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,853 votes cast, 3,071 went Democratic and 10,634 went Republican.
What is Carroll County, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Carroll County, Ohio in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 30 times, and other 1 times.
When did Carroll County, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carroll County, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Carroll County, Ohio?
Carroll County, Ohio has a population of 26,659 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carroll County, Ohio?
Median household income in Carroll County, Ohio is $64,835 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Carroll County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carroll County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.